India knocking at rare club of fast, steady growth economies says Edelweiss

There are only 28 episodes ever when countries grew at over 6 per cent for 8 years or longer, Edelweiss Securities said in a research note, adding India is entering this rare club.

Indian economy is becoming more efficient through five broad themes — fast and steady rate of growth, market reforms, expanding digital footprint, revival in rural growth and creation of modern infrastructure, says a report.

 

Indian economy is becoming more efficient through five broad themes — fast and steady rate of growth, market reforms, expanding digital footprint, revival in rural growth and creation of modern infrastructure, says a report. “India is growing at a fast pace, largely driven by efficiency gains in doing business, tax collections, infrastructure and rural economy,” it added. There are only 28 episodes ever when countries grew at over 6 per cent for 8 years or longer, Edelweiss Securities said in a research note, adding India is entering this rare club. On landmark reforms, the report said while GST can increase highly productive formal organised employment, bankruptcy code can enhance liquidation and better utilisation of assets. Moreover, there has been a marked improvement in global competitiveness among major emerging markets and 90 per cent of FDI is now coming through the automatic route, replacing hot money, it added.

Regarding digital India, it said that apart from gains from extinguished liability, the real effect of demonetisation has been a repair of banks’ balance sheets and an increase in digital transactions.

An efficient rural India means higher rural income, which in turn would lead to large increase in discretionary spend hence stronger growth in India.

Edelweiss Securities further noted that equities are cheap relative to bonds.

“A comparison of Nifty’s earning yield vs the 10-year government bond yield shows that equities are currently very cheaply priced as compared to debt instruments and we should expect a shift in the allocation of funds from debt to equity,” it said.

The broader market is also showing bullish prospects.

“The number of stocks hitting 52-week highs are rising steadily and the total market cap of all NSE listed stocks (above 200 cr MCAP) is also at a new all-time high; suggesting strong momentum in broader market,” it said.

Source: http://www.financialexpress.com/economy/india-knocking-at-rare-club-of-fast-steady-growth-economies-says-edelweiss/552425/

Japan logs biggest current account surplus since 2007

Donald Trump and Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe are scheduled to meet for talks later this week.

Japan attained its second-biggest current account surplus on record in 2016, Ministry of Finance data showed on Wednesday, just days before the US and Japanese leaders meet for talks with trade surpluses and currency valuations expected to be high on the agenda.

The 20.6 trillion yen ($183.63 billion) surplus reflected the trade balance swinging into surplus on cheaper oil, rising foreign tourists arrivals creating a record travel surplus, and hefty foreign income from overseas investments.

Trade surpluses and currency valuations are in focus as US President Donald Trump pursues an “America First” campaign in which he has accused big exporters such China, Germany and Japan of deliberately weakening their currencies to gain a competitive advantage.

For the whole of 2016, Japan posted a trade surplus of 6.8 trillion yen ($59.95 billion) with the United States, down 4.6 percent from 2015, with U.S.-bound car shipments rising for a second straight year, the Ministry of Finance said.

Trump and Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe are scheduled to meet for talks later this week. Trump said he and Abe would play a round of golf, with Abe as his partner in the game, rather than a competitor.

Wednesday’s data showed the vast bulk of Japan’s current account surplus was generated by Japanese direct and portfolio investment abroad, accounting for 18.1 trillion yen of the 20.6 trillion current account surplus for 2016.

The trade surplus was 5.6 trillion yen in 2016, from the 630 billion yen deficit seen in 2015, earned in part as declining oil prices curbed import costs.

The travel balance logged a record 1.3 trillion yen surplus last year as a record number of foreign tourist visits took Japan’s services deficit to the smallest on record.

Japan’s current account surplus was 1.11 trillion yen in December, a seventh straight month of annual increases, the ministry data showed.

That compared with economists’ median forecast for a surplus of 1.29 trillion yen seen in a Reuters poll.

Source: http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/articleshow/57034126.cms

India to attract $15-$20 billion FII inflows in 2018: ICRA

India is expected to attract moderate FII inflows of $15-$20 billion in 2018, with headwinds such as the muted outlook for corporate earnings and continued compression in debt spreads relative to advanced economies, rating agency ICRA said in a report on Tuesday.

“With the muted outlook for corporate earnings and emerging sectoral concerns regarding Indian software and pharmaceuticals exports to the US, the net FII equity inflows are likely to be restricted below $5 and $10 billion respectively in FY17 (2016-17) and FY18 (2017-18), in our view,” said ICRA Senior Vice President and Group Head-Financial Sector Ratings, Karthik Srinivasan.

The agency expects aggregate FII debt outflows in FY17 of $6-$8 billion, followed by aggregate inflows of $5-$10 billion during FY18.

“Indian bond yields are unlikely to ease significantly below current levels, given the limited further monetary easing expected from the Reserve Bank of India.

“Moreover, the supply of net long term borrowings of the government is likely to increase in FY2018 from Rs 4.1 trillion in FY2017, as the central government is likely to budget a fiscal deficit range between 3 and 3.5 per cent of the GDP,” he said.

The Indian markets had witnessed record FII outflows of $11.3 billion during Q3 (third quarter) FY17 on the back of a combination of international and domestic factors, including the risk-off sentiment triggered by the outcome of the US presidential election in November 2016 and the tightening of monetary policy by the US Federal Reserve in December 2016.

Source: http://www.business-standard.com/article/news-ians/india-to-attract-15-20-billion-fii-inflows-in-2018-icra-117013101128_1.html

Operation Clean Money: I-T dept scans 1 crore accounts, 18 lakh people to be questioned

In a bid to clamp down on unaccounted money funnelled into bank accounts post demonetization, the tax department has scrutinised and matched as many as 1-crore accounts and asked 18 lakh people to explain the source of fund.

The tax department has run big data analytics through more than 1-crore accounts in its data bank and done matching with the taxpayer profile of the holder, a top source said.

As per I-T records, there are 3.65 crore individuals who filed income tax returns. Besides, there are over 7 lakh companies, 9.40 lakh Hindu Undivided Families (HUFs) and 9.18 lakh firms who filed ITRs during Assessment Year 2014-15.

Also, over 25 crore zero-balance Jan Dhan accounts were opened as part of the financial inclusion drive.

Sources said I-T department is scrutinising all categories of accounts and will send out more SMS/emails for suspicious deposits under ‘Operation Clean Money’.

“We have initially matched 1-crore accounts with the profile in our database and identified 18 lakh people with suspicious deposits of over Rs 5 lakh. We will expand the scope of data analytics further and match the profiles with our data base,” the source told.

In order to reduce harassment of taxpayers, the revenue department has mandated only officers in the rank of Assistant Commissioners and above to issue notices in case of unsatisfactory response received about bank deposits post demonetisation.

Under Operation Clean Money launched by the Income Tax department on January 31, the department has sent SMS and emails to 18 lakh people who have made suspicious deposits of Rs 5 lakh and above between November 10 and December 30.

“If the department is convinced with the reply of the assessee, the case will be closed and that will be communicated by SMS and email. But, in case of unsatisfactory reply, the decision to issue notice will be taken by Assistant Commissioner and Commissioner rank officers,” the source said.

The department has used data analytics for comparison of deposits made after the November 8 decision to scrap high-value banknotes with information in its database to identify tax-payers whose cash transactions do not appear to be in line with the tax-paying profile.

It has also asked taxpayers to e-verify the deposits they made in their accounts post demonetisation and respond to queries of any mismatch on the tax e-filing portal.

The source further said people who have received queries from the tax department about their deposits while replying in the e-filing website can also offer their remarks if it was their cash in hand.

“If the cash in hand is as per the balance sheet, no questions will be asked and the case would be closed. We have put enough safeguard to ensure that there is no harassment to tax-payers,” the source added.

The govt has revised 40 tax treaties for information

India has revised 40 treaties for avoidance of double taxation so that the information exchanged with partner nations on tax matters can also be utilised for other purposes including criminal proceedings, Parliament was informed today.

“Treaty partner countries have been requested to modify the tax treaties, so as to explicitly include provisions that will enable information exchanged for tax purposes to be utilised for other purposes, including criminal proceedings in non-tax matters,” Minister of State for Finance Santosh Kumar Gangwar said in a written reply to Rajya Sabha.

“40 treaties for avoidance of double taxation have been revised accordingly,” he said.

In addition, Gangwar said, India has signed “the Multilateral Convention on Mutual Administrative Assistance in Tax Matters, which also similarly facilitates exchange of information”.

These developments enable use of such information by non-tax agencies, subject to agreement by the Competent Authorities of the Requested Contracting State, he said.

Replying to a separate question, Gangwar said the Enforcement Directorate has provisionally attached assets of worth Rs 9,298 crore in 2016.

The minister said that as per estimate over 2,000 tonnes of gold is held by household, trusts and various institutions in India.

Source: http://www.freepressjournal.in//the-govt-has-revised-40-tax-treaties-for-information/1012899

Here are the highlights of Union Budget 2017

Finance Minister Arun Jaitley presented the Union Budget 2017, his fourth annual budget, today. Here are the highlights of this year’s budget:

►Income Tax rate cut to 5 pc for individuals having income between Rs 2.5 lakh to Rs 5 lakh

►10 pc surcharge on individual income above Rs 50 lakh and upto Rs 1 cr to make up for Rs 15,000 cr loss of due to cut in personal I-T rate

►15 pc surcharge on income above Rs 1 cr to continue

►Of 3.7 cr individuals who filed tax returns in 2015-16, 99 lakh showed income below exemption limit

►Direct tax collection not commensurate with income and expenditure pattern

►Revenue deficit reduced to 2.1 pc from 2.3 pc for 2016-17

►Govt pegs fiscal deficit target at 3.2 per cent for 2017-18 and 3 per cent for next year.

► Monetary policy to be expansionary in major economies

► More steps will be taken to benefit farmers and the weaker sections; budget being presented during weak global economy

►Pace of remonetisation has picked up; demonetisation effects will not spill over to next year

►Functional autonomy of the railways to be maintained

►Demonetisation will help in transfer of resources from tax evaders to government:

►Merger of Railways Budget with General Budget brings focus on a multi-modal approach for development of railways, highways and inland water transport

►Only transient impact on economy due to demonetisation; long term benefit include higher GDP growth and tax revenue

►GDP will be bigger, cleaner after demonetisation

►Effects of demonetisation not expected to spill over to the next year, says Finance Minister

►Govt took two tectonic policy initiatives – passage of GST Bill and demonetisation

►Demonetisation was a continuation of series of measures taken by govt in 2 yrs; it is bold and decisive measure

►We are seen as engine of global growth; IMF sees India to grow fastest in major economies

►36 pc increase in FDI flow; forex reserves at USD 361 billion in January enough to cover 12 months needs

►CAD declined from 1 pc last year to 0.3 pc in first half of current fiscal: FM

►India has emerged as bright spot in the world: FM

►Uncertainty around commodity prices especially oil to have impact on emerging economies: FM

►Double digit inflation has been controlled; sluggish growth replaced by high growth; war on blackmoney launched: FM

►We have moved from discretionary based administration to policy based administration: FM Jaitley

► Agricultural sector is expected to grow at 4.1 per cent this fiscal, says Jaitley

►Demonetisation was a bold and decisive strike in a series of measures to arrive at a new norm of bigger, cleaner and real GDP

►Committed to double farm income in 5 years

►Plan, non-plan classification of expenditure done away with in the Budget for 2017-18 to give a holistic picture

►Mini labs by qualified local entrepreneurs to be set up for soil testing in all 648 krishi vigyan kendras in the country

►Budget presentation advanced to help begin implementation of schemes before onset of monsoon

►We will continue the process of economic reform for the benfit of poor.

►Spend more in rural areas, infra, poverty alleviation, while maintaining fiscal prudence as guiding principle of Budget

►Our agenda for next year is to transform, energise and clean India

►World Bank expects GDP growth rate at 7.6 pc in FY18 and 7.8 pc in FY19

►Allocation under MNREGA increased to 48,000 crore from Rs 38,500 crore. This is highest ever allocation

►Rs 9,000 cr higher allocation for payment of sugarcane arrears

►Target of agriculture credit fixed at Rs 10 lakh cr in 2017-18

►Tax administration honouring the honest is one of the 10 pillars of Budget 2017-18

►National Testing agency to conduct all examinations in higher education, freeing CBSE and other agencies

►133-km road per day constructred under Pradhan Mantri Gram Sadak Yojana as against 73-km in 2011-14

►Govt to set up dairy processing fund of Rs 8,000 crore over three years with initial corpus of Rs 2,000 crore

►1 cr households to be brought out of poverty under Antodya Scheme

►Participation of women in MNREGA increased to 55 pc from 45 pc in past

►Modern law on contract farming will be drafted and circulated to states

►Dedicated micro-irrigation fund to be created with a corpus of Rs 5000 crore

►Market reforms will be undertaken, states will be asked to denotify perishables from Essential Commodities Act

►Space technology to be used for monitoring MNREGA implementation

►Sanitation coverage in villages has increased from 42 pc in Oct 2016 to 60 pc, a rise of 18 pc, says FM

►We propose to provide safe drinking water to 28,000 arsenic and fluoride affected habitations

►To construct one crore houses by 2019 for homeless. PM Awas Yojana allocation raised from Rs 15,000 cr to Rs 23,000 cr

►100 pc electrification of villages to be completed by May 2018

►27,000 cr on to be spend on PMGSY; 1 cr houses to be completed by 2017-18 for houseless

►PM Kaushal Kendras will be extended to 600 districts; 100 international skill centres to be opened to help people get jobs abroad

►The allocation for rural agri and allied sector in 2017-18 is record Rs 1,81,223 crore

►In higher education, we will undertake reforms in UGC, give autonomy to colleges and institutions

►A system of annual learning outcome in schools to be introduced; innovation fund for secondary education to be set up

►Two new AIIMS to be set up Jharkhand and Gujarat

►New rules regarding medical devices will be devised to reduce their cost

► 1.5 lakh health sub centres to be converted to Health Wellness Centres

►National Housing Bank will refinance indiviual loans worth Rs 20,000 crore in 2017-18

►Rs 500 cr allocated to set up Mahila Shakti Kendras; Allocation raised from Rs 1.56 lakh cr to Rs 1.84 lakh cr for women & child welfare.

►Capital and development expenditure pegged at Rs 1.31 lakh cr for railways in 2017-18 from Budget

►Allocation for SCs increased from Rs 38,833 cr to Rs 52,393 cr, a rise of 35 per cent

►35 pc increase in allocation for SC to Rs 52,393 cr

►For senior citizens, Aadhaar based health cards will be issued

►Model Shops and Establishment Bill to open up additional opportunities for employment of women

► Select airports in tier-II cities to be taken up for operations, development on PPP mode

►New metro rail policy to be unveiled

►Railway tariffs to be fixed on the basis of cost, social obligation and competition

►Service charge on e-tickets booked through IRCTC will be withdrawn

►Delhi and Jaipur to have solid waste management plants and five more to be set up later

►Government proposes Coach Mitra facility to redress grievances related to rail coaches

►500 stations will be differently abled by providing lifts and escalators

►Unmanned railway level crossings to be eliminated by 2020

►Railway line of 3,500 km will be commissioned in 2017-18 as against 2,800 km in 2016-17

►Total allocation for rural, agri and allied sectors for 2017-18 is a record Rs 1,87,223 cr, up 24 per cent from last year

►Rs 1 lakh cr corpus for railway safety fund over five years

►A scheme for senior citizens to ensure 8 per cent guaranteed returns

►Dedicated micro-irrigation fund to be set up by NABARD to achieve mission of Per Drop, More Crop

►Digi Gaon will be launched to promote tele-medicine and education

►Crude oil strategic reserves to be set up in Odisha and Rajasthan apart from 3 already constructed

►Coverage of Fasal Bima Yojana to go up from 30 pc of cropped area to 40 pc in 2017-18 and 50 per cent next year

►For transport sector, including railways, road and shipping, government provides Rs 2.41 lakh crore

►Allocation of Rs 10,000 cr for Bharat Net project for providing high-speed broadband in FY18

►Allocation for national highways stepped up to Rs 64,000 cr from Rs 57,676 cr

►Budget allocation for highways stepped up to Rs 64,000 crore in FY18 from Rs 57,676 crore

►Dispute resolution in infrastructure projects in PPP mode will be institutionalised

►Rs 2,74,114 crore allocated for defence expenditure, excluding pension; This includes Rs 86,000 crore for defence capital

►Govt to further liberalise FDI policy

►Over 90 per cent of FDI proposls are now through automatic route

►FIPB will be abolished

►Trade Infrastructure Export Scheme to be launched in 2017-18; total allocation for infra at record Rs 3.96 lakh cr

►Second phase of solar power development to be taken up with an aim of generating 20,000 MW

►After demonetisation on Nov 8 last year, deposit of between Rs 2 lakh and Rs 80 lakh made in 1.09 cr bank accounts at an average of Rs 5.03 lakh till Dec 30

►More funds beyond Rs 10,000 cr for recapitalisation of banks will be provided if needed

►The shares of railway CPSCs like IRCTC and IRFC to be listed on various stock exchanges

►We are largely a tax non-compliant society

►New ETF with diverse stocks will be launched in 2017-18

►Of 76 lakh individuals who reported income of over Rs 5 lakh, 56 lakh are salaried

►Integrated public sector oil major to be created to match global giants

►Govt will amend the Multi-state Cooperative Act to protect the poor and gullible investors

►Urgent need to protect poor from chit fund schemes, draft bill placed in public domain

►Computer emergency response team to be set for cyber security of financial sector

► Govt to introduce two new schemes to promote BHIM App – referal bonus for users and cash back for traders

►Govt doubles distribution target under Mudra Yojana to Rs 2.44 lakh crore for 2017-18

►Over Rs 80 lakh deposits in 1.48 lakh cr at an average of Rs 3.31 cr per account

►Customs duty on LNG halved to 2.5 pc

►FPI to be exempt from indirect transfer provisions

►Political parties can receive donations in cheque, electronic mode; electoral bonds to be issued by RBI

►Maximum amount of cash donation a political party can receive will be Rs 2000 from any one source as part of effort to clean political funding

►Capital expenditure stepped up by 25.4 pc in FY18 over previous year

►Total expenditure in FY18 at Rs 21.47 lakh cr

►Duty exempted on various POS machines and iris readers to encourage digital payments

►Rs 7,200 cr revenue loss due to reduction in tax on smaller companies

►Govt mulling introduction of legal changes to confiscate assets of offenders, including economic offenders, who flee the country

►Govt to set up a web-based interactive platform for defence pensioners

►Head post offices to issue passports

►Govt considering option to amend Negotiable Instruments Act to ensure that holders of dishonoured cheques get payment

►FRBM review committee has recommended 60 pc debt to GDP ratio; 0.5 pc of GDP deviation from stipulated fiscal deficit targets

►Payment regulatory board to be set up in RBI to regulate electronic payments, replacing Board for Regulation and Supervision in Payments and Settlements System

►3 yr period for long-term capital gains tax on immovable property reduced to 2 years; base year indexation shifted from 1.4.1981 to 1.4.2001

►A proposal to receive all government receipts beyond a certain threshold through e-modes under consideration

►GST implementation to bring more taxes to Centre and states

►No transaction above Rs 3 lakh in cash will be allowed as suggested by SIT

►Customs duty on LNG to be reduced from 5 pc to 2.5 pc

►To make MSME companies more viable, govt proposes to reduce IT tax with annual turn over of Rs 50 core up to 25 per cent

►I-T for smaller cos with turnover of upto Rs 50 cr up to 25 per cent

►Not possible to remove MAT levied on advance tax for now; carry forward allowed for 15 yrs instead of 10 yrs

►Relaxation in norms for Start Ups for getting tax exemption

►Capital gains tax exempted for the land pooled to build new capital of Andhra Pradesh effective from 2.6.2014

►Increase in personal tax collections is 34.8 per cent in last three quarters. Demonetisation has played a role

►17 pc growth in direct tax revenue for the second year in a row in 2016-17

►As against 4.2 crore people working in organised sector, only 1.74 crore individuals filed income tax returns

►Solar tempered glass used for manufacture of solar cells/panels exempted from customs duty

►Import duty on aluminium ores and concentrates raised to 30 pc from nil presently

►Actual revenue loss on tax proposals Rs 22,700 cr; gain from additional resource mobilisation is Rs 2,700 cr

►Net revenue loss from direct tax proposals to be about Rs 20,000 cr

►Excise duty on pan masala containing tobacco (Gutkha) raised to 12 pc from 10 pc

►Excise duty on non-filter cigarettes of length not exceeding 65 mm raised to Rs 311 per thousand from Rs 215 per thousand

 

Source:http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/articleshow/56907865.cms

Tax avoidance rules: POEM norms to take effect from April, 2017

Confirming that India’s so-called POEM regulations — which are meant to ascertain the residential status of companies and use it to curb tax avoidance — will take effect from April 1, the Central Board of Direct Taxes (CBDT) on Tuesday issued the final guidelines in this regard. While the draft Place of Effective Management rules issued in December 2015 had caused a stir in the industry for being out of sync with transnational business realities (under pressure from businesses, Budget FY17 deferred POEM activation by one year), the new draft narrowed the scope of the tool and sought to allay most concerns of the investor community about its potential improper use/misuse.

The CBDT has made it clear that POEM’s intent is  not to target Indian multinationals, which have legitimate business activities outside India, but to pin down shell companies  and firms created for retaining income outside India although the real control is exercised from India.

In what would reduce the chances of an assessing officer invoking the POEM provision without proper evaluation, the new rules state that she will need approval of a three-member collegium of her senior officers for triggering the test. Also, it has now been clarified that POEM guidelines won’t apply to companies having turnover or gross receipts of Rs 50 crore or less in a financial year. The regulations, the CBDT said, would apply for assessment year 2017-18 (FY17) and further.

“The guiding principles issued by the CBDT seeks to address some of the practical issues which could arise in application of the POEM test. The guideline strikes the right balance between providing certainty to taxpayers as well as ensuring that offshore companies with no substance or activities, which are controlled from India, are subject to Indian tax jurisdiction,” Rajendra Nayak, tax partner, EY India, said.

The POEM principle — which has found traction with tax authorities in capital-exporting countries and the OECD — was included in India’s I-T Act via the Finance Act, 2015 with the express purpose of discouraging the creation of shell companies with Indian shareholders in foreign jurisdictions to avoid tax residency in India. If a company is treated as resident in India, its worldwide income is taxable here, while only the India-sourced income of foreign companies is taxed. Although the tax rate on foreign companies is higher (40% versus the marginal rate of 30% for domestic firms), subjecting worldwide income to taxation could potentially increase the tax liability of many MNCs with Indian stakeholders. In fact, the real reason behind POEM is the tax department’s intent to curb corporate structures allowing passive foreign income — royalty, dividend, capital gains, interest income and the like — of firms incorporated in foreign countries with Indian ownership, escaping the tax net here. Tuesday’s draft, analysts said, gives further guidance on “active business outside India” test especially with respect to determination of passive income, total asset base, number of employees and payroll expenses in India and outside.

The new norms provide that if board of directors delegates authority to make key management decision/commercial decision to the promoter or strategic/legal/ financial advisors, the place of effective management will be the place where such persons makes those decisions.

Rakesh Bhargava, director, Taxmann, said: “In the final guidelines the CBDT has provided adequate safeguards to ensure that POEM guidelines does not become an oppressive tool in the hands of revenue to harass genuine assessees. Now, assessing officer can ascertain the residential status of foreign company on the basis of POEM guidelines only after taking two-stage approval; first approval is required before initiating any proceedings and second approval is needed before giving any final finding on residential status of foreign company.”

Giving additional clarifications, the CBDT said the decisions made by shareholder on matters which are reserved for shareholder decision under the company laws are not relevant for determination of a company’s POEM. However, the circular added, the shareholder’s involvement can, in certain situations, turn into that of effective management. “Therefore, whether the shareholder involvement is crossing the line into that of effective management is one of fact and has to be determined on case-to-case basis only,” the circular said.

Furthermore, the guidelines stressed that day-to-day decisions taken by junior or middle management of a company wouldn’t be taken into account for determining POEM. However, in certain situations where the person responsible for operational decision is also the one responsible for the key management and commercial decisions, it will be necessary to distinguish the two type of decisions and assess the location where the key management and commercial decisions are taken.

Source: http://www.financialexpress.com/economy/tax-avoidance-rules-poem-norms-to-take-effect-from-april-2017/521170/