India jumps 19 places in World Bank’s logistics performance index

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India’s logistics performance at its key international gateways has improved in the last two years, according to a World Bank report released on Tuesday.

In the World Bank’s biennial measure of international supply chain efficiency, called Logistics Performance Index, India’s ranking has jumped from 54 in 2014 to 35 in 2016.

While Germany tops the 2016 rankings, India is ahead of comparatively advanced economies like Portugal and New Zealand. In 2016, India’s international supply chain efficiency was at 75% of top-ranked Germany, said the report titled Connecting to Compete: 2016 Trade Logistics in the Global Economy. This is an improvement over the 66% efficiency when compared to the leader (again Germany) in 2014.

Better performance in logistics will not only boost programmes, such as Make in India, by enabling India to become part of the global supply chain, it can also help increase trade. In 2015-16, India’s foreign trade shrank by around 15%.

The Logistics Performance Index analyses countries across six components: efficiency of customs and border management clearance, quality of trade and transport infrastructure, ease of arranging competitively priced shipments, competence and quality of logistics services, ability to track and trace consignments, and the frequency with which shipments reach consignees within scheduled or expected delivery times.

It is computed from the survey responses of about 1,051 logistics industry professionals.

Programmes, such as Make in India, and improvements in infrastructure have helped India improve its logistical performance, said Arvind Mahajan, partner and national head (energy, infrastructure and government) at KPMG India, a consultancy. He also said that the emergence of skilled professionals and technological improvements that have enabled services such as track-and-tracing have helped India close the gap with leaders.

That said, Logistics Performance Index does not address how easy or difficult it is to move goods to the hinterland. For that, World Bank has another measure—a domestic LPI which analyzes a country’s performance over four factors: infrastructure, services, border procedures and supply chain reliability.

While not all yardsticks are comparable across countries, there are some which show that India still has some way to go.

For instance, only 69% of shipments from India meet the quality criteria, compared to 72% for China and 77% for Kenya. On the other hand, it takes two and three days to clear shipments, without and with inspection, respectively—numbers comparable to China but longer than what it takes in top-ranked Germany.

Similarly, India has an average of 5 forms required for import or export, compared to 4.5 for China and 2 for Germany.

In this regard, the Goods and Services Tax (GST) has the potential to revolutionize the transport industry in India, said Capt. Uday Palsule, former managing director of Spear Logistics Pvt. Ltd. “Inter-state travel time will be drastically reduced if the hurdle of checking documents at every state border is done away with,” he said. It will also help boost the returns of the trucking industry and feed into better performance of the logistics sector, added Palsule.

Source: http://www.livemint.com/Politics/aqBXOSWqMObUMUAffuGH6I/India-jumps-19-places-in-World-Banks-logistics-performance.html

China’s debt more than double its GDP

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China’s Debt more than GDP

China’s total borrowings were more than double its gross domestic product (GDP) last year, a government economist said, warning that debt linkages between the state and industry could be “fatal” for the world’s second largest economy.

The country’s debt has ballooned as Beijing has made getting credit cheap and easy in an effort to stimulate slowing growth, unleashing a massive debt-fuelled spending binge.

 

While the stimulus may help the country post better growth numbers in the near term, analysts say the rebound might be short-lived.

China’s borrowings hit 168.48 trillion yuan ($25.6 trillion) at the end of last year, equivalent to 249 per cent of the economy’s GDP, Li Yang, a senior researcher with a top government think tank, the China Academy of Social Sciences (CASS), told reporters yesterday.

The number, while enormous, is still lower than some outside estimates.

Consulting firm the McKinsey Group has said that the country’s total debt was likely as high as $28 trillion by mid-2014.

CASS, in a report last year, said China’s debt amounted to 150.03 trillion yuan at the end of 2014, according to previous Chinese media reports.

The most worrying risks lie in the non-financial corporate sector, where the debt-to-GDP ratio was estimated at 156 per cent, including liabilities of local government financing vehicles, Li said.

Many of the companies in question are state-owned firms that borrowed heavily from government-backed banks and so problems with the sector could ultimately trigger “systemic risks” in the economy, he said.

DRAGON IN TROUBLE
  • China’s borrowings hit ¥168 trn ($25.6 trn) at the end of last year, equivalent to 249% of the economy’s GDP
  • McKinsey Group said country’s total debt as high as $28 trn by mid-2014
  • Most worrying risks lie in the non-financial corporate sector, where the debt-to-GDP ratio was estimated at 156%
  • Problem will also affect state coffers because Chinese banks are “closely linked to the government”
  • The People’s Bank of China has announced that new loans extended by banks jumped to ¥985.5 bn last month, up from ¥555.6 bn in April

 

“The gravity of China’s non-financial corporate (debt) is that if problems occur with it, China’s financial system will have problems immediately,” Li said. He added that the problem will also affect state coffers because Chinese banks are “closely linked to the government”.

“It’s a fatal issue in China. Because of such a link, it is probably more urgent for China than other countries to resolve the debt problem,” he said.

Speaking earlier this week, David Lipton, first deputy managing director with the International Monetary Fund, also singled out China’s corporate borrowing as a major concern, warning that addressing the issue is “imperative to avoid serious problems down the road”.

Despite the concerns, China is having difficulty kicking its credit addiction. On Wednesday, the People’s Bank of China announced that new loans extended by banks jumped to 985.5 billion yuan last month, up from 555.6 billion yuan in April.

 

Source: http://www.business-standard.com/article/international/china-s-debt-more-than-double-its-gdp-116061600556_1.html

Indian real estate may attract $2 bn investment from Japan

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JapanJapanese developers and private equity investors are looking to enter Indian property market and could invest at least USD 2 billion over the next three years in residential as well as industrial projects, says JLL.

 

Realty consultant JLL India said in a report that the country is emerging as major investment destination for Chinese and Japanese developers.

 

China’s biggest developer Wanda has signed an MoU with Haryana government earlier this year and more developers from China and Japan are expected to enter the Indian realty market, it said.

 

Private equity investors from these two countries are also looking at entering India’s real estate sector, it added.

 

“Japanese developers are keen to explore strategic partnerships and enter into joint ventures with Indian builders, and are particularly interested in industrial projects. There is likely to be an inflow of at least USD 2 billion in investments from Japan into the Indian real estate market over the next three years,” JLL India Chairman and Country Head Anuj Puri said.

 

After 100 per cent foreign direct investment (FDI) was allowed into the real estate industry, it was only a matter of time before foreign developers made big investment announcements, he said.

 

“One of China’s most prominent developers, Dalian Wanda Group, signed a memorandum of understanding (MoU) earlier this year with the northern state of Haryana to develop Wanda Industrial New City’. The investment of USD 10 billion, phased out over the next decade, is a very significant outlay by any Chinese company in India,” Puri said.

 

Other Chinese developers are also interested in India and most likely to follow suit, he added.

The RICS-JLL survey this January had shown that 62 per cent of the respondents felt that institutions from Japan and China could come knocking to the Indian real estate market in 2016.

 

Source: http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/city/delhi/Indian-real-estate-may-attract-2-bn-investment-from-Japan/articleshow/52763657.cms

US, Europe combined infra spending less than China’s

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Despite a crying need for better infrastructure, investment in it has actually fallen in 10 major economies since the financial crisis, including the US, according to a new study by the McKinsey Global Institute. Meanwhile, China is still going gangbusters on roads, bridges, sewers, and everything else that makes a country run.

“China spends more on economic infrastructure annually than North America and Western Europe combined,” according to the report published Wednesday.

Economists around the world have been arguing that now is a great time to invest in infrastructure because interest rates are super-low and the global economy could use the spending jolt. “Is anyone proud of Kennedy airport?” Harvard University economist Lawrence Summers likes to ask.

The MGI report cites 10 countries where infrastructure spending fell as a share of gross domestic product from 2008 to 2013: the US, UK, Italy, Australia, South Korea, Brazil, India, Russia, Mexico, and Saudi Arabia. The study counts 11 economies, but that’s because it lists the European Union as a separate entity.

In contrast to the widespread declines, the institute says, infrastructure spending grew as a share of GDP in Japan, Germany, France, Canada, Turkey, South Africa and China. The chart from the MGI report shows China’s strength in infrastructure spending. Its bar is the highest. There’s such a thing as too much infrastructure spending, of course. At current rates of investment, China, Japan, and Australia are likely to exceed their needs between now and 2030, the McKinsey & Co-affiliated think tank says. To fund more public infrastructure, the report favours raising user charges such as highway tolls, among other measures.

To encourage more private investment in infrastructure, MGI argues for increasing “regulatory certainty” and giving investors “the ability to charge prices that produce an acceptable risk-adjusted return.”

 

Source:  http://www.business-standard.com/article/international/us-europe-combined-infra-spending-less-than-china-s-116061600030_1.html

India records 10-year low in public-private investments: World Bank

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India recorded a 10-year low in investments in public-private sector in the year 2015, adding to contraction that pulled down the global investment to below its five-year average of $124.1 billion, the World Bank has said.

In its latest annual report, the World Bank said global investment in 2015 decreased to $111.6 billion, below the five-year average of $124.1 billion from 2010 to 2014.

“This contraction resulted from lower investments in Brazil, China and India,” the World Bank said on Monday in its latest report on Private Participation in Infrastructure Database.

“India recorded a 10-year low in investments, as only six road projects — usually a rich source of PPI over the past 10 years – reached financial closure,” the World Bank said.

In South Asia, there were 43 deals for a combined total of $5.6 billion that closed in the region, representing 5 per cent of the total investment — a decline of 82 per cent from the five-year average of $30.5 billion.

“Consistent with historical trends, India generated a majority of the projects (36 out of 43); Pakistan had four; Nepal, two; and Bangladesh, one. Notably, 26 of the 36 projects in India, amounting to $2.0 billion, targeted renewable energy, while all of Pakistan’s projects, totalling $749.9 million, solely focussed on renewables,” the Bank said.

Solar energy investments climbed 72 per cent higher than the last five year average, while renewables attracted nearly two-thirds of investments with private participation, it said.

Global private infrastructure investment in 2015 mostly remained steady at $111.6 billion when compared to the previous year, it said.

Among the most notable, commitments in Brazil were only $4.5 billion in 2015 — a sharp decline from $47.2 billion the previous year, reversing a trend of growing investments, it said.

“Investment in China also fell significantly below its 5-, 10-, and 20-year averages, as the average transaction dropped to $63 million,” it said.

By number of projects, however, these three historical heavyweights took the lead, with 131 of the 300 global deals, or 44 per cent of all projects.

Still their combined investment of $11.6 billion only made up 10 per cent of the global total, compared to 54 per cent in 2014, which was also the annual average over the previous four years.

According to the World Bank, global private infrastructure investment in 2015, though on par with the previous year, was 10 per cent lower than the previous five-year average because of dwindling commitments in China, Brazil, and India.

“The data finds that investments in other emerging economies increased rapidly to $99.9 billion, representing a 92 per cent year-over-year increase,” said Clive Harris, Practice Manager, Public-Private Partnerships, World Bank Group.

Make in India: India woos Chinese investors, promises conducive environment

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“We will facilitate your efforts to make your investments in India profitable. We must take advantage of the opportunities that abound in the growth of both our economies,” said President Pranab Mukherjee.

India today promised a conducive environment for Chinese investors and urged them to participate in ‘Make in India’ and other flagship programmes of the government to boost bilateral trade.

“We will facilitate your efforts to make your investments in India profitable. We must take advantage of the opportunities that abound in the growth of both our economies,” said President Pranab Mukherjee addressing a meeting of the India-China Business Forum here on the second day of his four-day visit to China.

The forum, attended by industrialists and businessmen of both sides, was told by the President that India would like to see greater market for Indian products in China in a bid to balance bilateral trade which is now in China’s favour.

This, he said, would particularly be needed in sectors where the two countries have natural complementarities as in drugs and pharmaceuticals and IT and IT-related services and agro products.

“It is a matter of satisfaction that there is emerging focus on two-way investment flows,” he said.

The President noted that the bilateral trade between India and China has grown steadily since the turn of this century from USD 2.91 billion in 2000 to USD 71 billion last year.

Guangdon province boasts of a USD one trillion economy with high manufacturing and other industries along with being a powerful export house of China. It has sister province relationship with Gujarat and Maharashtra.

A pilot smart city cooperation project has been announced between Shenzhen and the Gujarat last year.

Referring to the links of 2nd century before the Christian era between Guangdong and Kanchipuram through a direct sea route, Mukherjee said this is an exciting time for India and China to reinforce the old linkages and join hands for new.

Noting that India has recorded a growth rate of 7.6 per cent each year for over a decade now, he said India believes that it cannot grow in isolation.

“In an increasingly interconnected world, India would like to benefit from technology advances and best practices of different countries.

“The comprehensive reforms introduced in key areas of our economy have enhanced the ease of doing business in India. Our foreign investment regime has been liberalised through simplified procedures. And removal of restrictions on foreign investments,” he said.

The President said these reforms have renewed the interest of global investors in India. In 2014, there was a 32 per cent growth in investments and in 2015, India emerged as one of the biggest global investment destinations, he said.

Mukherjee said India would like more of China’s overseas direct investment which has now crossed USD 100 billion mark.

He said the Indian government was setting up industrial corridors, national investment and manufacturing zones and dedicated freight corridors to stimulate investment in this sector.

Its ‘100 Smart Cities” initiative will transform India into a digitally empowered society and knowledge economy, he said.

“India welcomes your participation in these programmes. Chinese companies with inherent strengths in infrastructure and manufacturing can look towards India as an important destination in their ‘Going Global’ strategy.

“On their part, Indian companies can partner with Chinese enterprises in the new domain of ‘Internet of Things’ which underlines the ‘Made in China 2025’ strategy,” he said.

The President said he was happy to note that a good start has been made by Chinese businesses who are investing in infrastructure projects and industrial parks in India.

Bilateral cooperation in India’s railway sector is also progressing well, he said.

A good number of premier Indian IT firms and other manufacturers are present in China, he said and noted that Indian entrepreneurs were also considering the prospects of jointly exploring opportunities in third countries.
Summing up, the President said India believed there was great potential for economic and commercial cooperation among the two countries, which faced similar opportunities on coming together.

“To realise the full potential of our economic partnership, it is important to bridge the information gap between our business communities.

“We are committed to providing a conducive environment for more investments from China. We stand ready to facilitate many more collaborations between the industry and businesses of our two countries across different sectors. India invites investors from China to be partners in India’s growth story,” he said.

Source:
http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/articleshow/52428771.cms

RBI starts meeting major players in P2P lending

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After releasing a consultation paper on peer-to-peer (P2P) lending last week, Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has started meeting some leading players in the sector. The founder of a leading P2P lending platform, who met officials of RBI’s Department of Non-Banking Regulation on Wednesday, told FE on the condition of anonymity that the central bank is gearing up to come out with final guidelines for P2P lending platforms by the end of the current calendar year.

He also said that money laundering and interest rate are two of the main areas that the RBI is focusing on while framing the final guidelines for the sector. “It seems RBI is keen on capping the rate interest that a P2P lender can charge at the same level as that for non- banking finance company micro finance institutions (NBFC MFIs),” he said.

As per current RBI regulations, the maximum rate of interest that an NBFC MFI can charge is the lower of 10% more than its cost of funds and 2.75 times of the base rate of the top five commercial banks.

“While money laundering shouldn’t have been a big concern, given that draft guidelines have mandated that all transfer of funds happen directly from the lender’s bank account to that of the borrower, the unearthing of a few ponzi schemes in the P2P sector in China seem to have made the RBI more cautious,” the P2P lending platform’s founder added.

Post May 31, which is the deadline set by RBI for suggestions and comments on the regulations, it will work on the final guidelines and seems keen on releasing them by the end of the year, he added.

According to P2P Finance Association, the global P2P market almost doubled last year and has crossed the £5 billion mark.

“Although nascent in India and not significant in value yet, the potential benefits that P2P lending promises to various stakeholders and its associated risks to the financial system are too important to be ignored. The Reserve Bank has therefore found it necessary to put out this discussion paper to elicit public opinion and views of the various stakeholders on the future course of action having regard to the current legal and regulatory framework in place to regulate the business of financial intermediation,” RBI noted in the consultation paper.

It has also proposed a minimum capital requirement of R2 crore for P2P NBFCs and is intent on restricting such entities to just companies, thereby barring proprietorships, partnerships and LLPs.

Source: http://www.financialexpress.com/article/industry/banking-finance/rbi-starts-meeting-major-players-in-p2p-lending/248758/