GST lends more weight to India’s 8% growth projection: S&P

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Calling GST as the most important structural reform till date by the Modi government, S&P Global Ratings today said the passage of the indirect tax law gives it additional conviction of India clocking 8 per cent growth in the next few years.

“India’s GST passage gives us additional conviction around our 8%-ish GDP growth forecast over the next few years,” it said in a report titled ‘Asia-Pacific steadies while China goes silent’.

The rating agency had last month projected India to clock a “steroid-free” growth of 8 per cent in coming years. “The GST passage is arguably the most important structural reform to date by the Modi government and will improve efficiency, cross-state trade and tax buoyancy,” it said today.

It saw a reasonably firm pick-up in Asia-Pacific’s macro momentum indicators, with pick-up in retail sales offering the clearest sign in most of the region’s economies. This, it said, stems from rising income, which in turn is part of the region’s evolving growth dynamics, with consumption playing a larger role.

S&P said China has been nudged up as it raised the GDP growth forecast by about a quarter percentage point in 2016 and 2017 to 6.6 per cent and 6.4 per cent, respectively, and has kept its 2018 forecast roughly unchanged at 6.1 per cent.

Japan’s second-quarter out turn was weaker than expected, it said, adding that its 0.7 per cent GDP growth forecast for 2016 looked like “a mild stretch at this point”.

In its ‘APAC Economic Snapshots — September 2016’ report, it had stated that India’s structural reforms agenda had maintained strong momentum and, most recently with the GST passage, should propel growth higher. “For India, we are still forecasting GDP growth at about 8 per cent over the next few years. Moreover, this is relatively high quality, steroid—free growth backed by a broadening consumption base,” S&P had said.

“Inflation remains a risk, given the large weights on food, fuel, and other volatile items in the Reserve Bank of India’s target basket,” S&P had said.

The latest gross domestic production (GDP) figures showed that India’s growth slowed to 7.1 per cent in the April-June quarter, from 7.9 per cent in January-March.

RBI has also said the near-term growth outlook for India seems brighter than last fiscal’s and the economy is likely to expand at 7.6 per cent in 2016-17.

Source: http://www.thehindubusinessline.com/economy/gst-lends-more-weight-to-indias-8-growth-projection-sp/article9208148.ece

Income Declaration Scheme: Rs 65,000 cr and counting

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The Capital’s tallest building, the 28-storey Civic Centre near the New Delhi Railway Station, is hardly a hub of action on a weekend night. But September 30 was not like any other Friday evening. It was the last day of the government’s Income Declaration Scheme (IDS). And hours before the midnight deadline, top officials in Mumbai and New Delhi confirmed that the response was overwhelming. Till 11 pm, the pan-India declarations had exceeded Rs 65,000 crore, implying a tax amount or earning of Rs 30,000 crore for the government.

While the final tally will be announced by Finance Minister Arun Jaitley at a press conference on Saturday afternoon, till evening of Friday, Hyderabad emerged as a top destination with declaration of Rs 13,000 crore, followed by Mumbai (Rs 8,500 crore), New Delhi (Rs 6,000 crore) and Kolkata (Rs 4,000 crore).

Business Standard visited Delhi’s Civic Centre, which houses one of the largest income tax offices in the country, to do a reality check of the Narendra Modi government’s ambitious black money declaration scheme just before the window closed. At the main gate, the register kept for visitors’ entry got filled and the second register had more than 100 entries at 9 pm. The basement parking was overflowing through the day, a clear indication that the scheme had picked up momentum on the last day.

Across several floors of the building, aides of those declaring undisclosed income were lined up till late in the evening. All top officers were at work, handholding people who wanted to come out clean, by paying 45 per cent tax on the declared amount. Among the people who had rushed with the income papers along with fat cheques was a 20 something man with a backpack. He represented a businessman, but remained tight-lipped, in the spirit of the scheme that promises not to give away any detail of the people who had responded to the government’s call.

There were more like him, sitting on sofas outside the commissioners’ rooms or at the elevators, trying to reach the right floor before midnight.

“I am just delivering the form for someone else. This is not my declaration,” said one of those, when asked why he waited for the last minute to make the disclosure.

A helpful principal commissioner pointed out that there was a rush of people over the last two days, with most seeking clarifications about the scheme. Many of the last day declarants were the ones whose forms were rejected earlier because of incomplete information, a source said.

With a sigh of relief, another principal commissioner at 10 pm said over Rs 200 crore worth declarations were received in his office, helping him meet the expectations.

There was no time to break for dinner but cooks, sourced from a prominent restaurant chain, were at work, making cuisines for close to 100 people who stayed up till midnight to accept declarations.

A tax officer gave out the secret of the scheme’s success. “Besides the 900,000 letters that were sent out, we intimated individuals whose information we had. Most of them chose to declare it under the scheme to avoid the risk of prosecution after the window closed,” he said.

In fact, it was during the surveys that many individuals decided to declare their unaccounted income or assets. “During surveys, they asked if they could still declare it. We agreed, and that worked,” he said. In the 1997 tax amnesty scheme — Voluntary Disclosure of Income Scheme (VDIS) — the government had received Rs 33,000 crore in declarations. In contrast, only about 644 declarations worth Rs 4,164 crore were made under the black money window for foreign assets last year, resulting in tax collection of Rs 2,428 crore.

The stiff warning from the Prime Minister against the black money holders earlier this month may have also acted as a trigger for people to avail the one-time Scheme. Modi, in an interview to a private channel, had said, “No one should blame me if I take tough decisions after the 30th (of September).”

The IDS, which charges a one-time effective tax rate of 45 per cent on undisclosed income or property, gave a chance to domestic taxpayers to declare undisclosed income or assets by September 30 and avail immunity from prosecution under the Income-tax Act, Wealth Tax Act and Benami Transactions (Prohibition) Act.

Source: http://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/income-declaration-scheme-rs-65-000-cr-and-counting-116093001207_1.html

In just 5 months, MUDRA lends over Rs. 42,000 crore & invests Rs 203 crore in securitisation deals

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Micro Units Development & Refinance Agency (MUDRA) has recently closed its fourth deal with a total book of over Rs 203 crore, five months after it stepped into the securitisation market.

It has invested Rs 100 crore in two securitisation deals with Janalakshmi Financial Services and another Rs 50 crore in Satin Credit Care. It has also invested Rs 53 crore in SK Financial Services, a Jaipur-headquartered NBFC through a securitisation deal.

“We are directly investing in pass through certificates either as junior or senior investor,” Jiji Mammen, CEO, MUDRA, said.”All our investments are in healthy loan portfolios that will fetch us good yields.”

The coupon rates for all the securitisation deals are between 9.5 per cent and 10 per cent and the average yield for all assets was around 22 per cent, according to Mammen. Securitisation allows companies to provide part of their loan books and its receivables as guarantee to financial institutions. MUDRA was established as a subsidiary of Small Industries Development Bank of India (Sidbi) by PM Narendra Modi in April this year. The agency was set up with an initial corpus of Rs 5,000 crore to provide capital to all banks seeking refinancing of small business loans under Pradhan Mantri Mudra Yojna.

MUDRA’s latest attempt is to provide support to NBFCs and MFIs so that they in turn finance micro enterprises by participating in securitisation of their loan assets. It provides second loss default guarantee for credit enhancement and participates in investment of Pass through Certificate as senior or junior investor.

In the past five months, MUDRA has disbursed Rs 42,000 crore, one fourth of its total annual target of Rs 1,80,000 crore. The lending agency’s disbursals nearly doubled in the past two months to about Rs 27,000 crore from the Rs 15,000 crore it disbursed in the first quarter of the current fiscal year.

MUDRA has given loans of over Rs 1.3 lakh crore to 35 million borrowers. About 35 per cent of the total loans sanctioned last year were disbursed by MFIs. Among 45 per cent of the total loans disbursed by PSUs, 20 per cent was disbursed by SBI alone while 23 per cent was disbursed by private banks.

Of the planned disbursement of Rs 1.8 lakh crore this fiscal year, public sector banks would disburse Rs 77,700 crore, followed by Rs 21,000 crore by private and foreign banks, Rs 15,000 crore by regional rural banks, and Rs 64,240 crore by MFIs.

Source: http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/articleshow/54286037.cms

I-T returns: Top 1% earned 18% of income

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The top 1 per cent of earning individuals who filed tax returns earned about 18 per cent of the total income in financial year 2011-12, according to the latest data on income tax released by the income-tax department recently.

The bottom half of the earning individuals earned just about 21 per cent of the total income shown in the returns, the data showed, highlighting stark income inequality. However, in between there is a big chunk of middle class. It is this class, which was addressed by Prime Minister Narendra Modi in his Independence-Day speech when he said he would further mitigate their problems with the income-tax department.  The top 1 per cent of the individuals were those who earned Rs 25 lakh and above, while the bottom 50 per cent made up of those who earned up to Rs 2.5 lakh. In between, there was a middle class, constituting about 49 per cent of the total tax payees. Their income was around 61 per cent of the total.

Three individuals filed returns showing income of more than Rs 500 crore in the financial year 2011-12. About 35,616 individuals earned more than Rs 1 crore as taxable income during that year.  These individuals  made it to the super-rich category, for which an additional surcharge of 10 per cent was introduced in the financial year 2013-14. The super-rich surcharge imposed on taxable income of more than Rs 1 crore, has since then been raised to 15 per cent.

India’s Gini Coefficient, a measure of inequality, stands at 0.38. The higher the coefficient, ranging between zero and one, the higher is inequality. However, it should be noted that agriculture income is exempted from income tax.

As many as 1,33,000 individuals reported zero taxable income in 2011-12.  Maximum individuals or about 38 per cent individual return filers (10.8 million individuals) were in the taxable income bracket of Rs 1.5-2.5 lakh.

About 33 per cent of the 46.5 million taxpayers in the country paid taxes but did not file returns in assessment year 2012-13.

For individuals, salary income constituted about half the total income, while business income represented 33.4 per cent. Of the 31.2 million returns filed, 28.9 million or 92 per cent were individual taxpayers.

Amid pressure from celebrated economist Thomas Piketty and Chief Economic Advisor Arvind Subramanian, the revenue department has released the revised set of income tax data for assessment year 2012-13, omitting about 150,000 returns to bring consistency of data within various categories. In cases where more than one returns were submitted, the values of the latest returns have been considered.

Income tax deductions totalling Rs 1.35 lakh crore significantly lowered taxable income of individuals, making up for 11 per cent of total gross income for individuals. For companies, the deductions were about 7.1 per cent of total gross income.

According to a recent write up by Revenue Secretary Hasmukh Adhia and CEA Subramanian, the total tax foregone on all income taxes amounted to 0.4 per cent of gross domestic product in 2011-12. The government had in the Budget announced a plan to phase out corporate tax deductions and exemptions, putting a sunset date in most cases. It plans to reduce corporate tax to 25 per cent from 30 per cent currently by 2019.

With the government taking efforts to encourage individuals to file returns, about 155,000 filed zero-income returns in 2011-12. Filing of returns is mandatory to avail loans.

About 3.7 per cent of the population and 9.1 per cent of the workforce were part of the individual income-tax system the assessment year 2012-13. There were 44 million individual income taxpayers and 0.65 million corporate taxpayers that year. These include those tax payers also who did not file returns but paid tax through tax deducted at source (TDS).

Source: http://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/i-t-returns-top-1-earned-18-of-income-116081601347_1.html

India giving World Bank all evidence of improved ease of doing business

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India is providing detailed evidence to the World Bank on ease of doing business as it seeks to break into the top 100 countries on the bank’s index from its current rank of 130.

Officials said logs of construction permits, containerised cargo movement at ports and setting up of a company are being provided to World Bank as part of the Narendra Modi government’s efforts to ensure it does not miss any point to score to improve India’s rank.

World Bank officials had a few queries for the Department of Industrial Policy & Promotion (DIPP) when they met on August 1 after completing field inspection and verification of claims over the 14 parameters on ease of doing business.

While the World Bank does not share its findings, one observation made by its team was that people were carrying paperwork to the offices of the Employees’ Provident Fund Organisation even as registration was made free of all physical touch-points. “We clarified that it is only for claims that one needs to file the papers,” said a senior DIPP official, who did not wish to be identified.

Besides, DIPP is now gathering its own evidence for cases where it feels respondents have not have kept in mind the assumptions made by the World Bank study.

“In case of construction permits the study is limited to warehouses or buildings on the outskirts or setting up of a company parameter is only for domestic enterprises and not how long it takes for a foreign entity,” the official said.

DIPP is taking a proactive approach to provide evidence on its part even after the field investigations have been wrapped by the World Bank team. Final rankings will be announced in October. The ranking considers business environment in Delhi and Mumbai. India compares unfavourably even with countries such as Mexico, which is ranked 38, and Russia, which is at 51. Prime Minister Modi has set a target for India to be in the top 50 in three years.

Specific areas DIPP has targeted are starting business, insolvency procedures, construction permits, ease of trade across borders and electricity connections. According to the department, total number of days required to start a business has been reduced to 12 from 29 in the past year. A team of researchers spent two weeks in Delhi and Mumbai talking to actual users and stakeholders to study and verify implementation of reforms, officials said.

Source : http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/articleshow/53716006.cms

CBDT tightens scrutiny rules for assessing officers

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If you have received an income-tax scrutiny notice, there’s no need to be unduly fearful as the government has sought to protect you against possible harassment.

That’s in line with Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s recent message to the tax department that people should not fear such persecution.

The Central Board of Direct Taxes (CBDT) has made it more difficult for assessing officers to expand the scope of a ‘limited’ scrutiny to a complete one.

They will also have to substantiate any contention of possible under-reporting of income and loss of taxes, apart from requiring approval of senior officers.

The guidelines issued recently by the apex direct taxes body call for assessing officers to form a “reasonable view” that there is a possibility of income under-assessment, said an official aware of the move.

Besides, when manually selecting cases for scrutiny in the current financial year, the threshold for metros has been raised to Rs 25 lakh from Rs 10 lakh for instances involving additions in the earlier year.

That is, if an assessing officer finds that some income should have been added to the declaration, the return can’t be opened for scrutiny if the incremental amount is less than Rs 25 lakh.

In the past two years, the government has sought to make the department’s revenue collection efforts less aggressive and move away from what’s been dubbed by some as tax terrorism.

Modi delivered much the same message to tax officials at a meeting last month. Processes are being made less discretionary and increased reliance is being placed on information technology.

E-scrutiny, which allows payees to reply to scrutiny questions over email in metros, has also been started. These latest directives add to measures aimed at ensuring that tax officers don’t embark on fishing expedition even in cases of limited scrutiny under the Computer Aided Scrutiny Selection (CASS) where the perceived risk area is limited to only that particular transaction.

Tax experts welcomed the move. Together with the new scrutiny formats, this will lead to greater accountability of the tax department, said Amit Maheshwari, partner, Ashok Maheshwary & Associates LLP, chartered accountants.

“This would help save precious resources of the department, lead to early closure of assessments and prevent unnecessary harassment,” he said.

Source :  http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/articleshow/53257731.cms?utm_source=contentofinterest&utm_medium=text&utm_campaign=cppst