India Inc more analytics savvy than global peers

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There are a few aspects that are common to Indian organisations that have a successful analytics strategy in place.

Non-banking finance companies could well outpace commercial banks, struggling to grow amid muted loan expansion and bad loan burden, said global rating company Moody’s.

But, NBFCs too are exposed to certain risks emanating from their fast-faced growth in loan against properties, which they are in a position to mitigate with larger share in mortgaged loans.

Non-bank financial companies (NBFCs) in India (Baa3 positive) will demonstrate broadly stable asset quality, but  delinquencies will likely rise over the next 1-2 quarters, as demonetisation adversely affects collections across asset classes, said Moody’s Investors Service in a note.

“While the 90+days delinquency rate in the commercial vehicle (CV) loan segment largely stabilized in the first half of the fiscal year ending 31 March 2017, such delinquencies should build up in the near term due to the adverse impact of demonetisation and tighter recognition norms for non-performing  assets (NPAs),” said Alka Anbarasu, a Moody’s Vice President and Senior Analyst.

Moody’s also notes that the growth in loans against property (LAP) has outpaced overall retail credit growth in recent years, but relatively loose underwriting practices–combined with intensifying competition – will translate into higher asset quality risk for this segment.

Furthermore, over the past 3 years, NBFCs have gained some market share in the origination of retail lending, on the back of the faster growth exhibited by such entities when compared to the banks.

This is particularly the case when compared to public sector banks, which face significant challenges on their asset quality and overall solvency profiles.

“Nevertheless, we expect that competitive pressures from the banking sector will remain intense as banks are increasing targeting of the retail segment to offset weakness in their corporate lending. In addition, retail lending, particularly housing loans, is more capital efficient for the banks,” said Anbarasu.

And, while the NBFCs’ capitalization levels are adequate, with average Tier 1 ratios in excess of 14%, capital generation will lag credit growth. Access to external capital will therefore be key in sustaining the NBFCs’ growth momentum.

On funding, Moody’s expects that the NBFCs’ funding profiles will broadly remain stable, and funding costs should moderate gradually, given the reduction in systemic rates.

In addition, the NBFCs’ profitability and capital, as well as funding and liquidity levels, will stay broadly stable.

The NBFCs are growing at a fast pace, and have gained market share in the origination of retail credit. And, their share of LAP pose a potential source of risk, with such loans growing at a rapid compound annual growth rate of about 25% over the last four years compared to 17% for overall retail credit.

Moody’s says that the NBFCs’ exposure to potential risks from LAP is broadly offset by their share of stable mortgage loans, because favorable demographics and economics, tax incentives for home loans and an increasingly affordable housing segment support asset quality.

Moody’s expects that the loss given default for both home loans and LAP will be limited, in light of the underlying collateral.

Source: http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/articleshow/57749011.cms

 

Smaller VC firms ride on SIDBI and local investors

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In the past six months, several venture capital (VCs) funds have raised money or are in the process of raising money. These include funds from IDG Ventures, DSG Consumer Partners, Orios Venture Partners, Kae Capital, Blume Ventures, Saama Capital, Fireside Ventures, Stellaris Venture Partners, Endiya Partners and Pravega Ventures.

 

What’s common between them is Sidbi, the lending institution managing several start-up funds, including the government’s, which plays an anchor investor to many of these funds with a 15-20 per cent stake. This is helping these funds raise money from other domestic investors — family offices and high networth individuals (HNIs).

 

‘‘Fundraising is not easy, especially for smaller VC firms. They don’t get large institutional investors; they get family offices and HNIs,” says a VC. Having an institution like Sidbi comforts other local investors.

 

‘‘Sidbi does extensive amount of due-diligence, reporting, appoints board members. They have a proper investment committee. So, you have comfort that there’s institutional due-diligence on the fund,” says Rehan Yar Khan, managing partner, Orios Venture Partners.

 

In February, Sidbi said its fund of funds operations has sanctioned Rs 1,112 crore to 30 funds in FY17, double of Rs 607 crore for 16 funds it did in FY16. Sidbi manages many fund of funds, including the government’s Rs 10,000-crore fund of funds for start-ups.

 

The funds, which have received Sidbi’s commitment under this programme, are Orios Venture Partners Fund II (Rs 50 crore), Kae Capital (Rs 45 crore), and two little known funds, Saha Trust (Rs 10 crore) and Kitven Fund III (Rs 5 crore), Sidbi disclosed in response to an RTI query from Business Standard. There are others like Blume Ventures, IDG Ventures, India Quotient, which have received Sidbi’s funding.

 

Interestingly, several funds — maiden funds and second funds — have hit the market in the past one year, all targeting domestic investors. Yet, all of them are able to raise money and announced their first or final close, which shows the increasing depth of domestic investors.

 

These include professionals in large firms, like Infosys founders, who have made money through ESOPs, family offices of traditional business families and others which are starting to get organised.

 

Many wealth management and advisory firms have come up, who are able to reach these family offices in a more effective way.  But are we seeing too many funds raising too much capital?

 

‘‘There’s a big need for early stage capital. In the US, the size of the VC market is $25-26 billion and the seed capital of $22 billion. As opposed to that, we are at a pittance. The game has not even started here,” says another VC. Besides, bigger VC firms like Accel, Sequoia also do seed-stage deals, but mostly do VC.

Source: http://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/smaller-vc-firms-ride-on-sidbi-and-local-investors-117030900003_1.html

FIPB clears 15 FDI proposals worth Rs12,000 crore, defers 6

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The FIPB, headed by economic affairs secretary Shaktikanta Das, deferred 6 proposals, including that of Gland Pharma with the proposed FDI inflow of Rs8,800 crore.

Inter-ministerial body, foreign investment promotion board (FIPB) on Tuesday approved 15 investment proposals, including that of Apollo Hospitals, Hindustan Aeronautics Ltd, Dr. Reddy’s Laboratories and Vodafone, envisaging foreign investment of Rs12,200 crore. “15 out of 24 FDI proposals were approved while three were rejected,” people familiar with the matter said.

The FIPB, headed by economic affairs secretary Shaktikanta Das, deferred 6 proposals, including that of Gland Pharma with the proposed FDI inflow of Rs8,800 crore.

These proposals were deferred for further consultation and want of more information, sources added. Among the proposals approved, Twinstar Technologies will alone bring foreign capital of about Rs9,000 crore into the country.

Besides, proposal of Apollo Hospitals worth Rs750 crore and public sector Hindustan Aeronautics worth Rs170 crore for helicopter manufacturing also got green signal from the board.

The government has already announced winding up of FIPB by putting in place a new mechanism, a move which will further improve ease of doing business.

Finance minister Arun Jaitley in his Budget 2017-18 announced abolishing FIPB saying 90% of the foreign investment approvals are via automatic route and only 10% go to the board.

Currently, FIPB offers single-window clearance for applications on FDI in India that are under the approval route. The sectors under automatic route do not require any prior approval and are subject to only sectoral laws.

India allows FDI in most sectors through the automatic route, but in certain segments that are considered sensitive for the economy and security, the proposals have to be first cleared by the FIPB. With growth in FDI in important sectors like services and manufacturing, overall foreign inflows in the country rose by 30% to $21.62 billion during the first half of 2016-17. FDI in the country grew by 29% to $40 billion in 2015-16 as against $30.94 billion in the previous financial year.

Source: http://www.livemint.com/Politics/P9toBbJ2zW53TvhzKFkelO/FIPB-clears-15-FDI-proposals-worth-Rs12000-crore-defers-6.html

NPA woes to spill over into next fiscal, says Moody’s

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Weak asset quality will continue to plague credit profile of banks, with their profitability remaining under pressure till the next fiscal, says a report.

“Asset quality will remain a negative driver of the credit profiles of most rated banks in the country and the stock of impaired loans. Non-performing loans and standard restructured loans will still rise during the horizon of our outlook that lasts till the next financial year,” Alka Anbarasu, a vice-president and senior analyst at Moody’s, said in a report today.

The report is jointly penned by Moody’s and its domestic arm ICRA Ratings.

The report said the pressure on asset quality largely reflects the system’s legacy problems, as relating to the strong credit growth seen in 2009-12, when corporate investments rose significantly.

It, however, said aside from the legacy issues, the underlying asset trend for banks will be stable because of a generally supportive operating environment.

“While corporate balance sheets stay weak, a further deterioration in key credit metrics such as debt/equity and interest coverage ratios has been arrested,” the report said.

As per Karthik Srinivasan, a senior vice-president at ICRA, “while bank profitability is not expected to be as weak as the levels seen in the financial year 2015-16, the weakness in asset quality will continue to drag on profitability indicators, with return on equity remaining in the single digits for the financial years 2016-17 and 2017-18.”

Anbarasu said the pace of asset quality deterioration over the next 12-18 months should be lower than what was seen over the last five years, and especially compared to the financial year 2015-16.

She considers the Reserve Bank’s asset quality review in December 2015 as an important catalyst in pushing banks to recognise some large accounts as being impaired.

“We now estimate the ‘true’ level of impaired loans for Indian banks to be around 1-1.5 percentage points higher than the latest reported numbers,” Anbarasu said.

The latest Financial Stability Report by the RBI had said the gross non-performing advances ratio increased to 9.1 per cent from 7.8 per cent between March and September 2016, pushing the overall stressed advances ratio to 12.3 per cent from 11.5 per cent.
Moody’s said given the magnitude of stressed assets in the system, it expects the banks to increase their focus on resolving some of the large problem accounts.

“We expect an increased pace of debt restructuring under various schemes offered by RBI, including the scheme for sustainable structuring of stressed assets (S4A), strategic debt restructuring (SDR) and the 5:25 scheme,” the report said.

“Nevertheless, weak reserving levels and continued pressure on profitability will limit the ability of the banks to proactively resolve problem assets under these schemes,” Anbarasu said.

Icra said a muted level of credit off-take — on the back of weak demand, increasing competition and greater disintermediation — will continue to exert downward pressure on lending rates.

It said the overall capitalisation levels of most of the public sector banks remain moderate to weak, given that they need to attain the regulatory minimum tier-I requirement of 9.5 per cent by March 2019.

The current plan of infusing Rs 45,000 crore during 2016-17 and 2018-19, of which Rs 16,414 crore have already been infused in the current year, is below ICRA’s estimate of capital requirements of Rs 1,50,000-1,80,000 crore.

Source: http://www.business-standard.com/article/finance/npa-woes-to-spill-over-into-next-fiscal-says-moody-s-117010900510_1.html

Fund mop-ups via IPOs in 2016 three-fold higher than a year ago

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Money raised through public issues in 2016 so far is three fold higher compared to the same period in 2015. As many as 21 companies have debuted on the bourses so far raising Rs 19,379.09 crore, an increase of around 205% compared to last year when 15 companies raised Rs 6,346.02 crore, data compiled from Prime Data base shows. During the same period in 2014, four companies raised Rs 4,029 crore.

 

Of the issues that hit the primary markets in 2016, the Rs 6,000-crore initial public offering (IPO) of ICICI Prudential Life Insurance, a subsidiary of ICICI Bank, was the biggest. This is followed by the issue of small finance bank, Equitas Holdings which raised around Rs 2,000 crore. Punjab National Bank’s (PNB) subsidiary firm, PNB Housing Finance will hit the primary market on Oct 25,the company is expected to raise Rs 3,000 crore in a price band of Rs 750 – Rs 775.

 

According to data compiled from the website of Securities and Exchange Board of India (Sebi), draft documents of as many as 10 companies are under process of receiving the market regulator’s approval for their public issues. Among the companies whose issues are yet to receive Sebi’s approval include Aster DM Healthcare, Avenue Supermarts, Security &Intelligence Services (India) and Continental Warehousing Corporation. The IPOs of these companies are expected between Rs 1,000 and Rs 2,000 crore.

 

On the other hand, as many as 15 companies have received Sebi’s approval for their public issues which are expected to raise around Rs 4,800 crore. Of the issues, the Rs 1,000 crore IPO of pharma company Laurus Labs is the biggest issue followed by real estate firm Paranjape Schemes whose issue is expected to raise Rs 600 crore.

Source: http://www.financialexpress.com/markets/indian-markets/fund-mop-ups-via-ipos-in-2016-three-fold-higher-than-a-year-ago/428823/

India ranks 130th in ease of doing business index

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India continues to rank low at 130th position in terms of ease of doing business, with the country seeing little or no improvement in dealing with construction permits, getting credit and other parameters.

In the World Bank’s latest ‘Doing Business’ report, India’s place remained unchanged from last year’s original ranking of 130 among the 190 economies that were assessed on various parameters. However, the last year’s ranking has been now revised to 131 from which the country has improved its place by one spot.

The government has been making efforts to further improve the ease of doing business and aims to bring the country in the top 50.

Expressing disappointment over no change in India’s ranking in the World Bank’s index on ease of doing business, Indian government regretted that the report did not take into consideration 12 key reforms undertaken by the government.

When it comes to ‘distance to frontier’ — a measurement of the gap between an economy’s performance and the best practice score of 100 — India’s score has improved to 55.27 this year from 53.93 last year.

India is the only country for which the report has a box dedicated to its ongoing economic reforms.

The list of countries in the Doing Business 2017 is topped by New Zealand while Singapore is ranked second. It is followed by Denmark, Hong Kong, South Korea, Norway, the UK, the US, Sweden and former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia.

Neighbouring Pakistan is ranked 144th in the list.

On the basis of reforms undertaken, the top 10 improvers are Brunei Darussalam, Kazakhstan, Kenya, Belarus, Indonesia, Serbia, Georgia, Pakistan, United Arab Emirates and Bahrain.

A record 137 economies around the world have adopted key reforms that make it easier to start and operate small and medium-sized businesses, the report said.

Developing countries carried out more than 75 per cent of the 283 reforms in the past year, with Sub-Saharan Africa accounting for over one-quarter of all reforms, it added.

“What we have seen is a remarkable effort on the part of the government to implement business reforms. It looks like we are going to have to wait for another year or so. But the direction of change is fundamentally a very significant one,” Global Indicators Group Director Augusto Lopez-Claros told PTI in an interview.

The rankings are based on ten parameters — starting a business, dealing with construction permits, getting electricity, registering property, getting credit, protecting minority investors, paying taxes, trading across borders, enforcing contracts and resolving insolvency.

India has improved its ranking with respect to various areas. In terms of getting electricity, the country’s position has jumped to 26th spot from 51st place last year.

When it comes to trading across borders, the ranking has moved up one place to 143, and in enforcing contracts the rise is of six spots to 172nd position.

However, with respect to starting a business, the ranking has slipped four places to 155th spot and in the case of dealing with construction permits by one rank to 185th.

As per the report, India’s ranking in terms of protecting minority investors dropped to 13th place from 10th position last year.

With regard to getting credit, the ranking has fallen by two places to 44.

Explaining as to why India’s reform efforts is not being reflected in the ease of doing business report, Lopez-Claros said it very often takes some time for the reforms implemented by governments about the regulatory environment to be felt on the ground by the business community.

Rita Ramalho, Manager of the Doing Business project said that there were in fact improvements this year.

“There are four areas of improvement this year in India getting electricity, trading across border, enforcing contracts and paying taxes,” Ramalho told PTI.

India’s ranking is based on the study of the system in the two cities of Mumbai and New Delhi.

“The reason why there is no real movement in the ranking is more to do with the fact that other countries are also moving. In absolute terms India, does improve significantly.

There aren’t many countries that improved more than India in terms of absolute number,” Ramalho said.

The ‘Doing Business’ project provides objective measures of business regulations for local firms in economies and selected cities at the sub-national level.

The World Bank is emphasising that countries pay attention to what it calls “distance to frontier” which is an absolute metric, Lopez-Claros said.

“There has been actually substantial increase in the last 12 months in India by couple of percentage points, which is quite large,” he noted.

Source: http://www.businesstoday.in/current/economy-politics/india-ranks-130th-in-ease-of-doing-business-index/story/238944.html

IPO fund-raising in India highest since 2011

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Fund raising through initial public offerings (IPOs) has crossed $2.9 billion in 2016 and another $2.9 billion is to be raised through these offerings this year, according to a research report by Baker & McKenzie.

Around 22 companies are waiting to tap the markets bringing the year-end estimated total deal value to $ 5.8 billion, more than double last year’s $2.18 billion from 71 listings, and also the highest since 2011, the report said.

The report further said that 16 companies are in the pipeline to be listed domestically in 2017, raising as much as $5.86 billion, including Vodafone’s highly anticipated $3 billion IPO, which could potentially surpass the state-run Coal India’s IPO in 2010 to become India’s biggest IPO.

The report said the momentum in India’s IPO market continues to build, boosted by the central government’s push to ease of doing business in India.

The report added that Goods & Services Tax (GST) Bill which will take effect on 1 April 2017 will have a positive effect on the market.

“The GST Bill will not only bring about the immediate benefit of widening the country’s tax base and improving the revenue productivity of domestic indirect taxes, but more importantly, it sends the message to the people of India and the rest of the world that the Indian government is committed to the country’s economic reform, further bolstering India’s attractiveness as an investment destination,” said Ashok Lalwani, head of Baker & McKenzie’s India Practice.

The report said dual listing on both the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) and the National Stock Exchange (NSE) of India accounted for 98.8% of Indian companies’ listings by value in 2016 year to date, raising a total of $ 2.9 billion from 19 IPOs, including ICICI Prudential Life Insurance’s $909 million IPO, which is the country’s biggest IPO this year.

A total of 33 companies are expected to dual list on both the BSE and the NSE by the end of 2016, raising a total of $4.62 billion. Improved business confidence is also driving Indian companies to look at growth and market expansion opportunities overseas by way of cross-border IPOs, the report said.

Among the 22 IPOs in the 2016 pipeline is Strand Life Sciences’ listing on NASDAQ, which if it goes ahead, will be India’s first cross-border IPO since early 2015 when Videocon d2h got listed, the report added.

Source: http://www.financialexpress.com/industry/companies/ipo-fund-raising-in-india-highest-since-2011/415830/