Temasek scouts for more investments in India

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Temasek Holdings, Singapore government’s investment company, will continue to scout for investments across consumption-oriented segments in India this year, even as it’s open to opportunities from other sectors.

In the previous year, the company’s bigger investments were in consumption-oriented segments such as healthcare and pharmaceuticals, financial services (including insurance), technology (e-commerce or payment) and consumer (FMCG companies).

The investments were made across public and private companies.

“That trend is likely to continue, and that’s where we see most of the India story playing out, unless there are certain opportunities that come up from other sectors.

“We are always open to opportunities from other sectors too,” said R Venkatesh, Managing Director, Temasek Holdings Advisors India Pvt Ltd.

For the sector-agnostic investment firm, there is no preferred exit mode, and previously the company has exited through various modes such as strategic stake, secondary sales and IPOs.

On an average, the company has invested more than $1 billion every year in India across sectors such as consumer, financial services, new economy, healthcare and pharmaceuticals.

“We don’t have an industry allocation, a country allocation or any type of deal allocation. It’s entirely based on the deals that make the cart. Our investments are very much bottoms up, and depends on opportunities,” said Promeet Ghosh, also a Managing Director at Temasek Holdings Advisors.

Temasek, which started its Indian operations in 2004, has investments in companies such as Bajaj Corp, Crompton Greaves, Oberoi Realty, GMR Energy, Axis Bank, Glenmark Pharma and Sun Pharma.

India is one of the markets across the world the company is focusing on due to good macros, great demographics and a rising middle-income population, Ghosh added.

Dip in net portfolio value

Last week, Temasek posted a net portfolio value of S$242 billion for year ended March, lower from S$266 billion posted during the previous year.

This was the Singapore investment company’s first portfolio decline since the 2009 global financial crisis.

India’s exposure to that was about 5 per cent, which was a rise from 4 per cent last year.

“This is reflective of a mark-to-market fall in some of our listed portfolio companies across the world. About 60 per cent of our portfolio is listed and about two-thirds of these are exposed to markets in Hong Kong and Singapore stock exchanges, which have fallen between 15-26 per cent,” Venkatesh said.

Source: http://www.thehindubusinessline.com/companies/temasek-scouts-for-more-investments-in-india/article8840335.ece

Black money window: CBDT issues notification to ensure secrecy

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CBDT today issued a notification making it clear that information about those who declare their black money under the compliance window, ending September 30, will be kept secret.

The notification states that “no public servant shall produce before any person or authority any such document or record or any information or computerised data or part thereof as comes into his possession during the discharge of official duties in respect of valid declaration under the Income Declaration Scheme, 2016.”

The notification also quotes provisions of section 138 of the Income Tax Act which states that taxpayer related information is confidential and cannot be shared.

The fresh notification was issued by the Central Board of Direct Taxes (CBDT), a senior official said, as the department was getting a number of queries with regard to the confidentiality under the Income Declaration Scheme (IDS) or the one-time domestic black money compliance window.

Trade associations and industry bodies had also taken up the issue during their meeting with Finance Minister Arun Jaitley recently.

“The notification now gives legal sanctity to the word of the government that all information related to IDS will be kept confidential. It is aimed to end apprehensions in the minds of potential declarants that their information will find its way in the hands of other probe agencies or will reach the public domain,” the official said.

The IDS is open for four months, between June 1 and September 30 and the CBDT and the IT department have introduced a number of measures to make it a success.

CBDT has so far issued three sets of clarifications on Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs) to clear doubts and answer queries about the IDS.

The department has also published a country-wide list of registered asset valuers for those who wish to declare their untaxed funds and properties under this window.

The CBDT has also directed the taxman to step up publicity by advertising about the IDS at posh markets, clubs and showrooms. Besides, it has promised full privacy would be ensured for those making disclosures for better collections.

Under the scheme, the declarants will have to pay a total of 45 per cent in tax and penalty by November this year. Individuals and entities making disclosures will have immunity from prosecution.

IDS was announced with an aim to flush out black money from the domestic economy. It will apply to undisclosed income whether in the form of investment in assets or otherwise, pertaining to financial year 2015-16 or earlier.

Declarations under IDS can either be made online on the official e-filing website of the tax department or before various regional Principal Commissioners of I-T department.

Source : http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/articleshow/53155906.cms

India signs five agreements with Tanzania

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Seeking to enhance its ties with resource-rich Tanzania, India on Sunday extended its full support to the country to meet its development needs and signed five agreements, including one for providing a Line of Credit of $92 million in the water resources sector.

Describing India as a trusted partner in meeting Tanzania’s development priorities, Mr. Modi said he along with President John Pombe Joseph Magufuli “agreed to deepen overall defence and security partnership, especially in the maritime domain.”

“Our in-depth discussions on regional and global issues reflected our considerable convergence on issues of common interest and concern,” he said at a joint press interaction after his bilateral meeting with President Magufuli.

Twin threats

The two leaders agreed to work closely, bilaterally, regionally and globally to combat the twin threats of terrorism and climate change.

In a joint statement, the two leaders expressed their strong condemnation of terrorism in all its forms and manifestations and stated that there could be no justification for terrorism whatsoever. They expressed satisfaction on the holding of bilateral counter-terrorism consultations in early 2016.

“India’s cooperation with Tanzania will always be as per your needs and priorities,” Mr. Modi said.

The two sides signed an agreement under which India would provide a Line of Credit of $ 92 million for rehabilitation and improvement of Zanzibar’s water supply system.

Other agreements signed included an MoU on water resource management and development, an MoU for establishment of vocational training centre at Zanzibar, an MoU on visa waiver for diplomatic/official passport holders and an agreement between the National Small Industries Corporation of India and the Small Industries Development Organisation, Tanzania.

The Prime Minister said the two countries were also working on a number of other water projects for 17 cities in Tanzania.

Source: http://www.thehindu.com/news/national/narendra-modis-africa-visit-india-extends-92-mn-line-of-credit-to-tanzania/article8831464.ece

E-commerce driving demand for warehousing space: CBRE

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E-commerce continues to drive demand for logistics and warehousing space in the country and has attracted a lot of interest from developers and private equity players, property consultant CBRE said.

“With the logistics and industrial segment witnessing significant development, there is a lot of interest from both developers and private equity investment,” CBRE South Asia Managing Director, Advisory and Transaction Services, Ram Chandnani said in a statement.

The government’s investor-friendly investment policies, improving domestic economy and progressive legislative reforms are all steps boosting the sector, he said at a conference here.

“India is yet to achieve its full potential when it comes to the logistics sector, even though the World Bank has ranked India 35th in logistics.

“China is ranked 27th but India is not too far behind,” said M T Murthy, Member (Operations) – India Post, Ministry of Communication and Information.

Stating that lack of adequate infrastructure has slowed down India’s economy in the past, Murthy said the government is committed towards capacity building.

E-commerce is playing a major role in driving up the demand in logistics that witnessed a growth of 57 per cent between 2009 and 2015, the statement said.

“India Post now has 700 e-commerce partners who rely on the government for their service delivery,” Murthy said.

According to CBRE, nearly 2 million sq ft of warehousing space was taken up by e-commerce firms in 2015, which is a significant jump, as the share of the sector rose from a meagre 2 per cent of the total warehousing demand in 2012, to around 22 per cent during 2015.

Brexit to hit eurozone growth, says IMF

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The International Monetary Fund has cuts its economic growth forecasts for the eurozone in the wake of the UK’s vote to leave the European Union.

The eurozone is expected to grow by 1.6% this year and 1.4% in 2017. Before the referendum the IMF had predicted growth of 1.7% for both years.

The IMF also revised down its 2018 growth forecast to 1.6% from 1.7%.

It said medium-term growth prospects for the 19-member bloc were “mediocre” due to high unemployment and debt.

Mahmood Pradhan, deputy director of the IMF’s European Department, said the outlook could worsen if drawn-out negotiations between the UK and the EU led to a continuation of recent trends in financial markets – where investors have shunned riskier assets.

“If that risk aversion is prolonged, we think the growth impact could be larger and at this point, it is very difficult to tell how long that period lasts,” he said in a conference call.

The revised 2017 figure was the IMF’s “best case” scenario, assuming a deal was struck that allowed the UK to retain its access to the EU’s single market, Mr Pradhan said.

However, if the UK decided not to maintain close ties with the EU and chose to rely on World Trade Organization rules, there could be “major disruptions,” he said.

Mr Pradhan added it was “very, very early days to have any strong sense of confidence” about what the eventual relationship between the UK and EU would be.

In the medium-term, challenges such as high unemployment and persistent structural weaknesses in the euro area would continue to weigh on growth, the IMF said.

“As a result, growth five years ahead is expected to be about 1.5%, with headline inflation reaching only 1.7%,” the report said.

It also said that as the euro area was such a big player in world trade, any slowdown could have an impact on other economies, including emerging markets, but it expected this to be “limited”.

Source: http://www.bbc.com/news/business-36743862

No World Recession From Brexit But Risks High, Says IMF’s Lagarde

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International Monetary Fund chief Christine Lagarde said that Britain’s shock vote to quit the European Union has injected significant uncertainty into the global economy but is unlikely to cause a world recession.

But in an exclusive interview with AFP, she also said that Brexit underscores the need for the EU to do a better explaining how it benefits Europeans, amid “disenchantment” with the institution.

And she said that Britain’s move to cut corporate taxes to counter the expected economic fallout from its choice to break with the EU was just a “race to the bottom” that could hurt everyone.

Two weeks after the British referendum on cutting its EU ties, Ms Lagarde, speaking in her Washington offices at the beginning of her second five year term as IMF managing director, called the event a “major downside risk” for the world.

“We don’t think that a global recession is very likely. The immediate effects will be on the UK,” with some spillover into the euro area, she said.

Yet the longer the process for Britain’s withdrawal remains unclear, the worse the effects could be, she said. “The key word about this Brexit affair is uncertainty and the longer the uncertainty, the higher the risk,” she said.

“The sooner they can resolve their timeline and the terms of their departure the better for all. It needs to be predictable as soon as possible.”

But Ms Lagarde, who during her first five years leading the Fund has already endured a substantial amount of turmoil in Europe, said she remained positive over the outcome.

“There will be spillover effects on the euro area. But my optimistic approach of life tells me that Brexit could be a catalyst that could push the EU to deepen its economic integration.”

Source: http://profit.ndtv.com/news/global-economy/article-no-world-recession-from-brexit-but-risks-high-says-imfs-lagarde-1429092

Brexit offers lifeline on $800 billion emerging company debt

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Britain’s vote to exit the European Union (EU) has thrown a lifeline to emerging-market companies facing an $800 billion wall of maturing debt.

By hindering the Federal Reserve’s plan to raise interest rates, the referendum result has led to speculation borrowing costs will remain lower for longer as policy makers attempt to prevent Europe’s turmoil turning into a recession. This means developing-nation companies that borrowed when it was cheaper to do so won’t have to pay more to service those bonds, at least for now.

The prospect of fewer defaults shows how the so-called Brexit vote is proving a blessing for developing-nation companies that need to pay back about $200 billion per year from 2017 to 2020. Economists from the International Monetary Fund (IMF) to the Bank for International Settlements have been warning Fed monetary tightening may set off an increase in corporate failures in emerging markets. Defaults have been climbing since 2013 and reached a seven-year high in the second quarter.

“We might even see a decline in default rates again in the third and fourth quarters of this year,” said Apostolos Bantis, a Dubai-based credit analyst at Commerzbank AG, who recommends investing in Latin American company bonds. “The overall outlook now is more positive for emerging-markets corporates because the Fed is very unlikely to move any time soon following the Brexit.”

Uncertain outcomes

The policy uncertainty engulfing the developed world has boosted the appeal of emerging countries, usually viewed by investors as more vulnerable to political risk. Yields on a Bloomberg index tracking developing-nation corporate bonds have fallen 27 basis points to 5.19% since the UK vote, adding to a recovery that started when oil prices began rebounding from a 20 January low.

The sentiment shift means that defaults are probably past their peak, according to Kathy Collins, an analyst at Aberdeen Asset Management in London. By 28 June, S&P Global Ratings had recorded 10 emerging-market corporate defaults in the second quarter, the worst quarterly tally since mid-2009. The rating company’s 12-month junk-bond default rate climbed to 3.2% at the end of May from 2.9% at the end of April.

“Given where commodity prices are at the moment, we’re not expecting too many more defaults,” Collins said. “In the first six months of this year, we’ve seen a lot of companies be very proactive in terms of tenders and buybacks in the market.”

Buying back

Russia’s Novolipetsk Steel PJSC and shipping operator Sovcomflot OJSC have announced they intend to buy back debt totaling as much as $2 billion. Latin American bonds sales surged over the past week, which HSBC Holdings Plc partly attributed to an increased likelihood of “ultra-low global policy rates” for longer. Brazilian meat packer Marfrig Global Foods SA sold $250 million of securities to repurchase outstanding notes in a push it said would “lengthen its debt maturity profile and reduce the cost of its capital structure.”

The issuance boom may prove short lived if the prospect of Fed tightening re-emerges. The UK’s vote to end its 43-year association with the EU has also ushered in a period of uncertainty for global markets that may eventually turn investors off developing-world assets. In June, the BIS reiterated a warning that emerging market non-bank borrowers that have accumulated $3.3 trillion in dollar debt are coming under strain as their economies slow and currencies weaken.

“If we get some volatility in emerging markets, say from political noise coming from the EU, and there is no access to capital markets from some issuers, that could be really negative,” Badr El Moutawakil, an emerging-market credit strategist at Barclays Plc in London said.

Even after the Brexit dust settles, looming elections in the US, Germany, France and possibly the UK mean a lengthening list of potentially disruptive events, strengthening the hands of dovish central bankers. Emerging-market companies have raised $3.71 billion of international bonds since the UK’s referendum on 23 June.

“External factors are more supportive,” said Bantis from Commerzbank. “The default trend of the past quarter is unlikely to continue.” Bloomberg

Source: http://www.livemint.com/Politics/sCZ90ORt2l0cm0rnS0DIqJ/Brexit-offers-lifeline-on-800-billion-emerging-company-debt.html