NPA woes to spill over into next fiscal, says Moody’s

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Weak asset quality will continue to plague credit profile of banks, with their profitability remaining under pressure till the next fiscal, says a report.

“Asset quality will remain a negative driver of the credit profiles of most rated banks in the country and the stock of impaired loans. Non-performing loans and standard restructured loans will still rise during the horizon of our outlook that lasts till the next financial year,” Alka Anbarasu, a vice-president and senior analyst at Moody’s, said in a report today.

The report is jointly penned by Moody’s and its domestic arm ICRA Ratings.

The report said the pressure on asset quality largely reflects the system’s legacy problems, as relating to the strong credit growth seen in 2009-12, when corporate investments rose significantly.

It, however, said aside from the legacy issues, the underlying asset trend for banks will be stable because of a generally supportive operating environment.

“While corporate balance sheets stay weak, a further deterioration in key credit metrics such as debt/equity and interest coverage ratios has been arrested,” the report said.

As per Karthik Srinivasan, a senior vice-president at ICRA, “while bank profitability is not expected to be as weak as the levels seen in the financial year 2015-16, the weakness in asset quality will continue to drag on profitability indicators, with return on equity remaining in the single digits for the financial years 2016-17 and 2017-18.”

Anbarasu said the pace of asset quality deterioration over the next 12-18 months should be lower than what was seen over the last five years, and especially compared to the financial year 2015-16.

She considers the Reserve Bank’s asset quality review in December 2015 as an important catalyst in pushing banks to recognise some large accounts as being impaired.

“We now estimate the ‘true’ level of impaired loans for Indian banks to be around 1-1.5 percentage points higher than the latest reported numbers,” Anbarasu said.

The latest Financial Stability Report by the RBI had said the gross non-performing advances ratio increased to 9.1 per cent from 7.8 per cent between March and September 2016, pushing the overall stressed advances ratio to 12.3 per cent from 11.5 per cent.
Moody’s said given the magnitude of stressed assets in the system, it expects the banks to increase their focus on resolving some of the large problem accounts.

“We expect an increased pace of debt restructuring under various schemes offered by RBI, including the scheme for sustainable structuring of stressed assets (S4A), strategic debt restructuring (SDR) and the 5:25 scheme,” the report said.

“Nevertheless, weak reserving levels and continued pressure on profitability will limit the ability of the banks to proactively resolve problem assets under these schemes,” Anbarasu said.

Icra said a muted level of credit off-take — on the back of weak demand, increasing competition and greater disintermediation — will continue to exert downward pressure on lending rates.

It said the overall capitalisation levels of most of the public sector banks remain moderate to weak, given that they need to attain the regulatory minimum tier-I requirement of 9.5 per cent by March 2019.

The current plan of infusing Rs 45,000 crore during 2016-17 and 2018-19, of which Rs 16,414 crore have already been infused in the current year, is below ICRA’s estimate of capital requirements of Rs 1,50,000-1,80,000 crore.

Source: http://www.business-standard.com/article/finance/npa-woes-to-spill-over-into-next-fiscal-says-moody-s-117010900510_1.html

RBI relaxes cash withdrawal rule

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The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has now said people depositing money with banks in legal tender (meaning, not in the now-banned Rs 500 and Rs 1,000 notes) on or after Tuesday are allowed to withdraw the equivalent amount without any restriction, preferably in high-value denomination.

It said it took this decision on careful consideration, as certain depositors were “hesitating to deposit their monies into bank accounts in view of the current limits on cash withdrawals from accounts”.

This would mean, for instance, that business owners who deposit cash at the end of a day can now go to a bank and withdraw money as they did before demonetisation, to the extent they had deposited in existing legal tender. All business owners, small or big, handle huge cash on a daily basis and typically operate through current accounts on which banks don’t offer any interest rate but put no restriction in withdrawal.

On November 14, the central bank had said banks should maintain a separate record for deposits done in old notes and the valid notes, customer-wise.

Source: http://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/rbi-relaxes-cash-withdrawal-rule-116112801294_1.html

Over 8,100 wilful defaulters owe Rs 76,685 crore to banks

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Public sector banks (PSBs) have reported 16 per cent rise in number of wilful defaulters at 8,167 who collectively owe them Rs 76,685 crore at the end of March 2016.

Public sector banks (PSBs) have reported 16 per cent rise in number of wilful defaulters at 8,167 who collectively owe them Rs 76,685 crore at the end of March 2016.

As against the previous year, there is 16 per cent rise in wilful defaulters owing over Rs 25 lakh each to 8,167 from 7,031 at the end of March 2015. However, dues to the bank have increased to 28.5 per cent to Rs 76,685 crore in 2015-16 from the earlier Rs 59,656 crore.

To recover loans from such defaulters, banks have filed 1,724 FIRs with a total outstanding of Rs 21,509 crore in 2015-16. The conviction rate in all these cases was only 1.14 per cent.

Last fiscal, banks recovery efforts in such cases yielded Rs 3,498 crore.

There were 129 wilful defaulters who borrowed loans in excess of Rs 100 crore amounting to Rs 28,525 crore from PSBs as on June 30, 2016, Minister of State for Finance Santosh Kumar Gangwar told the Lok Sabha in a written reply.

To bring down NPAs, he said, RBI has formulated guidelines for early recognition of financial distress for recovery from borrowers.

“Before a loan account turns NPA, banks are required to identify stress in the account under three sub-categories of Special Mention Account (SMA),” he said.

Banks are required to report credit information on borrowers having aggregate exposure of more than Rs 5 crore to Central Repository of Information of Large Credits (CRILC), he said.

“As soon as an account is reported by any of the lenders to CRILC as SMA-2, Joint Lenders’ Forum (JLF) is to be mandatorily formed if the aggregate exposure of lenders is more than 100 crore,” he said.

In a separate reply, Gangwar said banks have seized property worth Rs 64,519 crore during 2015-16 as against Rs 54,060 crore in the previous fiscal.

These properties were seized by invoking the Securitisation and Reconstruction of Financial Assets and Enforcement of Security Interest Act.

Source: http://www.financialexpress.com/industry/banking-finance/over-8100-wilful-defaulters-owe-rs-76685-crore-to-banks/449342/

Rs 500, Rs 1000 notes ban: A bonanza that can help govt to recapitalise banks

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If those with black money do not convert all their R500/1,000 notes to new ones for fear of the taxman discovering their hoards, the government could reap a rich bonanza.

 

Assume that, of the R14 lakh crore worth of R500/1,000 notes, R2 lakh crore are not converted, but are burned. With R2 lakh crore less of currency to redeem, RBI’s currency liabilities will reduce by this amount.

 

This effectively allows the central bank to print a broadly similar amount of fresh money without it affecting anything.

 

This can, theoretically, be parked in a contingency fund and later transferred to the profit and loss account and, over a period of time, given to the government — effectively then, the government can get a windfall to recapitalise banks.

 

This is what the chief economic advisor meant when he said, on Thursday, that the demonetisation could be seen as a transfer of black assets from private individuals to the government — the size of the transfer depends on how much currency is not converted and that, in turn, depends on the size of the black economy.

The accounting operation, of course, is a technical one and involves reducing the asset side of RBI’s balance sheet to match the reduction in the liabilities side — this is done by increasing the ‘net non-monetary liabilities’ which, since they appear on the assets side, will appear with a negative sign

(see graphic for details of RBI balance sheet).

 

 

Source: http://www.financialexpress.com/industry/banking-finance/rs-500-rs-1000-notes-ban-can-bonanza-help-govt-to-recapitalise-banks/443393/

DIPP notifies 100% FDI in more financial services

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DIPP notifies 100% FDI in more financial services The commerce and industry ministry notified 100 percent foreign direct investment in ‘other financial services’ carried out by NBFCs.

 

The move will help attract foreign capital into the country. “The government has liberalised its FDI policy in Other Financial Services and non-banking finance companies (NBFCs), the DIPP said in a press note.

 

Other financial services will include activities which are regulated by any financial sector regulator – RBI, SEBI, IRDA, Pension Fund Regulatory and Development Authority, National Housing Bank “or any other financial sector regulator as may be notified by the government in this regard,” it said.

 

Such foreign investment would be subject to conditionalities, including minimum capitalisation norms, as specified by the concerned regulator or government agency, it said.

 

The press note, however, did not specify the sectors which have been opened up for automatic route. The present regulations on NBFCs stipulate that FDI would be allowed on automatic route for only 18 specified NBFC activities after fulfilling prescribed minimum capitalisation norms mentioned therein.

 

In the Budget 2016-17 Speech, Finance Minister Arun Jaitley had announced about this liberalisation.

 

Currently, 100 percent FDI through automatic route is permitted in 18 NBFC activities including merchant banking, under writing, portfolio management services, financial consultancy and stock broking. In 2015-16, foreign direct investment in India grew by 29 percent year-on-year to USD 40 billion.

Source: http://www.moneycontrol.com/news/economy/dipp-notifies-100-fdimore-financial-services_7829901.html

 

FinMin revises criteria for recapitalisation of PSBs

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State-owned banks looking forward to the next round of capital infusion will need to fulfill a new set of criteria, including credit recovery, as the finance ministry has revised the recapitalisation norms.

The second tranche of capital allocation for the current fiscal would be based on cost of operations as well as recovery and quality of credit on the basis of risk weighted assets, sources said.

Only those lenders that fulfil the criteria post third quarter (October-December) results of the current fiscal will be eligible for the second round of funding, sources added.

The money was allocated last fiscal on the twin principles of ensuring 7.5 per cent common equity tier 1 (CET 1) at the end of the 2016 and growth capital to five major banks.

The government in July had announced the first round of capital infusion of Rs 22,915 crore for 13 banks.

“75 per cent of the amount (Rs 22,915 crore)…Is being released now to provide liquidity support for lending operations as also to enable banks to raise funds from the market,” the finance ministry had said in a statement.

“The remaining amount, to be released later, will be linked to performance with particular reference to greater efficiency, growth of both credit and deposits and reduction in the cost of operations,” it had said.

The first tranche was announced with the objective to enhance their lending operations and enable them to raise more money from the market.

Out of the Rs 22,915 crore, State Bank of India (SBI) was provided Rs 7,575 crore followed by Indian Overseas Bank (Rs 3,101 crore) and Punjab National Bank (Rs 2,816 crore).

The other lenders, which have got commitment of capital infusion are Bank of India (Rs 1,784 crore), Central Bank of India (Rs 1,729 crore), Syndicate Bank (Rs 1,034 crore), UCO Bank (Rs 1,033 crore), Canara Bank (Rs 997 crore), United Bank of India (Rs 810 crore), Union Bank of India (Rs 721 crore), Corporation Bank (Rs 677 crore), Dena Bank (Rs 594 crore) and Allahabad Bank (Rs 44 crore).

The capital infusion exercise for the current fiscal is based on an assessment of need as per the compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) of credit growth for the last five years, banks’ own projections of credit growth and estimates of the potential for growth of each PSB, it had said.

Finance minister Arun Jaitley in his budget speech for 2016-17 had proposed to allocate Rs 25,000 crore towards recapitalisation of PSU banks. “If additional capital is required by these banks, we will find the resources for doing so. We stand solidly behind these Banks,” he had said.

 

Source: http://www.mydigitalfc.com/economy/finmin-revises-criteria-recapitalisation-psbs-539

Reserve Bank widens market for sale of stressed assets

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In a bid to improve the sale of bad loans by lenders, the Reserve Bank of India has allowed banks to sell these assets to other banks, non-banking financial companies (NBFCs) or financial institutions. It has also made banks’ boards more accountable for stress resolution.

“Prospective buyers need not be restricted to SCs/RCs (securitisation companies/reconstruction companies). Banks may also offer the assets to other banks/NBFCs/FIs, etc, who have the necessary capital and expertise in resolving stressed assets,” said RBI.

The RBI believes this will lead to better price discovery, and to attract more buyers lenders have been asked to follow the e-auction process. Prospective buyers should also be given a minimum of two weeks for due-diligence and in case the exposure is above Rs 50 crore, then banks need to get at least two external valuation reports.

The head of banking and finance practice with an international advisory firm said while the intent was good, it was more an effort to regularise the process by specifying rules for asset sale. But, instead of leaving it to bank boards to decide on the valuation framework, the regulator could specify the standard policy for asset sale.

To expedite the process, RBI has nudged banks to use the “Swiss challenge method” to sell non-performing loans of recent vintage. Under this method, an entity (bank or lender) that receives an unsolicited bid for an asset or project has to publish the bid and invite third parties to match or exceed it. The entity that submits the unsolicited bid will be allowed to match or better the ensuing best bid.

RBI has decided to restrict banks’ investment in security receipts (SRs) backed by their own stressed assets. This is being done to ensure that there is “true sale of assets,” said RBI.  The central bank has said from April 1, 2017, when SRs’ value is above 50 per cent of the amount of assets sold, banks need to make higher provisioning that should either be the net asset value declared by the SCs/RCs or provisioning as if it was a direct loan. However, from April 1, 2018, the threshold will be reduced to 10 per cent.

These ARCs or SCs will also have the first right of refusal in case they have already acquired a significant share, 25-30 per cent, of the asset.

Lenders have been asked to set up a board for early recognition and sale of assets, which must conduct periodic review at least once a year, and the board needs to be involved in the entire sale process, RBI said.

According to the norms, banks need to adopt a “top-down” process, which means their head offices will be involved in identification of the assets. This is in line with several steps taken by RBI to tackle rising stressed loans, which at the end of the quarter ended June stood at 12 per cent of the total advances.

Source: http://www.business-standard.com/article/finance/reserve-bank-widens-market-for-sale-of-stressed-assets-116090101033_1.html