US, Europe combined infra spending less than China’s

Despite a crying need for better infrastructure, investment in it has actually fallen in 10 major economies since the financial crisis, including the US, according to a new study by the McKinsey Global Institute. Meanwhile, China is still going gangbusters on roads, bridges, sewers, and everything else that makes a country run.

“China spends more on economic infrastructure annually than North America and Western Europe combined,” according to the report published Wednesday.

Economists around the world have been arguing that now is a great time to invest in infrastructure because interest rates are super-low and the global economy could use the spending jolt. “Is anyone proud of Kennedy airport?” Harvard University economist Lawrence Summers likes to ask.

The MGI report cites 10 countries where infrastructure spending fell as a share of gross domestic product from 2008 to 2013: the US, UK, Italy, Australia, South Korea, Brazil, India, Russia, Mexico, and Saudi Arabia. The study counts 11 economies, but that’s because it lists the European Union as a separate entity.

In contrast to the widespread declines, the institute says, infrastructure spending grew as a share of GDP in Japan, Germany, France, Canada, Turkey, South Africa and China. The chart from the MGI report shows China’s strength in infrastructure spending. Its bar is the highest. There’s such a thing as too much infrastructure spending, of course. At current rates of investment, China, Japan, and Australia are likely to exceed their needs between now and 2030, the McKinsey & Co-affiliated think tank says. To fund more public infrastructure, the report favours raising user charges such as highway tolls, among other measures.

To encourage more private investment in infrastructure, MGI argues for increasing “regulatory certainty” and giving investors “the ability to charge prices that produce an acceptable risk-adjusted return.”

 

Source:  http://www.business-standard.com/article/international/us-europe-combined-infra-spending-less-than-china-s-116061600030_1.html

After Italy & Greece, PE seeks to partner Indian lenders for bad loan portfolio

Storied asset manager KKR & Co has approached lenders like State Bank of India and ICICI Bank with a proposal to manage and create value from their loan portfolios to under-performing Indian companies. The American private equity investor will build a platform to deploy fairly long-term capital and operational expertise to turnaround troubled assets, with banks on board sharing the future upsides.

 

The proposal – discussed with a few public and private sector banks – is modelled on Pillarstone, a similar European platform created by KKR for stressed loans in markets like Greece and Italy . India’s central bank governor Raghuram Rajan has pushed lenders to purge bad loans and has urged global alternate asset managers to play a bigger role in easing India Inc’s bad loan crisis. But most Indian banks have opted for ‘fire sale’ of stressed assets to rival corporate houses rather than staying on course with a turnaround plan, though it would help these lenders unlock better value eventually.

“They are talking about jointly managing a portfolio of loans to these stressed companies as against acquiring a one-off asset. It involves sweating underlying assets to generate more value rather than writing down. This is also different than the prevailing approach by the under-capitalized asset reconstruction companies, which is more focused on asset-stripping,” said a source directly familiar with the matter. The discussions are ongoing but may not lead to any conclusive agreement with KKR, a second source cautioned.

When contacted, KKR declined to comment on the story. SBI and ICICI Bank too offered no comments. Traditionally, India’s public sector banks have stayed away from dealing with foreign investors in the stressed loan market.

Bulge-bracket global funds such as KKR, Brookfield Asset Management and Apollo Global management have looked at opportunities to acquire stressed assets put on the block by lenders. KKR was in contention to acquire Jaypee’s cement units, which was clinched by Aditya Birla-led UltraTech Cements for Rs 16,000 crore, mostly through a refinancing deal. KKR’s offer centred around acquiring 51% ownership (leaving the rest with lenders) and turning around operations under a new management team. The lenders would recoup a part of the loan upfront, while waiting for future upsides riding on a business rejig. The banks preferred a one-time deal offered by Birla’s UltraTech.

Brookfield’s acquisition of debt-laden Gammon’s road and power assets is one of the few recent instances where a global investor acquired assets of a stressed entity. “Indian lenders have opted for selling assets in distress rather than exploring ways to shore up value on troubled loans. Yesterday’s lenders have become today’s collectors. Hopefully, there will be a time when bankers will behave like bankers,” Anil Singhvi, a shareholder activist and co-founder of proxy advisory firm Institutional Investor Advisory Services (IIAS), said.

Last year, KKR along with Italian lenders UniCredit and Intesa Sanpaolo launched Pillarstone as a platform to help big corporate borrowers recover and grow. It later signed up with lenders such as Alpha Bank and Eurobank to expand the platform into Greece. Both Italian and Greek lenders have agreed to pool in about EUR 1 billion of loans each as part of the engagement with Pillarstone. KKR has said European Bank for Reconstruction and Development is also considering co-investing in the platform, which is planning to start operations into other European markets.

KKR has argued that Pillarstone is a “timely intervention” in European markets where hefty bad loans are hampering a broader economic recovery, a concern shared by policymakers in India as well. In recent weeks, the top 20 public sector banks have reported a cumulative loss of almost Rs 15,000 crore in the fourth quarter of the last fiscal. This was triggered by an unprecedented surge in provisioning for bad loans following the RBI’s asset quality review. The non-performing assets on their balance sheets is estimated at Rs 3 lakh crore.

“Nearly 15% of system assets are stressed and even if we optimistically assume that only a third of these stressed assets are going to be ultimately written off, that still means that nearly 30% the shareholders’ equity in the banking system is currently at serious risk,” Saurabh Mukherjea of Ambit Capital said in his latest research report. “The problem-facing public sector banks is more serious as 17% of their assets are stressed. It would imply that nearly 50% of the shareholders’ equity of PSBs will be written off by the end of FY18, requiring $30 billion (equivalent to nearly 1.5% of our GDP) in equity infusion. It is unlikely the government will find resources to recapitalize these ailing public sector banks,” Mukherjea added.

Source:http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/articleshow/52634610.cms?utm_source=contentofinterest&utm_medium=text&utm_campaign=cppst

 

Resurgent Rajasthan sees proposals worth Rs 3.3 lakh cr

The first day of the much-hyped Rajasthan Resurgent Summit concluded with 295 proposals worth Rs 3.3 lakh crore. These proposals, however, were received over the past year and barely left much scope for industry heavyweights and the Union government to announce any new big-ticket projects.

“These proposals are just the tip of the iceberg. A lot of work has to be done,” Chief Minister Vasundhara Raje said in her inaugural speech. “This investment will create 2.5 lakh jobs,” she added.

In the past year, Rajasthan has undertaken a raft of economic and industry reforms to create an investment-friendly image. Her government was left with a huge debt, including Rs 70,000 crore of debt from the power sector, by the previous Congress government.

THE PROPOSALS
• Rs 11,000 cr investments announced by Kumar Mangalam Birla
• Rs 10,000 cr pledged by Gautam Adani
• Rs 6,500 cr worth investments by Anil Ambani
• Rs 10,000 cr worth projects to be undertaken by chemical & fertiliser ministry
• 24 model railway stations to be developed in the state

Lauding Raje’s role, Union Finance Minister Arun Jaitley said, after leading the state in reforms, the chief minister should now lead the state in ease of doing business. The government should provide land for business. “The India of 2015 is not the India of 1971. For that matter, it is also not the India of 1991. The aspirational constituency, which supports growth wants India to reform at a much faster speed,” he said. “Everything should be corruption free. Taxation should be reasonable and the policy should not be so aggressive that it deters investors, ” he added.

Among the investments made public on Thursday, the biggest perhaps came from Kumar Mangalam Birla, chairman of the Aditya Birla Group. Birla promised investment of nearly Rs 11,000 crore, including Rs 7,000 crore for setting up two new cement plants and Rs 3,000 crore for establishing a 500 MW solar power plant in the state. Gautam Adani, head of the Adani Group, also promised to invest an additional sum of Rs 10,000 crore over four years for the expansion of thermal power plants and generation of solar power in the state.

However, then there was a word of caution by Hero Motocorp chairman Pawan Munjal. Though he lauded the government’s role in making the state investor friendly, he requested the chief minister to ensure speedy clearance of projects.

“We need speedy clearances for setting up our industries,” Munjal said, disclosing that his company is setting up a state-of-the-art Research and Development Centre on the outskirts of Jaipur.

Uday Kotak, chief executive officer of Kotak Mahindra Bank, found special mention from Raje for the bank’s financial services. Kotak said his bank’s lending ratio is more than the deposit in the state.

For instance, against a deposit of Rs 100, his bank lends Rs 250. “We plan to double our lending from Rs 5,000 crore to Rs 10,000 crore in the next three years… this will help small, medium-scale industries and farmers in the state,” Kotak said.

From the central government, the biggest announcements came from chemicals and fertiliser minister Ananth Kumar, who promised Rs 10,000-crore of projects. This includes setting up a National Institute of Pharmaceutical Education and Research in Jhalawar district in two years, upgrade of the Central Institute of Plastic Engineering and Technology in Jaipur, and setting up a plastics park and a medical devices park, a first in the country. Railways minister Suresh Prabhu said they were going to set up 24 modern railway stations in the state.

Tourism was another key sector, which received special attention from the Central government, as well as the summit’s international partners including Singapore, Japan, Italy and Australia. Singapore Home Affairs Minister K Shanmugam said Singapore Airlines has decided to operate a direct flight from Singapore. “The airlines knew that it might not be earning profit in one or two years, but it is a long-term partnership,” he said.