With GST on its way, India rises to second spot on global biz optimism index

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India improved its ranking by one spot in a global index of business optimism, with policy reforms and Goods and Services tax (GST) expected to become a reality soon, says a survey.

According to the latest Grant Thornton International Business Report, India was ranked second on the optimism index during the third quarter (July-September 2016).

Indonesia took the top spot, with the Philippines coming in third.

India was ranked third during the April-June period after being on top for two consecutive quarters.

“The improvement in the optimism ranking in the recent past clearly reflects that the reform agenda of the government and its efforts on improving the climate for doing business are having an impact,” Grant Thornton India LLP Partner – India Leadership Team Harish H V said.

High business optimism was also complimented by the rise of employment expectations. India regained its top position on this parameter, from second position in the April-June period, while profitability expectations also moved up.

“…all the programs and initiatives of the government as well as its focus on building relationships with all major economic powers has made India a bright spot in the global economy,” Harish said, adding the recent push for GST augurs well and should give a further boost to business optimism.

While India continues to be amongst the top five countries citing regulations and red tape as a constraint on growth, for the first time in the year, the country’s ranking on this parameter has dropped from second to fourth.

As per the survey, 59 per cent of the respondents have quoted this as an impediment in the growth prospects compared to 64 per cent in the previous quarter.

The report is prepared on the basis of a quarterly conducted global business survey of 2,500 businesses across 36 economies.

Meanwhile, in terms of revenue expectations, India slipped to third position from top in the previous quarter.

In spite of the downturn, India is much ahead of China where only 30 per cent respondents expect an increase in revenue, whereas in India, 85 per cent respondents have voted in favour of increasing revenue.

The survey further noted that 68 per cent of respondents have voted for an upsurge in selling prices. On this parameter too, China lags India with only 10 per cent of respondents expecting an upsurge in selling prices. The global average is 19 per cent.

Globally, business optimism stands at net 33 per cent, rising 1 percentage point from the previous quarter but falling 11 percentage points over the year.

“Political events such as Brexit and the US presidential election understandably rattle the global economy and test the resilience and elasticity of businesses worldwide. In general, businesses do not like uncertainty, and that is what is happening,” Grant Thornton Global CEO Ed Nusbaum said.

Source : http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/articleshow/55277143.cms

 

With GST on its way, India rises to second spot on global biz optimism index

by | posted in: Corporate Updates, Economy, Business Updates, Corporate Affairs, Income Tax,e-Filing- Individuals, Firms, Companies, India & International - Corporate updates | 0
High business optimism was also complimented by the rise of employment expectations. India regained its top position on this parameter

India improved its ranking by one spot in a global index of business optimism, with policy reforms and Goods and Services tax (GST) expected to become a reality soon, says a survey.

According to the latest Grant Thornton International Business Report, India was ranked second on the optimism index during the third quarter (July-September 2016).Indonesia took the top spot, with the Philippines coming in third.

India was ranked third during the April-June period after being on top for two consecutive quarters.

“The improvement in the optimism ranking in the recent past clearly reflects that the reform agenda of the government and its efforts on improving the climate for doing business are having an impact,” Grant Thornton India LLP Partner – India Leadership Team Harish H V said.

 

High business optimism was also complimented by the rise of employment expectations. India regained its top position on this parameter, from second position in the April-June period, while profitability expectations also moved up.

“…all the programs and initiatives of the government as well as its focus on building relationships with all major economic powers has made India a bright spot in the global economy,” Harish said, adding the recent push for GST augurs well and should give a further boost to business optimism.

While India continues to be amongst the top five countries citing regulations and red tape as a constraint on growth, for the first time in the year, the country’s ranking on this parameter has dropped from second to fourth.

As per the survey, 59 per cent of the respondents have quoted this as an impediment in the growth prospects compared to 64 per cent in the previous quarter.

The report is prepared on the basis of a quarterly conducted global business survey of 2,500 businesses across 36 economies.

Meanwhile, in terms of revenue expectations, India slipped to third position from top in the previous quarter.

In spite of the downturn, India is much ahead of China where only 30 per cent respondents expect an increase in revenue, whereas in India, 85 per cent respondents have voted in favour of increasing revenue.

The survey further noted that 68 per cent of respondents have voted for an upsurge in selling prices. On this parameter too, China lags India with only 10 per cent of respondents expecting an upsurge in selling prices. The global average is 19 per cent.

Globally, business optimism stands at net 33 per cent, rising 1 percentage point from the previous quarter but falling 11 percentage points over the year.

“Political events such as Brexit and the US presidential election understandably rattle the global economy and test the resilience and elasticity of businesses worldwide. In general, businesses do not like uncertainty, and that is what is happening,” Grant Thornton Global CEO Ed Nusbaum said

Source: http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/articleshow/55277143.cms

 

GST lends more weight to India’s 8% growth projection: S&P

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Calling GST as the most important structural reform till date by the Modi government, S&P Global Ratings today said the passage of the indirect tax law gives it additional conviction of India clocking 8 per cent growth in the next few years.

“India’s GST passage gives us additional conviction around our 8%-ish GDP growth forecast over the next few years,” it said in a report titled ‘Asia-Pacific steadies while China goes silent’.

The rating agency had last month projected India to clock a “steroid-free” growth of 8 per cent in coming years. “The GST passage is arguably the most important structural reform to date by the Modi government and will improve efficiency, cross-state trade and tax buoyancy,” it said today.

It saw a reasonably firm pick-up in Asia-Pacific’s macro momentum indicators, with pick-up in retail sales offering the clearest sign in most of the region’s economies. This, it said, stems from rising income, which in turn is part of the region’s evolving growth dynamics, with consumption playing a larger role.

S&P said China has been nudged up as it raised the GDP growth forecast by about a quarter percentage point in 2016 and 2017 to 6.6 per cent and 6.4 per cent, respectively, and has kept its 2018 forecast roughly unchanged at 6.1 per cent.

Japan’s second-quarter out turn was weaker than expected, it said, adding that its 0.7 per cent GDP growth forecast for 2016 looked like “a mild stretch at this point”.

In its ‘APAC Economic Snapshots — September 2016’ report, it had stated that India’s structural reforms agenda had maintained strong momentum and, most recently with the GST passage, should propel growth higher. “For India, we are still forecasting GDP growth at about 8 per cent over the next few years. Moreover, this is relatively high quality, steroid—free growth backed by a broadening consumption base,” S&P had said.

“Inflation remains a risk, given the large weights on food, fuel, and other volatile items in the Reserve Bank of India’s target basket,” S&P had said.

The latest gross domestic production (GDP) figures showed that India’s growth slowed to 7.1 per cent in the April-June quarter, from 7.9 per cent in January-March.

RBI has also said the near-term growth outlook for India seems brighter than last fiscal’s and the economy is likely to expand at 7.6 per cent in 2016-17.

Source: http://www.thehindubusinessline.com/economy/gst-lends-more-weight-to-indias-8-growth-projection-sp/article9208148.ece

India rises to 66th rank in innovation

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India had been faring poorly for several reasons over the years, largely related to poor infrastructure, performance in education, intellectual property and so on.

Reversing a trend of declining rankings every year, India rose by 15 positions to become the 66th most innovative nation in the world. India’s neighbour China also improved its ranking slightly and broke into the club of 25 top innovative nations in the world.

The Global Innovation Index has been created and reported every year by the Paris-based business school Insead, Cornell University and the World Intellectual Property Organisation, a United Nations agency. The Gobal Innovation Index is positioned as resource for policy makers, to identify areas of possible improvement in innovation. It is based on 82 variables across seven areas, grouped into two divisions — inputs and outputs for innovation.

India had been faring poorly for several reasons over the years, largely related to poor infrastructure, performance in education, intellectual property and so on.

This year it has done well largely based on good performances on information technology services exports and creative goods exports.

Source : http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/articleshow/53716047.cms

Xiaomi, Foxconn to set up two more units in India

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Chinese smartphone maker Xiaomi today said it is looking to set up two more manufacturing facilities in India through its Taiwanese contract manufacturer Foxconn Technology Group.

Manu Jain, Xiaomi’s India Chief, said they are in talks with various state governments for finalising the land and other issues for the plants.

In August last year, Xiaomi, together with Foxconn, started assembling phones locally in Chittoor district of Andhra Pradesh.

“We have not finalised the locations for the facility yet. We are talking to multiple governments to see where we should be setting up (the plants). The factories are owned and operated by Foxconn, but dedicatedly (make production) for us. It is not a joint venture. We have some sort of financial arrangement between us,” Jain said.

Jain said the company may also launch air purifiers in India before the beginning of winter season.

“We think that it is a category which is about to take off. We are trying to bring that this year. The perfect time to launch is before winter, because that is when fog combines with smoke and becomes smog,” he said.

Xiaomi, which presently registers 90 per cent of its sales from online channel in India, is planning to double offline presence over the next few months.

Xiaomi recently launched Redmi 3S and Redmi 3S Prime in the country priced at Rs 6,999 and Rs 8,999, respectively. The phones will be initially available at Mi.com and Flipkart. The handset maker sells over one million phones a quarter in the country.

Source: http://www.newindianexpress.com/business/news/Xiaomi-Foxconn-to-set-up-two-more-units-in-India/2016/08/13/article3576806.ece

Foreign capital flow into EMs climbs to $25 billion

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Emerging markets (EMs) have witnessed an inflow of $25 billion from foreign portfolio investors in this month so far, says a report.

Equity flows were the dominant driver this month, with an estimated $14.6 billion in inflows, while debt flows were more moderate at $10.2 billion, according to the report by the Institute of International Finance.
Inflows were dominated by EM Asia, followed by Latin America, while EM Europe and Africa, West Asia saw modest outflows.

“Regionally, EM Asia saw total inflows of $19.1 billion, followed by Latin America with inflows of $8.7 billion, while there were modest outflows from EM Europe and AFME,” the report noted.

Portfolio flows to EMs rose to $24.8 billion in July from $13.3 billion in the preceding month. Prior to that, EMs saw an outflow of $12.3 billion in May.

“In fact, July marked only the second month over the past year where portfolio flows were above their long-term average of $22 billion,” it added.

The recovery in flows during the past few months follows a period of exceptional weakness in EM portfolio flows that began with China’s mini-devaluation almost a year ago and saw cumulative outflows of $81 billion from EMs, compared to $96 billion during the global financial crisis.

Source: http://www.business-standard.com/article/markets/foreign-capital-flow-into-ems-climbs-to-25-billion-116072800946_1.html

E-commerce driving demand for warehousing space: CBRE

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E-commerce continues to drive demand for logistics and warehousing space in the country and has attracted a lot of interest from developers and private equity players, property consultant CBRE said.

“With the logistics and industrial segment witnessing significant development, there is a lot of interest from both developers and private equity investment,” CBRE South Asia Managing Director, Advisory and Transaction Services, Ram Chandnani said in a statement.

The government’s investor-friendly investment policies, improving domestic economy and progressive legislative reforms are all steps boosting the sector, he said at a conference here.

“India is yet to achieve its full potential when it comes to the logistics sector, even though the World Bank has ranked India 35th in logistics.

“China is ranked 27th but India is not too far behind,” said M T Murthy, Member (Operations) – India Post, Ministry of Communication and Information.

Stating that lack of adequate infrastructure has slowed down India’s economy in the past, Murthy said the government is committed towards capacity building.

E-commerce is playing a major role in driving up the demand in logistics that witnessed a growth of 57 per cent between 2009 and 2015, the statement said.

“India Post now has 700 e-commerce partners who rely on the government for their service delivery,” Murthy said.

According to CBRE, nearly 2 million sq ft of warehousing space was taken up by e-commerce firms in 2015, which is a significant jump, as the share of the sector rose from a meagre 2 per cent of the total warehousing demand in 2012, to around 22 per cent during 2015.