NPA woes to spill over into next fiscal, says Moody’s

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Weak asset quality will continue to plague credit profile of banks, with their profitability remaining under pressure till the next fiscal, says a report.

“Asset quality will remain a negative driver of the credit profiles of most rated banks in the country and the stock of impaired loans. Non-performing loans and standard restructured loans will still rise during the horizon of our outlook that lasts till the next financial year,” Alka Anbarasu, a vice-president and senior analyst at Moody’s, said in a report today.

The report is jointly penned by Moody’s and its domestic arm ICRA Ratings.

The report said the pressure on asset quality largely reflects the system’s legacy problems, as relating to the strong credit growth seen in 2009-12, when corporate investments rose significantly.

It, however, said aside from the legacy issues, the underlying asset trend for banks will be stable because of a generally supportive operating environment.

“While corporate balance sheets stay weak, a further deterioration in key credit metrics such as debt/equity and interest coverage ratios has been arrested,” the report said.

As per Karthik Srinivasan, a senior vice-president at ICRA, “while bank profitability is not expected to be as weak as the levels seen in the financial year 2015-16, the weakness in asset quality will continue to drag on profitability indicators, with return on equity remaining in the single digits for the financial years 2016-17 and 2017-18.”

Anbarasu said the pace of asset quality deterioration over the next 12-18 months should be lower than what was seen over the last five years, and especially compared to the financial year 2015-16.

She considers the Reserve Bank’s asset quality review in December 2015 as an important catalyst in pushing banks to recognise some large accounts as being impaired.

“We now estimate the ‘true’ level of impaired loans for Indian banks to be around 1-1.5 percentage points higher than the latest reported numbers,” Anbarasu said.

The latest Financial Stability Report by the RBI had said the gross non-performing advances ratio increased to 9.1 per cent from 7.8 per cent between March and September 2016, pushing the overall stressed advances ratio to 12.3 per cent from 11.5 per cent.
Moody’s said given the magnitude of stressed assets in the system, it expects the banks to increase their focus on resolving some of the large problem accounts.

“We expect an increased pace of debt restructuring under various schemes offered by RBI, including the scheme for sustainable structuring of stressed assets (S4A), strategic debt restructuring (SDR) and the 5:25 scheme,” the report said.

“Nevertheless, weak reserving levels and continued pressure on profitability will limit the ability of the banks to proactively resolve problem assets under these schemes,” Anbarasu said.

Icra said a muted level of credit off-take — on the back of weak demand, increasing competition and greater disintermediation — will continue to exert downward pressure on lending rates.

It said the overall capitalisation levels of most of the public sector banks remain moderate to weak, given that they need to attain the regulatory minimum tier-I requirement of 9.5 per cent by March 2019.

The current plan of infusing Rs 45,000 crore during 2016-17 and 2018-19, of which Rs 16,414 crore have already been infused in the current year, is below ICRA’s estimate of capital requirements of Rs 1,50,000-1,80,000 crore.

Source: http://www.business-standard.com/article/finance/npa-woes-to-spill-over-into-next-fiscal-says-moody-s-117010900510_1.html

Fund mop-ups via IPOs in 2016 three-fold higher than a year ago

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Money raised through public issues in 2016 so far is three fold higher compared to the same period in 2015. As many as 21 companies have debuted on the bourses so far raising Rs 19,379.09 crore, an increase of around 205% compared to last year when 15 companies raised Rs 6,346.02 crore, data compiled from Prime Data base shows. During the same period in 2014, four companies raised Rs 4,029 crore.

 

Of the issues that hit the primary markets in 2016, the Rs 6,000-crore initial public offering (IPO) of ICICI Prudential Life Insurance, a subsidiary of ICICI Bank, was the biggest. This is followed by the issue of small finance bank, Equitas Holdings which raised around Rs 2,000 crore. Punjab National Bank’s (PNB) subsidiary firm, PNB Housing Finance will hit the primary market on Oct 25,the company is expected to raise Rs 3,000 crore in a price band of Rs 750 – Rs 775.

 

According to data compiled from the website of Securities and Exchange Board of India (Sebi), draft documents of as many as 10 companies are under process of receiving the market regulator’s approval for their public issues. Among the companies whose issues are yet to receive Sebi’s approval include Aster DM Healthcare, Avenue Supermarts, Security &Intelligence Services (India) and Continental Warehousing Corporation. The IPOs of these companies are expected between Rs 1,000 and Rs 2,000 crore.

 

On the other hand, as many as 15 companies have received Sebi’s approval for their public issues which are expected to raise around Rs 4,800 crore. Of the issues, the Rs 1,000 crore IPO of pharma company Laurus Labs is the biggest issue followed by real estate firm Paranjape Schemes whose issue is expected to raise Rs 600 crore.

Source: http://www.financialexpress.com/markets/indian-markets/fund-mop-ups-via-ipos-in-2016-three-fold-higher-than-a-year-ago/428823/

India ranks 130th in ease of doing business index

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India continues to rank low at 130th position in terms of ease of doing business, with the country seeing little or no improvement in dealing with construction permits, getting credit and other parameters.

In the World Bank’s latest ‘Doing Business’ report, India’s place remained unchanged from last year’s original ranking of 130 among the 190 economies that were assessed on various parameters. However, the last year’s ranking has been now revised to 131 from which the country has improved its place by one spot.

The government has been making efforts to further improve the ease of doing business and aims to bring the country in the top 50.

Expressing disappointment over no change in India’s ranking in the World Bank’s index on ease of doing business, Indian government regretted that the report did not take into consideration 12 key reforms undertaken by the government.

When it comes to ‘distance to frontier’ — a measurement of the gap between an economy’s performance and the best practice score of 100 — India’s score has improved to 55.27 this year from 53.93 last year.

India is the only country for which the report has a box dedicated to its ongoing economic reforms.

The list of countries in the Doing Business 2017 is topped by New Zealand while Singapore is ranked second. It is followed by Denmark, Hong Kong, South Korea, Norway, the UK, the US, Sweden and former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia.

Neighbouring Pakistan is ranked 144th in the list.

On the basis of reforms undertaken, the top 10 improvers are Brunei Darussalam, Kazakhstan, Kenya, Belarus, Indonesia, Serbia, Georgia, Pakistan, United Arab Emirates and Bahrain.

A record 137 economies around the world have adopted key reforms that make it easier to start and operate small and medium-sized businesses, the report said.

Developing countries carried out more than 75 per cent of the 283 reforms in the past year, with Sub-Saharan Africa accounting for over one-quarter of all reforms, it added.

“What we have seen is a remarkable effort on the part of the government to implement business reforms. It looks like we are going to have to wait for another year or so. But the direction of change is fundamentally a very significant one,” Global Indicators Group Director Augusto Lopez-Claros told PTI in an interview.

The rankings are based on ten parameters — starting a business, dealing with construction permits, getting electricity, registering property, getting credit, protecting minority investors, paying taxes, trading across borders, enforcing contracts and resolving insolvency.

India has improved its ranking with respect to various areas. In terms of getting electricity, the country’s position has jumped to 26th spot from 51st place last year.

When it comes to trading across borders, the ranking has moved up one place to 143, and in enforcing contracts the rise is of six spots to 172nd position.

However, with respect to starting a business, the ranking has slipped four places to 155th spot and in the case of dealing with construction permits by one rank to 185th.

As per the report, India’s ranking in terms of protecting minority investors dropped to 13th place from 10th position last year.

With regard to getting credit, the ranking has fallen by two places to 44.

Explaining as to why India’s reform efforts is not being reflected in the ease of doing business report, Lopez-Claros said it very often takes some time for the reforms implemented by governments about the regulatory environment to be felt on the ground by the business community.

Rita Ramalho, Manager of the Doing Business project said that there were in fact improvements this year.

“There are four areas of improvement this year in India getting electricity, trading across border, enforcing contracts and paying taxes,” Ramalho told PTI.

India’s ranking is based on the study of the system in the two cities of Mumbai and New Delhi.

“The reason why there is no real movement in the ranking is more to do with the fact that other countries are also moving. In absolute terms India, does improve significantly.

There aren’t many countries that improved more than India in terms of absolute number,” Ramalho said.

The ‘Doing Business’ project provides objective measures of business regulations for local firms in economies and selected cities at the sub-national level.

The World Bank is emphasising that countries pay attention to what it calls “distance to frontier” which is an absolute metric, Lopez-Claros said.

“There has been actually substantial increase in the last 12 months in India by couple of percentage points, which is quite large,” he noted.

Source: http://www.businesstoday.in/current/economy-politics/india-ranks-130th-in-ease-of-doing-business-index/story/238944.html

IPO fund-raising in India highest since 2011

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Fund raising through initial public offerings (IPOs) has crossed $2.9 billion in 2016 and another $2.9 billion is to be raised through these offerings this year, according to a research report by Baker & McKenzie.

Around 22 companies are waiting to tap the markets bringing the year-end estimated total deal value to $ 5.8 billion, more than double last year’s $2.18 billion from 71 listings, and also the highest since 2011, the report said.

The report further said that 16 companies are in the pipeline to be listed domestically in 2017, raising as much as $5.86 billion, including Vodafone’s highly anticipated $3 billion IPO, which could potentially surpass the state-run Coal India’s IPO in 2010 to become India’s biggest IPO.

The report said the momentum in India’s IPO market continues to build, boosted by the central government’s push to ease of doing business in India.

The report added that Goods & Services Tax (GST) Bill which will take effect on 1 April 2017 will have a positive effect on the market.

“The GST Bill will not only bring about the immediate benefit of widening the country’s tax base and improving the revenue productivity of domestic indirect taxes, but more importantly, it sends the message to the people of India and the rest of the world that the Indian government is committed to the country’s economic reform, further bolstering India’s attractiveness as an investment destination,” said Ashok Lalwani, head of Baker & McKenzie’s India Practice.

The report said dual listing on both the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) and the National Stock Exchange (NSE) of India accounted for 98.8% of Indian companies’ listings by value in 2016 year to date, raising a total of $ 2.9 billion from 19 IPOs, including ICICI Prudential Life Insurance’s $909 million IPO, which is the country’s biggest IPO this year.

A total of 33 companies are expected to dual list on both the BSE and the NSE by the end of 2016, raising a total of $4.62 billion. Improved business confidence is also driving Indian companies to look at growth and market expansion opportunities overseas by way of cross-border IPOs, the report said.

Among the 22 IPOs in the 2016 pipeline is Strand Life Sciences’ listing on NASDAQ, which if it goes ahead, will be India’s first cross-border IPO since early 2015 when Videocon d2h got listed, the report added.

Source: http://www.financialexpress.com/industry/companies/ipo-fund-raising-in-india-highest-since-2011/415830/

Sebi deems share transfer by promoters by way of gift as sale

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Any inter-se transfer of shares by a promoter to his wife will be considered as sale even if it is in the form of a gift where no monetary transaction is involved, Sebi said.

According to guidelines, the promoters are not eligible for preferential allotment of shares or warrants if there has been any inter-se transfer of shares among promoter group firms in the last six months.
Giving its views on an application filed by KJMC Financial Services, the watchdog said that as envisaged in the Sebi ICDR (issue of capital and disclosure requirements) regulations, any transfer of shares in the form of gift will be considered as sale.
As per Sebi’s ICDR regulations, if any person belonging to the promoter or promoter group in the issuer company has sold his equity shares during the six months preceding the relevant date, such entity will be ineligible for allotment of specified securities on a preferential basis.
KJMC Financial Services had sought an interpretative letter from Sebi on whether transfer of shares by its promoter to his wife by way of gift will be considered as sale under the Sebi’s ICDR regulations.
“Our view is that the inter-se transfer by way of gift will be considered as sale as envisaged… in the Sebi ICDR regulations,” Sebi said, adding that its response is based on the information given in the company’s letter. Referring to the ICDR regulations, the regulator said: “The primary intention of the regulation was not with respect to consideration, but with change in ownership of equity shares.” It added: “Different facts or conditions might lead to a different result.

Further, this letter does not express a decision of the board on the questions referred.” The watchdog also said its views are expressed with respect to the clarification sought in terms of Sebi ICDR norms and is not applicable to any other Sebi regulations.

Source: http://www.moneycontrol.com/news/economy/sebi-deems-share-transfer-by-promoters-by-waygift-as-sale_7454721.html?utm_source=ref_article

 

Ease of doing business: 12 states implement 75% of reforms

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As many as a dozen states, including Uttarakhand, Rajasthan and Jharkhand, have implemented 75% of the reform initiatives under the ease of doing business programme, reflecting positive sentiments, commerce minister Nirmala Sitharaman said on Thursday.

These three states are followed by Telangana, Madhya Pradesh, Haryana, Chhattisgarh, Maharashtra, Andhra Pradesh, Gujarat, Punjab and Karnataka in implementing reforms.

The government, however, has maintained that the review process of the reform initiatives is still on and the current rankings may change.

The ranking of states is an assessment of the regulatory performance of states and a measure of how they improve over a period of time. Importantly, the rankings don’t accurately reflect the level of business-conducive nature of the states; rather, it shows how the states fared in implementing an action plan adopted by them with the help of the Centre within a particular time frame.

Addressing the inaugural session of the Invest North Summit organised by CII, Sitharaman also said tax and regulatory authorities are being directed not to go on an overdrive and asserted the government will not in any way create hindrances for businesses.

The ranking is based on indicators including the ease of starting a business, registering a property, getting credit, paying taxes and resolving insolvency.

The World Bank, which has been entrusted with the job of ranking states on their performance on ease of doing business by the centre, will likely wrap up this exercise by the end of this month.

Talking on the occasion, Department of Industrial Policy and Promotion Ramesh Abhishek said India is also hopeful of improving its rank among other nations in the World Bank’s Ease of Doing Business Index.

Last year, India was ranked 130th in the World Bank’s index covering 189 countries, an improvement of four notches from a year before.

While India improved its rank on three counts — starting a business, getting construction permits and accessing electricity — it witnessed its performance worsen in two areas — accessing credit and paying taxes.

Source: http://www.financialexpress.com/economy/ease-of-doing-business-12-states-implement-75-of-reforms/387441/

India’s banking outlook stable, worst asset quality cycle almost over: Moody’s

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India’s banking system outlook is likely to be stable over the next 12-18 months as the pace of formation of bad loans is expected to decrease compared to last five years, global rating agency Moody’s said today. Under the asset quality recognition (AQR) of the Reserve Bank, lenders have recognised a major portion of their non-performing assets (NPAs) or bad loans, it said. “The pace of deterioration in asset quality over the next 12-18 months should be lower than what was seen over the last five years, especially compared to the fiscal 2015-16, even as we take into account some remaining problem loan under -recognition in a handful of large accounts,” said Moody’s Vice- President and Senior Credit Officer Srikanth Vadlamani.

Aside from these legacy issues, the underlying asset trend for Indian banks will be stable because of a generally supportive operating environment, he added. Moody’s said the stable outlook for the banks over the next 12-18 months reflects its assessment that the system is moving past the worst of its asset quality down cycle. The credit rating firm today released a report — ‘Banking System Outlook — India: Bottoming Asset Cycle, Strong Liquidity Support Stable Outlook’. The agency rates 15 banks in the country that together account for around 70 per cent of system assets. The ratings outlook on 11 of the banks is positive. Vadlamani expects net interest margins (NIMs) of banks to stabilise, given the expectation of limited policy rate cuts over the next 12 months, with an upside risk coming from current changes in portfolio mixes in favour of higher yielding retail loans.

“Credit costs will also remain high for the sector, including for some private sector banks, but will be no higher than in recent years for the industry overall.” Indian banks’ capital strength will continue to show divergence between the weak public banks and the far stronger private lenders, he said. State-owned banks will require significant external infusions of equity capital over the next three years. “For state-run banks to have a credit growth of 12-15 per cent over the next three years, equity capital requirement will be of USD 1.2 trillion,” he said.

The PSU banks have not been able to demonstrate access to the equity capital markets, while the announced capital infusion plans of the Government fall short of the amount required for full recapitalisation, Vadlamani said. “A potential way to bridge this capital shortfall would be to slow loan growth to the low single digits over the next three years,” he said.

Source: http://indianexpress.com/article/business/banking-and-finance/indias-banking-system-outlook-stable-worst-asset-quality-cycle-almost-over-moodys-3039297/