After PM Modi Order, Enforcement Directorate’s crackdown on Shell Companies begins across 100 cities

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Enforcement Directorate is carrying out searches at 100 locations to detect shell companies.

Weeks after the Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s office ordered a crackdown on shell companies used to launder money, the Enforcement Directorate on Saturday carried out nationwide searches across 100 locations targeting nearly 300 shell companies.

Sources said Saturday’s ED raids on shell firms across more than a dozen states was a direct fallout of the coordinated action against these firms. Among the cities where the Enforcement Directorate teams were conducting raids are Kolkata, Chennai, Delhi, Ahmedabad, Chandigarh, Patna and Bengaluru. In Chennai, officials said searches were being carried out at 13 locations linked to 8 companies.

The PMO had last month identified paper companies, which do not conduct any operations but are used to launder money and evade taxes by other firms, as a big challenge to PM Modi’s war against black money.

As part of this exercise, the government had also decided to create a database of shell companies and their directors. A task force chaired jointly by the Revenue Secretary and Corporate Affairs Secretary was mandated to coordinate action against these dubious companies.

That the 1,155 shell companies detected over the last three years had been used as conduits by over 22,000 beneficiaries to launder money, one government official said, indicated how important it was to target shell companies. These companies face charges of dubious transactions running into more than Rs. 13,300 crore.

It is not clear if today’s multiple ED raids on shell firms are linked to the government’s finding that over 550 people had laundered Rs. 3,900 crore through such companies after the November 8 ban on the high-denomination notes.

An official report had earlier pointed that only 6 lakh of the 15 lakh registered companies file annual return. While it was possible that many of them may be defunct, officials said it could be possible that some of these could be involved in dubious transactions.

The Special Investigation Team to fight Black Money set up on the Supreme Court’s directions had also pointed that proactive detection of shell companies was going to be a key to the success of the government’s campaign.

Source: http://www.ndtv.com/india-news/after-pm-order-crackdown-on-shell-companies-begins-across-100-cities-1676030

Indian economy to pick up once impact of note ban fades: IMF

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IMF in its note titled ‘Global Prospects and Policy Challenges’ said, “Further subsidy reduction and tax reforms, including a robust design and full implementation of the Goods and Services Tax (GST), are necessary to attain medium-term fiscal consolidation plans.”

India’s economic growth is expected to pick up once the effects of cash shortages linked to the currency exchange initiative fade, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) has said. Prime Minister Narendra Modi on November 8 had announced scrapping of old Rs 500 and Rs 1000 notes, pulling out 86 per cent of the total currency in circulation.

 

Noting that India’s fiscal deficit is expected to continue narrowing in the near-term, the IMF in its note titled ‘Global Prospects and Policy Challenges’ said, “Further subsidy reduction and tax reforms, including a robust design and full implementation of the Goods and Services Tax (GST), are necessary to attain medium-term fiscal consolidation plans.”

 

It further observed that in some emerging economies like China and India reducing excessive corporate leverage and improving bank’s balance sheets or adopting more prudent risk-management practices, including to reduce currency and maturity balance sheet mismatches, will help reduce vulnerabilities to global financial conditions, possible capital outflows, and sharp currency movements.

 

The government last month pegged GDP growth at 7.1 per cent for 2016-17 despite the note ban. The Central Statistics Office (CSO) had put the figure for October-December at 7 per cent, compared to 7.4 per cent in the second quarter and 7.2 per cent in the first.

 

India’s growth was higher than China’s 6.8 per cent for October-December of 2016. The growth numbers were better than those projected by RBI (6.9 per cent) and international agencies like IMF (6.6 per cent) and OECD (7 per cent) in view of the cash recall. The Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) in February last year had projected the country’s growth at 7.4 per cent for 2016-17. Buoyed by higher-than-expected growth, Finance Minister Arun Jaitley has also said a 7 per cent expansion in the third quarter belies the exaggerated claims of note ban impact on the rural economy.

 

Source: http://www.financialexpress.com/economy/indian-economy-to-pick-up-once-impact-of-note-ban-fades-imf/589248/

Modi’s Win Sends Indian Stocks to Record, Rupee to 16-Month High

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– Nifty surpasses March 2015 peak, Sensex gains as much as 2.1%.
– Bigger-than-expected victory seen as endorsement of reforms

Indian equities rallied to a record and the rupee climbed the most since 2013 after Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s resounding victory in state elections boosted expectations for a continuation of his reform agenda.

The NSE Nifty 50 Index climbed 1.7 percent to 9,087, crossing its March 2015 record close, as the market reopened after a holiday. The India VIX Index, a gauge of expected stock-price swings, touched an all-time low. The rupee surged 1.2 percent to 65.8175 per dollar, the strongest level since November 2015. The central bank was seen buying dollars in early trade to cap gains but moved away later, Mumbai-based traders said.

“This win will give Modi the confidence to push ahead with more reforms and not pursue populist policies,” Sampath Reddy, chief investment officer at Bajaj Allianz Life Insurance Co., said by phone. The insurer, which oversees 480 billion rupees ($7.3 billion) of assets, is bullish on financial-services companies and metal producers, he said.

Modi’s Bharatiya Janata Party won 312 seats in the 403-member assembly of Uttar Pradesh, according to the Election Commission of India, up from 47 in 2012. The results in India’s largest state were seen as a litmus test of Modi’s popularity and reforms, including opening up the country to more foreign investment and seeking to introduce a goods and services tax, ahead of general elections in 2019.

While exit polls released last week suggested a large BJP victory was possible in Uttar Pradesh, the scale of the win was stark in a state that has long been divided along religious and caste lines. It is also a repudiation of political foes who assumed that Modi’s disruptive Nov. 8 move to junk high-value currency notes would be politically unpopular.

“Uttar Pradesh is a state where mandates have tended to be mostly divisive, so the result is a mandate for development, which has been sorely missing in the state,” Gautam Sinha Roy, a fund manager at Mumbai-based Motilal Oswal Asset Management Co., said by phone. “Markets will now start assigning higher probability to a BJP victory in the 2019 polls.”

India’s economic growth has been 7 percent or more in each of the last four quarters, which has helped lure $3.4 billion of foreign funds into local stocks and bonds this year. Mutual funds bought shares for seven months through February, including a record $2.1 billion in November. The S&P BSE Sensex has risen 11 percent in 2017, and the rupee is up 3.2 percent against the dollar.

“We expect the Reserve Bank of India to more actively cap further rupee gains given the sharp swing higher in the real effective exchange rate in recent months,” Divya Devesh, an Asia FX strategist at Standard Chartered Bank in Singapore, said by e-mail. He forecasts the rupee at 69 rupees to the dollar by year-end.

Pricey Valuations

The Nifty came off an intraday high of 9,122.75 as investor focus turned to a near-certain interest rate hike from the Federal Reserve this week and expected revival in corporate profitability. The Nifty and the Sensex are valued at about 21 times forward earnings, the highest level since April 2010.

“Valuations look stretched and investors are cautious with the Fed meeting round the corner,” said Sushant Kumar, a fund manager at RAAY Global Investments Pvt. in Mumbai. “Stocks have priced in the expected increase in rates. The focus is on Fed’s outlook.” The Nifty may reach 10,000 by March 2018, accompanied by as much as 14 percent expansion in earnings of its 50 members, he said.

Still, the scale of the BJP’s victory paves the way for further reforms and should lead to more inflows, supporting asset prices, according to Vikas Gupta, chief investment strategist at OmniScience Capital Pvt. in Mumbai.

“For international investors, India is one of the few emerging markets that has everything going for it: demographics, economics and politics,” he said. “With elections settled, it is clear that the federal government is now going to be fully in charge of the parliament.”

 

Source: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-03-14/modi-s-victory-sends-indian-stocks-to-record-rupee-advances

OECD backs demonetisation, projects FY17 GDP growth at 7%

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The Organisation of Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) has supported India’s demonetisation drive, asserting that immediate impact of the move on Indian economy will be transient.

The Organisation of Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) has supported India’s demonetisation drive, asserting that immediate impact of the move on Indian economy will be transient.

“Implementing the demonetisation has had transitory and short- term costs but should have long-term benefits,” OECD said on Tuesday in its report, Economic Survey of India. OECD Secretary-General Angel Gurria said the impact of demonetisation on consumption pattern may just have been limited to the quarter ended December 31, 2016.

The Paris-based global policy forum projected a GDP growth rate of 7 percent in the current financial year, while estimating it to grow to 7.3 percent in FY18 and 7.7 percent in FY19.

The OECD comments come a few hours before the Central Statistics Office (CSO) releases Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth estimates for Q3FY17 and the second full year advance estimates for 2016-17. The GDP estimates released in January projected that India would grow 7.1 percent in 2016-17 from 7.9 percent in the previous year.

Amid signs of slide in consumer goods sales and muted investment activity because of the cash crunch, it is highly likely that the CSO will sharply revise downwards India’s GDP growth in its second advance estimates. Economic Affairs Secretary Shaktikanta Das, who was also present at the launch of the report, said that the benefits and outcomes of demonetisation would be positive from next quarter. “The process of remonetisation is nearly complete. Any adverse impact of consumption in that quarter is not likely to spill over next year. So that is over and behind us,” Das said.

“The shift towards a less cash economy and formalisation should, however, improve the financing of the economy and availability of loans (as a result of the shift from cash to bank deposits) and should promote tax compliance,” the report said.

On November 8, Prime Minister Narendra Modi announced that existing 500 and 1000 rupee notes would cease to be legal tender, thereby sucking out 86 percent of the currency in circulation from the economy. The survey, however, said that the temporary cash shortage and wealth destruction, as fake currency and illegal cash will not be redeemed. T

he report further said that the implementation of the goods and services tax (GST) reform will contribute to making India more integrated market. “By reducing tax cascading, it will boost competitiveness, investment and job creation.

The GST reform — designed to be initially revenue-central — should be complemented by a reform of income and property taxes,” the OECD survey said.

The survey pointed out that investment is still held back by relatively high corporate income tax rates, slow land acquisition process, weak corporate balance sheets and high non-performing loans which weigh on banks’ lending and infrastructure bottlenecks.

Key recommendations of OECD included raising revenue, especially from property and personal income taxes, ensuring that government debt to GDP ratio returns to a declining path, as well as strengthening of public bank balance sheets by recapitalising them and promoting bank consolidation.

It also suggested simpler and flexible labour laws and a gradual reduction in corporate income tax from 30% to 25%, while broadening the tax base.

Source: http://www.moneycontrol.com/news/economy/oecd-backs-demonetisation-projects-fy17-gdp-growth-at-7_8569641.html

PM Narendra Modi, Shinzo Abe sign landmark India-Japan Civil Nuclear Deal

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Prime Minister Narendra Modi, today met with Japan Prime Minister Shinzo Abe and signed the Civil Nuclear Deal between India and Japan. PM Narendra Modi, after signing the deal said, “Our strategic partnership is not only for the good & security of our own societies. It also brings peace, stability & balance to region.” PM Modi added, “I wish to thank Prime Minister Abe for the support extended for India’s membership  of the Nuclear Suppliers Group.”

This move comes after six years of negotiation. After the Fukushima Nuclear Power Plant disaster, the nuclear deal negotiations were halted due to political resistance in Japan.

After many years, the deal was signed today on November 11. This nuclear treaty will bring Japan’s export nuclear technology to our country, and it will be a necessary step towards India’s nuclear deals with the US, France and other countries.

Soon after hitting the demonetization masterstroke in India, Prime Minister Narendra Modi left for his second visit to Japan in order to seal the civilian nuclear deal between the two countries. This is Modi’s fourth visit to Japan over the last decade (twice as PM and twice as Gujrat Chief Minister).

Soon after landing in Japan, Modi tweeted, “Reached Japan. Looking forward to fruitful deliberations that will boost economic and cultural ties between India and Japan.”

Statement from the Press:

Commenting on the issue, a top Japanese government official said, “Terrorism, which has been an outlier subject in Japan’s national discourse, was brought closer home in July, when seven of our own — five men and two women, who were associated with the Japan International Cooperation Agency — were killed in a terrorist attack in Dhaka.

Both the countries are expected to sign around 10 different agreements which highlight issues like skill development, culture etc. Nevertheless, the prime focus of this meet was the possible signing of the civilian nuclear deal that was initiated in June 2010 but got stuck after the Fukushima disaster in December 2015.

Commenting on the possible signing of the deal, Kumao Kaneko, a former Japanese diplomat and negotiator on nuclear issues, said that the NTP has been a treaty of “convenience and expediency”. Though India adheres to NPT principles, but has not inked the treaty yet. By signing the agreement, Japan is doing the correct thing, however, the Abe government will have to work hard in the Diet (Japan’s parliament) to get the naysayers on board.

Source: http://www.financialexpress.com/world-news/pm-narendra-modi-shinzo-abe-sign-india-japan-civil-nuclear-deal/443823/

India, UK set to sign GBP 1 bn biz deals

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India and the UK are expected to sign business deals exceeding GBP 1 billion (Rs 83,00 crore) during the three-day visit of British Prime Minister Theresa May, who is here on her first bilateral visit outside Europe since assuming office in July.

Describing her talks with Prime Minister Narendra Modi as good and productive, May said as leaders, they both were working to improve the livelihoods of their citizens creating jobs, developing skills, investing in infrastructure and supporting technologies of the future.Talking about Modi’s vision of smart cities, May said they have agreed on a new partnership that will bring together government, investors and experts to work together on urban development, unlocking opportunities worth GBP 2 billion for British businesses over the next five years.

This will focus on the dynamic state of Madhya Pradesh with plans for more smart cities than anywhere else and the historic city of Varanasi.

Four rupee-denominated bonds worth a total of 600 million pounds ($748 million) are expected to be listed in London in the next three months, Theresa May said.

The latest four bonds will provide financing to expand India’s highway and rail networks and meet its plans to boost energy efficiency and renewable energy, the government said.

They will be issued by Indian government-backed corporates Indian Railway Finance Corporation, Indian Renewable Energy Development Agency, Energy Efficiency Services Limited, and National Highways Authority of India by the end of January 2017. May said since July, more than 900 million pounds rupee-denominated bonds have been issued in London, equivalent of more than 70 percent of the global offshore market.

“This government will continue to work closely with both India and our financial services sector to ensure our growing rupee bond market continues to help finance India’s ambitious infrastructure investment plans,” May said in a statement. These rupee-denominated or masala bonds as they are called, unveiled in 2015, are an opportunity for Indian firms to raise money, while giving international investors access to higher yields in a zero-yield world.

They are also a way to borrow overseas, they are also an attempt to make the tightly-controlled rupee more widely available in global markets, similar to the way in which China has moved to sell more yuan debt to overseas investors. Alongside this, the UK has agreed to invest GBP 120 million in a joint fund that will leverage private sector investment from the City of London to finance Indian infrastructure.

Source: http://www.businesstoday.in/current/economy-politics/india-uk-set-to-sign-gbp-1-bn-biz-deals/story/239538.html

Ease of doing business: India banks on ‘remarkable work’ to improve World Bank ranking

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A man is silhouetted against the logo of the World Bank at the main venue for the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and World Bank annual meeting in Tokyo October 10, 2012. REUTERS/Kim Kyung-Hoon

As the World Bank looks set to release its annual ranking of countries in the ease of doing business later this week, India expects to improve its position from last year’s 130 out of 189 economies. The optimism stems from the fact that, for a second straight year, the country expects its ranking in “getting electricity’’ to improve substantially on the back of some “remarkable work” done by states, a senior government official told FE.

Last year, India was placed at 70 of the 189 countries in “getting electricity”, compared with 99 in the previous year. This had helped the country improve its ranking in the overall ease of doing business by 4 notches.

The government also believes that its “targeted intervention” to improve performance in difficult parameters — including dealing with construction permits and enforcing contracts — where the country has been faring badly for years now will start to pay, the official said.

So while it will take some time to correct the course in certain legacy issues, especially in enforcing contracts, the DIPP believes the much-improved performance of states will be reflected in the country’s ranking for the years to come.

For instance, while only two states (Gujarat and Andhra Pradesh) had scored over 70% in a 98-point action plan for the ease of doing business — jointly decided by them and the Centre — last year, as many as 16 states have scored over 70% so far this year, that too on a 340-point action plan, showed the latest data by the Department of Industrial Policy and Promotion (DIPP). Importantly, 10 states have scored over 90% so far this year (Andhra Pradesh and Telangana top the charts in 2016, each scoring over 99%).

The latest ranking of the World Bank takes into account reforms done up to the end of May, except in case of taxation.

The performance in access to electricity has been impressive, the official said. For instance, in Mumbai, the time required for getting a new electricity connection has been reduced to an average of around 15 days from 67 days earlier. The number of procedures involved has been cut down to just 3 from 7. Similarly, in Delhi, people can get connections in just 15 days now from as many as 140 days a few years earlier. The number of document required has been reduced to just 2 from 7 earlier. Access to electricity is crucial as it also has bearing on performance in some other aspects of the ease of doing business.

In “dealing with construction permits”, where the country was ranked at 183 of the 189 countries, the performance has improved. For instance, in Delhi and Mumbai, common online application form has been adopted for seeking construction permits. People don’t have to get no-objection certificates from anyone, as municipal corporations will get these certificates for them online. Earlier, some 18 no-objection certificates from different departments were required to be obtained by individuals for getting construction permits.

Also, in a metro like Delhi which has traditionally fared badly in handling construction permits, the documents required for this purpose has now been cut to just 14 from 39 earlier. Nine departments involved in the process of the sanction of buildings have been integrated online. The drawing of the construction plan is “auto-checked” by a software and no site inspection is necessary. Reforms on this parameter have been even quicker in other parts of the country.

On enforcing contracts in which India was placed at 178, the government has decided to set up commercial courts in a big way after the Commercial Courts, Commercial Division and Commercial Appellate Division of High Courts Bill was signed into a law on January 1.

Although the exact data on the formation of such courts are yet to be compiled precisely, roughly a dozen such courts are learnt to have been set up, especially in Delhi, Mumbai, Gujarat and Himachal Pradesh, to settle high-value business disputes.

All pending suits and applications on commercial disputes involving a claim of Rs 1 crore or more in high courts and civil courts will be transferred to the relevant commercial division or courts. The decision to set up such courts is in sync with the Narendra Modi government’s aim of making India a global arbitration hub. The government plans to introduce e-summon system and efforts are on to expedite the process of getting a verdict, said the official.

To boost cross-border trade, the number of documents required for trade has been restricted to just 2-3 from as many as a dozen in certain cases earlier. Importantly, the finance ministry is learnt to have sanctioned Rs 2,500 crore for the upgrade of the IT and some other systems of the Customs departments.

Source: http://www.financialexpress.com/economy/ease-of-doing-business-india-banks-on-remarkable-work-to-improve-world-bank-ranking/428887/