Optimistic About India Growth Prospects: IMF

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IMF

Confident that the Indian economy is increasingly on a stable footing, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) on Sunday said further progress is required on the long-standing supply bottlenecks and for achieving faster and more inclusive growth.

“We are optimistic about India’s prospects and view the economy being on an increasingly stable footing,” said Kalpana Kochhar, deputy director of the IMF’s Asia and Pacific department.

“Inflation has declined, the current account deficit is in check, international reserves are ample and economic growth is picking up,” she added.

Listing out various positive developments, Ms Kochhar said a number of important economic and structural reforms have also been initiated.

These include diesel price deregulation, steps to create more flexible labour markets (particularly at the state level), coal sector reforms, adoption of the flexible inflation targeting framework by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI), increasing infrastructure spending, and enhancing financial inclusion, Ms Kochhar told PTI in an interview.

“But further progress is needed to relax long-standing supply bottlenecks (especially in the energy, mining and power sectors) and achieve faster and more inclusive growth,” she said.

The IMF has often said that India is among the few bright spots in an otherwise gloomier world economy.

In a recent report published ahead of the G20 Summit, which began in Turkey on Sunday, the Washington-based multilateral institution said India’s growth will benefit from recent policy reforms, a consequent pickup in investment and lower commodity prices.

It also projected a 7.5 per cent growth rate for India in 2016, as against China’s 6.3 per cent.

However, for the current 2015 year, the IMF has projected 7.3 per cent growth rate, which is 0.2 per cent less than its projection made for the year in July.

“Growth in China is expected to decline as excesses in real estate, credit, and investment continue to unwind. India’s growth will benefit from recent policy reforms, a consequent pickup in investment, and lower commodity prices,” the report said.

Source: http://profit.ndtv.com/news/economy/article-optimistic-about-india-growth-prospects-imf-1243581

Modi government announces FDI (Foreign Direct Investment) reforms in 15 sectors

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Giving the much needed reforms impetus to the economy, Prime Minister Narendra Modi-led NDA government on Tuesday announced Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) reforms in as many as 15 sectors.

According to the government’s release, “The crux of these reforms is to further ease, rationalise and simplify the process of foreign investments in the country and to put more and more FDI proposals on automatic route instead of government route where time and energy of the investors is wasted.”

These FDI reforms are set to benefit sectors such as agriculture and animal husbandry, plantation, defence, broadcasting, civil aviation and manufacturing. “Further refining of foreign investments in key sectors like construction where 50 million houses for poor are to be built. Opening up the manufacturing Sector for wholesale, retail and e-Commerce so that the industries are motivated to Make In India and sell it to the customers here instead of importing from other countries,” the release added..

The proposed reforms also enhance the limit of Foreign Investment Promotion Board (FIPB) from current Rs 3,000 crore to Rs 5,000 crore. The proposal also contains many other long pending corrections including those being felt by the limited liability partnerships as well as NRI owned companies who seem motivated to invest in India. Few other proposals seek to enhance the sectoral caps so that foreign investors don’t have to face fragmented ownership issues and get motivated to deploy resources and technology with full force.

India got FDI of $19.39 billion in the April-June period, according to government data, up 29.5% over the year earlier. The Modi government has been pushing hard to drum up overseas investment, easing FDI regulations in various sectors including the railways, medical devices, insurance, pension, construction and defence.

Last week, ET had reported that the government plans to launch a series of policy reforms, signalling its intent to get moving again on economic changes and putting the Opposition on notice before Parliament convenes for the winter session.

Key to the Narendra Modi government’s renewed development push will be power, labour and infrastructure, three senior government officials had told ET. Among the highlights are a revival package for power distribution companies, freeing up labour rules and a possible push for the railways, ET had said in its report.

The road map for the phasing out of corporate tax exemptions and reduction in the tax rate to 25% is being drawn up. Besides this, the Startup India, Standup India plan and the rollout of the National Investment and Infrastructure Fund (NIIF) are also being worked on.

A simpler foreign direct investment (FDI) policy, further easing of the external commercial borrowing (ECB) regime and changes in the public-private partnership (PPP) framework to attract more private investment could also announced.

Source: http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/articleshow/49735873.cms

 

RBI allows foreign currency-rupee swap transactions

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RBI said that such swap transactions could be undertaken by the MFI/IFI concerned on a back-to-back basis with an authorised dealers (AD) Category-I bank in India

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) on Thursday allowed residents having a long-term foreign currency liability to enter into foreign currency-rupee swaps with multilateral or international financial institutions (MFI/IFI) in which the government of India is a shareholding member, subject to certain conditions.

RBI said that such swap transactions could be undertaken by the MFI/IFI concerned on a back-to-back basis with an authorised dealers (AD) Category-I bank in India. The tenure of such swaps should be at least three years, according to a notification issued by the central bank.

In the event of a default by the resident borrower on its swap obligations, the MFI/IFI concerned will have to bring in foreign currency funds to meet its corresponding liabilities to the counter-party AD Cat-I bank in India, the central bank said.

The AD Cat-I bank will have to report the FCY-INR swaps transactions entered into with the MFIs/IFIs on a back-to-back basis to CCIL reporting platform, including the details of the foreign currency borrower. Furthermore, the banks will have to bring the contents of this circular to the notice of their constituents and customers concerned.

Services sector growth hits 8-month high in October

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India’s services sector activity touched an eight-month high in October driven by a significant rise in new business orders even as growth in manufacturing output eased, a Nikkei survey said.

The Nikkei Business Activity index climbed to 53.2 in October, from 51.3 in September, as fresh orders expanded at a solid pace and were most pronounced since February.

“Services companies saw a faster rise in new businesses than their manufacturing counterparts,” said Pollyanna De Lima, economist at Markit, which compiled the survey.

Meanwhile, the seasonally adjusted Nikkei India Composite PMI Output index, which maps manufacturing and services sectors, rose to 52.6 in October from 51.5 in September helped by new businesses.

A reading of 50 divides growth and contraction.

“India’s economic growth shifted into higher gear in October driven by the services sector. Although manufacturing production continued to expand, the growth eased and was sluggish by historical standards,” Lima added.

Lima noted that “the upward trend in private sector output reflected stronger inflows of incoming new works, one that was most marked since March”.

Going forward, services business sentiment regarding the 12-month business outlook remained positive in October.

Notwithstanding the growth in services activity, October data indicated that services sector employment remained unchanged. Around 98 per cent of respondents reported no change in payroll numbers since the preceding month.

“Private sector firms remained wary of costs and payroll numbers, once again, were unchanged,” Lima said.

On the prices front, the Nikkei survey said average input costs rose in both services and manufacturing sectors, albeit at a slower pace.

Reserve Bank Governor Raghuram Rajan on September 29 effected a more-than-expected interest rate cut of half a per cent to spur the economy.

Moreover, RBI has also lowered its economic growth forecast for the current fiscal to 7.4 per cent, from its previous projection of 7.6 per cent.

The April-June quarter GDP slipped to 7 per cent, from 7.5 per cent in the preceding quarter.

Source:http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/articleshow/49654978.cms?utm_source=contentofinterest&utm_medium=text&utm_campaign=cppst

Private equity investors discover gold mine in e-commerce backend

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Private equity investors, who have stayed away from investing in online retail companies, have instead quietly reaped a windfall by backing logistics companies providing back-end support in the e-commerce rush.

In the latest deal, Peepul Capital recorded an over six-fold return on its investment in Ecom Express according to people aware of the transaction. Earlier this year Multiples Alternate Asset Management also made a partial exit from Delhivery, when the company raised fresh capital led by Tiger Global Management.

“These kinds of returns are only possible if there is multiple re-rating of both a company and a sector, which is not very common,” said Prakash Nene, MD at Multiples, who declined to comment on specifics of the deal.

The PE firm made a partial exit after Tiger Global led a round of about Rs 542 crore in the Delhi-based firm in May.

Peepul Capital is estimated to have earned Rs 500 crore on an initial investment of Rs 80 crore in Ecom Express. The firm made an exit when the logistics firm raised fresh capital in a round led by Warburg Pincus according to two people privy to the details.

The returns have been even higher for early seed and angel investors in these two companies, which handle delivery for top online retailers like Flipkart, Amazon and Snapdeal.

According to filings with the ministry of corporate affairs (MCA), seed fund Oliphans Capital bought shares in Ecom Express at around Rs 70 per share in 2013. The fund is estimated to have sold some of these shares to Warburg Pincus during the investment round in June this year. Regulatory filings indicate Warburg — through its unit Eaglebay Investments — paid Rs 2,276 per share of Ecom Express; this would imply that Oliphans netted a return of over 30 times.

“It’s only logical that investment is also about exits,” said Anish Jhaveri, MD at Oliphans, declining to comment on returns made by his firm. “When we invested around $1 million in the company (Ecom Express) there were just four people in front of us who had just quit Blue Dart.”

Ecom Express was founded in 2012 by TA Krishnan, Sanjeev Saxena, K Satyanarayana and Manju Dhawan who had launched the e-tailing business at Blue Dart. The Delhi-based company expects to deliver goods in over 10,000 pin codes covering more than 1,500 towns and cities, across the country in the next few years.

The increasing interest in these companies is driven by the rapid growth in logistic support for online retail. A recent report on the Indian internet sector by brokerage IIFL estimates that the order volume for e-commerce shipments will increase 13x by 2020, with overall volume of e-commerce orders amounting to 2,000 tonnes per day.

Investors are of the view that just as tower companies gained in the telecom boom, the online retail rush will benefit from the back-end support companies.
“There are a lot of enablers which are important from a shadow driving perspective broadly similar to what telecom towers are to telco industry and EPC companies are to infrastructure,” said Sreeni Vudayagiri, investment director at Peepul Capital, a PE firm with $700 million under management which primarily invests in mid-sized consumption and manufacturing businesses.

Source: http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/tech/tech-news/Private-equity-investors-discover-gold-mine-in-e-commerce-backend/articleshow/49656651.cms

Moody’s Raises Indian Banks’ Outlook to Stable

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Rating agency Moody’s Investors Service revised its outlook on India’s banking system to “stable” from “negative” on Monday, saying an improving economy would help temper problem-loans on banks’ books.

Moody’s, however, cautioned that any recovery in asset quality would be gradual given the high debt levels in Indian companies.

Indian banks, particularly state-run banks, have been saddled with bad loans estimated at nearly $50 billion as the economy slowed sharply in the last three years.

But recent earnings reports, including from top private sector lender ICICI Bank, suggested asset quality may be stabilising.

Moody’s said it expected India’s economy to grow around around 7.5 per cent in 2015 and 2016 each, supported by low inflation and gradual implementation of structural reforms.

“The stable outlook on India’s banking system over the next 12-18 months reflects our expectation that the banks’ gradually improving operating environment will result in a slower pace of additions to problem loans, leading to more stable impaired loan ratios,” Moody’s said in the statement.
“However, the recovery in asset quality will be U-shaped rather than V-shaped, because corporate balance sheets remain highly leveraged.”
Moody’s also noted that capital levels remained weak for state-owned banks, with common Tier 1 ratios of only 6 to 10 per cent, though lenders retain plentiful of access to funding and liquidity.

Moody’s had downgraded India’s banking system outlook to “negative” in November 2011.

The ratings agency had upgraded India’s sovereign outlook to “positive” in April, while retaining its rating at “Baa3”.

Source: http://profit.ndtv.com/news/banking-finance/article-moodys-ups-indian-banking-sector-outlook-to-stable-1238974

Modi government to provide launchpad for disruptive ideas: Startup Act in works

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The Narendra Modi government wants to provide a powerful launchpad for startups by drastically simplifying the rules and ensuring that innovators are able to take advantage of such an enabling environment, thus unleashing entrepreneurial energiesBSE 1.29 % and creating jobs.

At the heart of the initiative is distilling the cumbersome process of compliances under 22 different laws into a two-page Startup Act, a senior government official told ET. The Department of Industrial Policy and Promotion (DIPP) is looking to turn India into a startup haven.

It plans to cut through the thicket of regulations that holds back creativity and stunts the rapid evolutionary cycle that’s a feature of the sector.
“Compliances are a big issue for aspiring startups,” said the official. “We are trying to see whether we can bypass the multiple laws and draft a separate legislation instead.”

Already home to the fourth largest startup community in the world, India wants to create a robust ecosystem in which entrepreneurship can flourish as envisaged by the Startup India, Stand Up India initiative of Prime Minister Modi announced in this year’s Independence Day address. Jobs created by Indian startups are expected to rise to 2,50,000 by 2020 from 80,000, according to a Nasscom report.
The government plans to unveil a detailed Startup India plan next month. The DIPP is drawing up a clear definition for startups to ensure that the regime is available only to companies that practice innovation. This is necessary because the government is also considering tax incentives for startups, which it doesn’t want other companies to take advantage of.
Companies that qualify for the tag are likely to be less than five years old, providing an innovative product or service. They will also need to conform to financial norms to ensure that the incentives are not spread too thin.
The new policy will address delays in incorporation, employee stock options, lack of initial funding, cumbersome Foreign Exchange Management Act (Fema) documentation and access to external commercial borrowings.
“It will be a colossal help if the government can do something about this,” said Rohan Malhotra, founder of Investopad, a startup incubator and financing company.

“In the US, you can incorporate a company in a few hours. In India, it is a nightmare to do even basic administration work.” Entrepreneurs feel their energies are sapped by the need to negotiate their way through the bureaucratic maze.

“Most startups have a backlog on compliances and simply get a professional to handle these matters when they want to raise funds,” said Gaurav Kachru, founder, 5ideas Startup Superfuel. “Some of it is a waste of time.”

Last week, DIPP held discussions with leaders of the startup community including SoftBank president Nikesh Arora, Snapdeal CEO Kunal Bahl, Oyo Rooms founder Ritesh Agarwal and former Infosys director Mohandas Pai to draw up a list of action points.