GST lends more weight to India’s 8% growth projection: S&P

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Calling GST as the most important structural reform till date by the Modi government, S&P Global Ratings today said the passage of the indirect tax law gives it additional conviction of India clocking 8 per cent growth in the next few years.

“India’s GST passage gives us additional conviction around our 8%-ish GDP growth forecast over the next few years,” it said in a report titled ‘Asia-Pacific steadies while China goes silent’.

The rating agency had last month projected India to clock a “steroid-free” growth of 8 per cent in coming years. “The GST passage is arguably the most important structural reform to date by the Modi government and will improve efficiency, cross-state trade and tax buoyancy,” it said today.

It saw a reasonably firm pick-up in Asia-Pacific’s macro momentum indicators, with pick-up in retail sales offering the clearest sign in most of the region’s economies. This, it said, stems from rising income, which in turn is part of the region’s evolving growth dynamics, with consumption playing a larger role.

S&P said China has been nudged up as it raised the GDP growth forecast by about a quarter percentage point in 2016 and 2017 to 6.6 per cent and 6.4 per cent, respectively, and has kept its 2018 forecast roughly unchanged at 6.1 per cent.

Japan’s second-quarter out turn was weaker than expected, it said, adding that its 0.7 per cent GDP growth forecast for 2016 looked like “a mild stretch at this point”.

In its ‘APAC Economic Snapshots — September 2016’ report, it had stated that India’s structural reforms agenda had maintained strong momentum and, most recently with the GST passage, should propel growth higher. “For India, we are still forecasting GDP growth at about 8 per cent over the next few years. Moreover, this is relatively high quality, steroid—free growth backed by a broadening consumption base,” S&P had said.

“Inflation remains a risk, given the large weights on food, fuel, and other volatile items in the Reserve Bank of India’s target basket,” S&P had said.

The latest gross domestic production (GDP) figures showed that India’s growth slowed to 7.1 per cent in the April-June quarter, from 7.9 per cent in January-March.

RBI has also said the near-term growth outlook for India seems brighter than last fiscal’s and the economy is likely to expand at 7.6 per cent in 2016-17.

Source: http://www.thehindubusinessline.com/economy/gst-lends-more-weight-to-indias-8-growth-projection-sp/article9208148.ece

FPI inflows top Rs. 20,000 cr in Sept, at 11-month high

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Foreign investors pumped in more than Rs. 20,000 crore into the capital market in September, making it the highest net inflow in 11 months.

This also marks the third consecutive month of positive inflows (equity and debt).

The trend is likely to continue in the coming weeks as regulator SEBI has decided to offer well-regulated foreign investors direct entry to invest in corporate bonds, say experts.

They attributed the latest flurry of capital to factors such as sound progress in roll-out of GST, better corporate earnings and the US Fed’s decision not to lift interest rates.

Sentiment turned better after the current account deficit (CAD) narrowed sharply to just $300 million, or 0.1 per cent of GDP, in the June quarter and domestic passenger vehicle sales grew for the 14th straight month in August, they added.

According to depositors’ data, net investment by FPIs stood at Rs. 10,443 crore in equities last month while the same for debt was Rs. 9,789 crore, taking the total inflow to Rs. 20,233 crore ($3 billion).

This was the highest net inflow in the capital markets since October 2015 when FPIs had infused Rs. 22,350 crore.

The latest inflow has taken the FPI investment tally in equities to Rs. 51,293 crore in 2016 while the same for the debt market stands at Rs. 2,441 crore, resulting in a net inflow of Rs. 53,734 crore.

Source: http://www.thehindubusinessline.com/economy/fpi-inflows-surpass-rs-20000-cr-in-sept-at-11month-high/article9176139.ece

GST Council: Tax exemption threshold fixed at Rs 20 lakh

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The first session of the GST Council that concluded here on Friday made good progress in ironing out some of the contentious issues between the Centre and states: The exemption threshold for the goods and services tax (GST) has been fixed at Rs 20 lakh for all states except the northeastern ones and the three hill states of Jammu and Kashmir, Uttarakhand and Himachal Pradesh, in whose case this limit would be Rs 10 lakh; states will have the assessment powers for units with annual turnover up to Rs 1.5 crore while in the case of bigger businesses too, the one-taxpayer-one-authority principle will be retained and either the Centre or the state concerned will be accorded the assessing power based on risk profiling.

Importantly, the Centre agreed to the states’ demand for including the proceeds from sundry cesses levied by them in the definition of “revenue”, a step that could increase its compensation payouts. This would also mean that the states would cease to levy the cesses, the proceeds from which stood at close to Rs 40,000 crore in FY16.

The council decided to take 2015-16 as the base year to compute compensation to states for any future revenue loss, but left open the question of projecting the business-as-usual rate of increase in revenue, crucial for quantifying compensation. Finance minister Arun Jaitley said three options were under consideration for projecting the revenue growth rate: A mutually agreed-upon fixed rate; the average of the three best (high-growth) years in the past five years; and the average of median three of the last five years. States had earlier turned down the Centre’s proposal for taking the average of the last three years for projecting future revenue growth, saying these years haven’t been particularly good due to the economic slowdown.

Jaitley said the Centre will continue to assess the 11 lakh service tax assessees (even those below Rs 1.5 crore) but added that states will be given training to assess them and once they acquire competence, the future addition to this taxpayer base will be shared with them for the purpose of assessment.

Regardless of whether the Centre or the state has control on an assessee, the tax proceeds will be shared between the two — the central GST component will go to the Centre and the states will appropriate the state GST, which could be slightly higher than central GST. As far as integrated GST — to be levied on interstate transactions and imports — is concerned, the place of supply rules will decide who the appropriating authority will be; of course, the basic principle is that tax needs to be paid where the consumption takes place.

The council, Jaitley said, would meet again on September 30 to finalise the draft rules on the council’s functioning and the exemption thresholds and decide how the grandfathering of tax sops (like the area-based excise exemptions) will be carried out. The crucial question of the GST slab structure, the revenue-neutral rate (RNR) and actual GST rates would be discussed by the council between October 17 and 19. The Arvind Subramanian panel that had estimated a RNR of 15-15.5% had said if the standard rate is 17%, it could comprise central GST of 8% and state GST of 9%.

Tax experts welcomed the outcome of the first meeting of the council. Harishanker Subramaniam, national leader, indirect tax, EY India, said: “It is interesting is that for GST on services, the Centre will have administrative control irrespective of threshold at least in the initial years till states are trained to handle services. This may be a good news for industry as many were worried as to how states will handle complexity of services.”

According to Pratik P Jain, leader, indirect tax, PwC India, enhancing the annual turnover for exemption to Rs 20 lakh from Rs 10 lakh contemplated earlier would be administratively easier for the government as several small businesses would be out of the GST ambit. “Industry would also welcome the move to have a single assessing authority, instead of having a dual system of assessment and scrutiny, which was a major concern for businesses,” he said.

Source: http://www.financialexpress.com/economy/threshold-for-gst-fixed-at-rs-20-lakh/389350/

FPIs infuses $1 billion in capital markets in September

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Foreign investors have pumped in nearly Rs 6,800 crore (USD 1 billion) into the country’s capital markets so far this month, driven by global and domestic factors.

The latest infusion comes on top of a whopping inflow of Rs 25,904 in the preceding two months (July-August). Prior to that, foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) had pulled out a total of Rs 4,373 crore from the capital markets (equity and debt) in June and July.

Experts attributed the latest flurry in inflow to factors including good and widespread monsoon, better corporate earnings, sound progress on rollout progress of the Goods and Services Tax (GST) and positive data coming from the US economy.

Sentiments also rode high after domestic passenger vehicle sales grew for the 14th straight month in August, they added.

According to depositors’ data, net investment by FPIs stood at Rs 3,178 crore in equities during September 1-9, while the same for debt markets was at Rs 3,617 crore, taking the total inflow to Rs 6,795 crore (USD 1.02 billion).

So far this year, FPIs have invested Rs 44,028 crore in equities while withdrawing Rs 3,730 crore from the debt market. This resulted in a net flow of Rs 40,297 crore.

Source: http://www.financialexpress.com/economy/fpis-infuses-1-billion-in-capital-markets-in-september/373416/

GST bringing realty shake-up

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Retailers, both of physical stores and e-commerce entities, fast moving consumer goods (FMCG) companies and those in consumer durables have started rejigging their warehouse strategy.

This is in preparation for the national goods and services tax (GST), with the government working to an April 2017 deadline. All this could mean a shake-up in real estate, say analysts. A rough calculation suggests these businesses could look at reducing their warehouse count to half, while stepping up the total space acquisition in select destinations, once GST comes into play. In the next two to three years, businesses could see significant cost reduction due to the revised strategy.

Hindustan Unilever, Nestle, Johnson & Johnson and Shoppers Stop are among those to have begun work on consolidating their warehouses, according to a source. These companies will take up mega space, in millions of square feet, to set up ‘mother warehouses’, he said. In the online space, top companies such as Flipkart and Amazon have been on an expansion spree for warehouses and fulfillment centres in the past two years, primarily to suit the complex tax structure through the country. Now, however, they won’t feel the need to have warehouses in every state and can strategise accordingly, Vijaya Ganesh Thangavel, managing director, Land & Industrial (India), Cushman & Wakefield, told this newspaper.

For instance, Max Fashion, a prominent retailer, has eight warehouses totaling 400,000 sq ft. The number is likely to come down to four after GST, says chief executive Vasanth Kumar. “The number will get firmed up once we know the full GST details and the implications such as the reverse logistics needs,’’ he said. Post GST, their warehouse count will be down but the total space covered could go up to around 600,000 sq ft by 2018 “to meet future business needs, as well our rate of growth at a 30-plus per cent CAGR (compounded annual rate)”.

If a typical e-commerce company was taking 300,000 to 400,000 sq ft in metros and tier-1 cities for warehouses, 100,000 sq ft in tier-2 and 40,000 to 50,000 sq ft in tier-3, the plan now will be to go for million sq ft space and more, away from big cities and in fewer locations, primarily where real estate cost won’t be prohibitive, says Thangavel of Cushman. Distribution centres, smaller in size in the range of 40,000 to 50,000 sq ft, could be set up closer to cities.

The biggest trend now is that prominent developers are getting into the warehouse space, which has mostly been a domain of local land owners till recently, according to Thangavel. Along with realtors, a new breed of advisors are coming up, only for warehouse planning. Also, warehouse parks are being set up for large structures. While the exercise of restructuring the warehouses will take a couple of years, he projects a cost reduction of at least 10 to 15 per cent by 2019-2020. Estimates are that big companies which have on an average one warehouse in every state, totaling to anything from 20 to 25, might look at eight to 10, pan-India post-GST.

“We understand that a few of the larger companies have started consolidating their warehousing requirements in strategic locations, in anticipation of GST, with a view to bringing efficiency into their supply chain,’’ said Rami Kaushal, managing director, Consulting and Valuations, CBRE South Asia.

Besides retailers and FMCG companies, even pharmaceutical companies would look at rationalising the number of operational warehouses and swap these for better quality and larger format ones, he said.

“Implementation of GST is expected to lead to rationalisation of warehousing demand, leading to lower logistics cost and reduced delivery time of manufactured goods,’’ Kaushal explained. The current complicated tax structure meant that choice in setting up inventory and distribution centres were based on the tax regime, rather than on operational efficiency, he said.

GST, when implemented, will free the decisions on warehousing and distribution from these tax considerations, according to Kaushal. ”This would enable occupiers to create larger hubs, servicing two or more states from a single location, which would help optimise inventory costs and increase efficiency.’’ This shift in operational planning would ultimately result in a hub and spoke model being adopted by many of the occupiers, he added.

Industrial warehousing space is estimated at approximately 800 million sq ft across the country and is expected to grow by nine to 10 per cent annually. A few sectors such as e-commerce, modern retailing and FMCG are expected to grow at about 20 per cent annually in the short term, according to CBRE.

A recent JLL report listed the National Capital Region, Mumbai, Pune, Bengaluru, Chennai, Hyderabad, Kolkata and Ahmedabad as top warehouse hubs. These eight city hubs together had a cumulative supply of organised Grade-A and Grade-B warehousing space of around 97 mn sq ft in 2015; this is expected to grow to around 116 mn sq ft by the end of 2016. It added that GST will result in emergence of new hubs such as Belgaum, Bhubaneswar, Coimbatore, Goa, Guwahati, Indore, Jaipur, Kolhapur, Lucknow/ Kanpur, Ludhiana, Nagpur, Patna, Raipur, Ranchi, Vapi and Vijayawada.

 

Source: http://www.business-standard.com/article/companies/gst-bringing-realty-shake-up-116090801173_1.html

Workflow boost for accountants, advisory firms

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Plans are afoot to train 20,000 chartered accountants by March 2017 in different aspects of the GST
Corporate India is just about getting started to get their businesses ready for the goods and services tax ( GST) regime. This has opened up a sizable business opportunity for tax experts, advisory firms, and law firms. What has come as a shot in the arm for chartered accountants and cost accountants is the mandatory need for tax audits for certain companies under the GST regime.
Under Section 42 ( 4) of the draft Model GST Law, businesses with to- be- prescribed turnover have to get their accounts audited by a chartered accountant or a cost accountant. Accordingly, the Institute of Chartered Accountants of India ( ICAI) is preparing to boost training for its members to enable them to make the most out of the opportunity. “ Plans are afoot to train 20,000 chartered accountants by March 2017 in different aspects of the GST for conducting impact studies and filing of GST returns,” says Madhukar N Hiregange, senior partner, Hiregange & Associates, and chairman of indirect tax committee at the ICAI. To start with, over the next two months, around 500 trainers will go through the GST programme.
In the coming months, some key areas of work for accountancy professionals would relate to conducting impact studies for clients, taking companies through GST registration and the transition process, filing taxes and getting tax refunds, ensuring there are no mismatches in the tax input- output chain. Even though the new indirect tax system will come into effect from April 2017, tax experts expect the transition opportunity to last for the next two years.
“Compliance will become a major area of practice for accountants,” says Hiregange. He expects many companies to outsource their tax compliance work to tax consultancies and chartered accountancy firms.
In the coming months, businesses would have to re- jig their IT systems and also make businesses of their suppliers, distributors and sellers GSTcompliant.
The challenge for small and mid- sized companies would be to come up to speed with technology requirements under the GST regime. “ Many companies would need hand- holding while interacting with the GST Network, the IT backbone, in filing tax returns and in claiming returns,” says Hiregange. That may spawn small firms specialising in GST- related compliance issues. The ICAI is also looking at revising its syllabus by November this year in keeping with the latest changes in the indirect tax system.
Sensing the business opportunity that is up for grabs, most corporate law firms are ramping up their indirect tax practice. For instance, Lakshmikumaran & Sridharan, a law firm that has been advising the GST Network, has put in place a special team of 20- odd tax experts to tackle GST- related issues. “ In addition, there are 150- 200 tax lawyers across the country taking up sector- specific indirect tax related issues,” says a spokesperson from the law firm.
Similarly, accounting and advisory firms, especially the ‘big four’, are betting big on the opportunity. EY, for instance, has a team of 800- odd tax and advisory professionals working on GST. “ This year, we anticipate an increase of 25 per cent in our current headcount for GST,” said a company spokesperson. Many of these professionals come with expertise in supply chain, analytics, technology and processes.
According to Nitin Atroley, partner and head of sales & markets at KPMG, the firm set up a special team with members from different countries like Malaysia, Singapore and Australia that have earlier gone through the process of adopting GST.
Prashant Raizada, partner, indirect tax, BDO India, feels the challenge to transition to the new tax regime would be most felt by small and mediumsized enterprises. “ In Tier2and – 3 cities, businesses may not be that well versed in use of technology,” said Raizada. It will be busy days ahead for tax experts, accountants and consultants, as well as their clients as they get up to speed with the GST regime.