Foreign investors pump $3 billion into capital markets, forex at record high in January

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Foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) have invested a phenomenal $3 billion (close to Rs 18,000 crore) in India’s capital markets this month on expectations of high yields as corporate earnings are expected to pick up with the economy gathering momentum after the slowdown due to the chaotic implementation of GST.

 

The sharp increase in inflows comes after an outflow of over Rs 3,500 crore by foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) from the capital markets in December, data compiled by depositories shows. According to market analysts money pumped in by FPIs has played a key role in fuelling the bull run in the stock markets that saw both the Sensex and Nifty on a record breaking spree in recent weeks.

 

FPIs infused a net amount to the tune of Rs 11,759 crore in stocks and Rs 6,127 crore in debt during January 1-25 — translating into net inflows of Rs 17,866 crore. For the entire 2017, FPIs invested a collective amount of Rs 2 lakh crore in the country’s equity and debt markets.

 

The inflow in the current month can be attributed to anticipation of earnings recovery and attractive yields which is expected to further strengthen inflow from foreign investors in the current financial year, said Dinesh Rohira, CEO of 5nance, an online platform providing financial planning services.

 

However, Quantum MF Fund Manager-Fixed Income Pankaj Pathak believes that FPIs may not be able to repeat this showing in 2018 as withdrawal of liquidity and rate hikes in developed economies pick up. This would provide them with alternative avenues of investment.

 

The FPI investments have also helped to bolster the country’s foreign exchange reserves which touched an all-time high of USD 414.784 billion in the week to January 19, Reserve Bank data showed. The RBI data showed that the forex reserves rose by USD 959.1 million to touch a record high during the reporting week. In the previous week, the reserves had touched USD 413.825 billion after it rose by USD 2.7 billion.

 

The reserves had crossed the USD 400-billion mark for the first time in the week to September 8, 2017 but have since been fluctuating. But for the past four weeks the figure has shown a continuous rise. Higher foreign exchange reserves lead to a stronger rupee which in turn reduces the cost of imports as fewer rupees have to be paid to buy the same amount of dollars to pay for items such as crude oil.

 

A higher foreign exchange kitty also provides a comfortable cushion to finance imports especially at a time when crude prices are shooting up in the international market and the country’s trade deficit has been growing. However, while FPI inflows add to the forex reserves they are considered “hot money” as they can leave Indian shores at short notice and this could send the rupee into a tailspin.

 

A senior finance ministry official said that foreign direct investment (FDI) is a more stable source of funding for the economy and since it also creates jobs and incomes the government is keen to see an increase in such investments. The Prime Minister’s trip to Davos was aimed at achieving this goal, he pointed out. He said that the government has been working on the ease of doing business which has seen a sharp increase in FDI inflows and this policy will continue in the forthcoming budget. At the same time the government is keen FPI inflows are not disrupted due to tax levies on stocks that create uncertainties, he added.

 

Source: Business Today

Sensex crosses 30,000 mark, Nifty ends at record 9,351.85

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The bull run was driven by hopes of earnings growth and continued buying by domestic investors. Rising global optimism on French elections results and likely announcement of tax reforms by Donald Trump in the US also pushed the markets higher.

With mixed positive sentiments among investors and unabated funds inflows in both global and domestic rallies, markets created yet another milestone in the stock trading history on Wednesday. The benchmark Sensex ended with new and all-time high of 30,133.35 for the first time, while the broader Nifty scaled a new peak at 9,351.85 points.

Similarly, energised by positive global cues in line with a spectacular rally in equities, the rupee also surged by another 15 paise to close near a fresh 21-month high of 64.11, the third straight session of gains. This is the highest closing for the rupee since August 10, 2015, when it had ended at 63.87.

The market momentum also got an additional push on growing expectations for robust foreign inflows to India sparked by a renewed optimism about the US economy and waning anxiety over the European political landscape. Besides, stocks also saw frenzied buying, in line with global shares, which have been on a high after the first round victory of centrist Emmanuel Macron in French presidential elections. Investors are also keeping an eye on US President Donald Trump’s much-awaited tax reforms.

However, traders and market insiders have a different view on this unusual rally, saying that the impressive show by the ruling BJP in Delhi civic polls added to the positivity in the share market.

Keeping the upward trend of the markets, the BSE, however, cautioned the investors not to be carried away by the ‘euphoria’ and refrain from investing in penny stocks. BSE Chief Executive Ashish Chauhan appealed to investors to invest only in good companies or opt for the mutual funds’ route to invest in the markets. “As an exchange, we advice investors not to be carried by the 30,000 mark euphoria and they should not invest in penny stocks nor do they fall prey to fly-by- night operators,” Chauhan said after celebrating the milestone at the Dalal Street towards the end of the trading hours in Mumbai.

As far as Sensex is concerned, the BSE 30-share index opened on a strong footing and surged to a lifetime high of 30,167.09 points in intra-day trade, before settling at 30,133.35, up 190.11 points, or 0.63 per cent. This surpassed its previous record close of 29,974.24, reached on April 5. The gauge had hit its previous intra-day high of 30,024.74 on March 4, 2015. The Sensex has gained 768.05 points or 2.62 per cent in three days.

Similarly, the broader 50-issue NSE Nifty scaled a new high of 9,367 before finally settling 45.25 points, or 0.49 per cent higher at 9,351.85, a new record closing.

Its previous closing high of 9,306.60 was hit in Tuesday’s trade. It also broke the previous intra-day record of 9,309.20. “Market has made a higher high on account of rising global optimism due to ease in political risk in Eurozone and expectation of tax reform in the US. “Volatility emerged during the late hours due to profit booking but short covering ahead the expiry navigated the direction back to north. Optimism on earnings and continued buying by local investors is directing the recent rally in the market,” said Vinod Nair, Head of Research, Geojit Financial Services.

Overseas, Asian indices also ended higher following overnight rally in US stocks on strong earnings announcements and expectations surrounding US President Donald Trump’s impending tax reforms. Tokyo’s Nikkei ended up 1.1 per cent, while Hong Kong’s Hang Seng rose 0.5 per cent, its fifth straight day of gains. Shanghai Composite Index edged up 0.2 per cent.

Key indices in Europe, however, were mixed in their morning deals, with Paris CAC 40 rising 0.1 per cent, London’s FTSE slipping 0.06 per cent and Frankfurt’s DAX 30 declining 0.03 per cent. Back home, of the 30-share Sensex pack, 18 scrips ended higher while 12 closed lower.

Major gainers were ITC 3.36 per cent, M&M 3.29 per cent, HDFC 2.36 per cent, HUL 1.78 per cent, ICICI Bank 1.61 per cent, Tata Motors 1.17 per cent, Bharti Airtel 1.14 per cent, Maruti 0.88 per cent, HDFC Bank 0.73 per cent and Asian Paints 0.73 per cent.

The total turnover on BSE amounted to Rs 5,021.73 crore, higher than Rs 4,006.89 crore registered during the previous trading session.

Source: http://www.timesnow.tv/business-economy/video/sensex-crosses-30000-mark-nifty-ends-at-record-935185/59996