Failure to implement reforms may hamper India investment: Moody’s

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A failure to implement reforms in India could hamper investment amid weak global growth, global ratings agency Moody’s Investors Services cautioned on Wednesday.

It said it was highly unlikely that major reforms would be enacted in the upper house of parliament where the ruling coalition is in a minority. The agency said despite overall supportive domestic conditions for the country’s companies, potential headwinds loom from a loss of reform momentum.

The Modi administration so far this year has been unable to enact legislation on key reforms, including a unified goods and services tax and the Land Acquisition Bill, it said.

The government hopes to get the GST Constitution Amendment bill approved in parliament and is keen to push the legislative business. It has reached out to the opposition parties to forge a consensus and ensure the passage of the crucial GST bill. The Narendra Modi government has identified implementation of GST as a key reform initiative. The government has unveiled a flurry of reforms after the rout in Bihar assembly elections and Modi has promised to accelerate the reforms drive.

Moody’s Investors Service says that most non-financial corporates it rates in India (Baa3 positive) will benefit from strong domestic growth and accommodative monetary policy, although weak global growth and a potential US rate hike will weigh on businesses.

“Healthy 7.5% GDP growth for India for the fiscal year ending March 2017 (FY2017) and a pick-up in manufacturing activity will be broadly supportive of business growth,” says Vikas Halan, a Moody’s Vice President and Senior Credit Officer.

“However, the corporates remain vulnerable to the volatile Indian rupee as against the US dollar and to low commodity prices, which has in turn led to a sharp decline in external trade,” said Halan while releasing the agency’s 2016 outlook presentation for Indian non-financial corporates.

The fall in commodity prices has benefited many Indian corporates given the country’s status as a net important of raw materials and its recent history of high inflation.

The resultant moderating inflation should result in lower borrowing costs for corporates and yields on corporate bonds, said Moody’s.

The ratings agency expects upstream oil and gas companies to benefit from lower fuel subsidy burdens, although low crude and domestic natural gas prices will continue to hurt profitability.

Refining and marketing companies meanwhile should benefit from healthy margins as demand growth outpaces expected capacity additions.

The agency’s negative outlook for the steel industry reflects elevated leverage and an extended period of low prices due to continuing steel imports, while the negative outlook for metals and mining companies reflects bleak global commodity prices.

In the real estate sector the agency expects demand to improve in 2016 on the back of lower interests rates, although approval delays could push back project launches for property developers.

It expects retail auto sales volumes to grow 6% in 2016 on the back of sustained growth in passenger vehicles sales and a recovery in commercial vehicle sales.

The telecom companies that the agency rates in India have reported improving revenue per user (ARPU) and EBITDA margins, however competition remains intense and the regulatory framework continues to evolve.

Foreign inflow boost for alternative investment funds

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The move by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) to allow foreign investment into alternative investment funds (AIFs) through the automatic route is likely to boost inflows.

 

In a notification on Thursday, the central bank said those residing outside India (including a registered foreign portfolio investor or a non-resident Indian) might acquire, purchase, hold, sell or transfer units of an AIF. Downstream investment by an AIF shall not be regarded as foreign investment if the sponsor or the manager or the investment manager is ‘owned and controlled’ by Indian.

 

“The notification paves the way for foreign money to come into AIFs without the Foreign Investment Planning Board (FIPB)’s intervention and be treated as domestic capital, subject to conditions. This could lead to a fresh surge of foreign flows in Indian listed and unlisted securities,” said Tejesh Chitlangi, partner, IC Legal.

 

Earlier, every foreign investment proposal in AIFs had to be cleared by FIPB. In some cases, foreign investments would suffer due to the sectoral limits being hit.

 

Importantly, the amendment provides that downstream investments by such investment vehicles, sponsored or managed by Indian-owned and controlled entities, will be treated as domestic investment. With this, investment vehicles so sponsored or managed will be free to invest in all sectors, without any of the sectoral restrictions imposed under the Foreign Direct Investment rules.

Foreign inflow boost for alternative investment funds

 

“Overall, this is an extremely positive development and it is hoped that this is followed with suitable tweaks to the tax laws to address certain vexed issues surrounding these investment vehicles,” added Kalpesh Maroo, partner, BMR and Associates LLP.

 

However, there is one caveat that could be a hindrance. RBI has said this easing of foreign investment won’t be applicable for limited liability partnerships (LLPs), as it would be difficult to determine the Indian sponsors in such structures. And, 60 per cent of the assets in AIFs are sponsored through LLPs.

 

“There is a caveat in the regulations that the Securities and Exchange Board of India (Sebi) is the regulator to determine the sponsor of these investment pooling instruments. We will approach Sebi for checking on the Indian nationality of the sponsors,” said a legal expert, requesting anonymity. Sectoral sources say close to 200 AIFs operate out of India.

 

Source: http://www.business-standard.com/article/markets/foreign-investment-boost-for-alternate-investment-vehicles-115112000837_1.html

India 5th on doing biz in clean energy

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Considering India’s notable policy reforms in the renewable energy sector, Bloomberg New Energy Finance has ranked the country at fifth place on a list of 30 countries on ease of doing business in the renewable energy space. The ranking done by Bloomberg New Energy Finance’s annual Climatescope report indicates that clean energy’s centre of gravity is shifting from developed to developing countries. The report ranked China in the first place, followed by Chile, Brazil, South Africa and India.

The report said: “The new policy ambitions from the (Narendra) Modi government signal clean energy opportunities in the country.” The strongest parameter in favour of India was value chain, while lower-than-expected investment continues to be the weak link.

As solar energy became more cost-competitive in emerging markets in 2014, there would be a surge of investment and capacity-building in the Asian countries, especially China and India, the report noted. Last year, India added 5 gigawatt (Gw) of clean energy generation capacity.

CLEAN BREAK IN RENEWABLE SPACE
  • $343.2 billion Total clean energy investments (2009-14) in China
  • $52.5 billion Total clean energy investments (2009-14) in India
  • 262.5 Gw Installed power capacity
  • 38,360 Mw Total renewable energy capacity
  • 5,009 Mw Renewable capacity added in 2014
  • 14.6% Renewable share in total installed capacity
  • Top Indian states: Tamil Nadu, Karnataka, Madhya Pradesh, Maharashtra, Rajasthan & Gujarat

“Major reforms in India brought by the Modi administration bring hope of quicker deployment for the country’s eager renewable energy developers,” said Climatescope.

Among the states, Tamil Nadu led the pack with the highest wind energy capacity, followed by Karnataka, Madhya Pradesh, Maharashtra, Rajasthan and Gujarat.

Madhya Pradesh scored the highest among Indian states on growth rate of clean energy investments. The state’s favourable land policy and easy clearances have resulted in attracting projects. Gujarat, which was once a haven of clean energy investments, slipped from the top slot due to policy uncertainty and litigation over tariff.

Maharashtra’s high feed-in tariff led to a surge in wind capacity.

The report noted: “Maharashtra has done relatively little to encourage private investment in solar; it has held no tenders for power contracts and offers no feed-in tariffs.”

Renewable energy in Rajasthan at 4 Gw represents a high share (32 per cent) of total power capacity of 13 Gw, compared to other states. “The overall renewable energy capacity grew 14 per cent in 2014 in the state, but it has done little policy-wise to encourage solar development through incentives and the state’s distribution utilities are among the financially shakiest in India,” said the report.

At 7.4 Gw, Tamil Nadu has more wind installed than any other state. Since 2012, however, annual new-build rates have fallen and in 2014, only 208 megawatt was commissioned. This is largely due to the poor financial health of state-owned distribution utility companies and occasional payment delays to power project owners.

The Indian government’s goal of providing round-the-clock power to 1.25 billion citizens has triggered huge interest from investors. The report noted that a strong energy minister overseeing coal, power, and new and renewable energy sectors could have a positive influence.

The Modi-led government has revised the targets for renewable energy to 175 Gw by 2022.

Source: http://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/india-5th-on-doing-biz-in-clean-energy-115112300009_1.html

France supports India’s global solar alliance

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France has said that it supports India’s plans to set up an international solar alliance to promote access to low-carbon energy. Prime Minister Narendra Modi is slated to launch the initiative at the forthcoming climate meet (COP-21) in Paris.

“We totally support the solar alliance initiative. Ambitious economic partnerships can be forged between countries under this initiative,” French Foreign Minister Laurent Fabius said at a joint press conference with Environment Minister Prakash Javadekar here on Friday.

Fabius said India will be a key player at the COP-21, as a solution to dealing with climate change can’t be found without its consensus.

“India will play a pivotal part in the talks because of several factors including its size and population and the fact that it will also steer a lot of other countries outputs,” he added.

As many as 190 countries are working toward a legally binding and universal agreement on climate, which aims to keep a check on global warming by cutting down on carbon emissions and embracing green technology. Fabius is on a tour of countries which, according to France’s judgment, could contribute to a successful climate meet in Paris beginning November 30. He met Prime Minister Modi and Javadekar on Friday and discussed issues of importance to India. South Africa and Brazil are next on his itinerary.

New Delhi will focus on ensuring that provisions on industrial financing and technology transfer are part of the legal text that gets accepted in Paris, an Environment Ministry official told BusinessLine .

Focus areas

“India and several other developing countries are pursing the matter of finance and technology transfer at the on-going negotiations and we will try and see to it that provisions on it are legally binding,” the official said.

When asked what kind of progress had happened on the issue of industrial finance and technology sharing by developed countries to enable developing countries to switch over to green technology, Fabius said it was a difficult issue, but progress was being made.

However, he said issues of financing and differentiated responsibility (more responsibility to bring down emissions countries, mostly developed, that have contributed more to climate change), would be an important part of the Paris deal.

(This article was published in the Business Line print edition dated November 21, 2015)

Resurgent Rajasthan sees proposals worth Rs 3.3 lakh cr

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The first day of the much-hyped Rajasthan Resurgent Summit concluded with 295 proposals worth Rs 3.3 lakh crore. These proposals, however, were received over the past year and barely left much scope for industry heavyweights and the Union government to announce any new big-ticket projects.

“These proposals are just the tip of the iceberg. A lot of work has to be done,” Chief Minister Vasundhara Raje said in her inaugural speech. “This investment will create 2.5 lakh jobs,” she added.

In the past year, Rajasthan has undertaken a raft of economic and industry reforms to create an investment-friendly image. Her government was left with a huge debt, including Rs 70,000 crore of debt from the power sector, by the previous Congress government.

THE PROPOSALS
• Rs 11,000 cr investments announced by Kumar Mangalam Birla
• Rs 10,000 cr pledged by Gautam Adani
• Rs 6,500 cr worth investments by Anil Ambani
• Rs 10,000 cr worth projects to be undertaken by chemical & fertiliser ministry
• 24 model railway stations to be developed in the state

Lauding Raje’s role, Union Finance Minister Arun Jaitley said, after leading the state in reforms, the chief minister should now lead the state in ease of doing business. The government should provide land for business. “The India of 2015 is not the India of 1971. For that matter, it is also not the India of 1991. The aspirational constituency, which supports growth wants India to reform at a much faster speed,” he said. “Everything should be corruption free. Taxation should be reasonable and the policy should not be so aggressive that it deters investors, ” he added.

Among the investments made public on Thursday, the biggest perhaps came from Kumar Mangalam Birla, chairman of the Aditya Birla Group. Birla promised investment of nearly Rs 11,000 crore, including Rs 7,000 crore for setting up two new cement plants and Rs 3,000 crore for establishing a 500 MW solar power plant in the state. Gautam Adani, head of the Adani Group, also promised to invest an additional sum of Rs 10,000 crore over four years for the expansion of thermal power plants and generation of solar power in the state.

However, then there was a word of caution by Hero Motocorp chairman Pawan Munjal. Though he lauded the government’s role in making the state investor friendly, he requested the chief minister to ensure speedy clearance of projects.

“We need speedy clearances for setting up our industries,” Munjal said, disclosing that his company is setting up a state-of-the-art Research and Development Centre on the outskirts of Jaipur.

Uday Kotak, chief executive officer of Kotak Mahindra Bank, found special mention from Raje for the bank’s financial services. Kotak said his bank’s lending ratio is more than the deposit in the state.

For instance, against a deposit of Rs 100, his bank lends Rs 250. “We plan to double our lending from Rs 5,000 crore to Rs 10,000 crore in the next three years… this will help small, medium-scale industries and farmers in the state,” Kotak said.

From the central government, the biggest announcements came from chemicals and fertiliser minister Ananth Kumar, who promised Rs 10,000-crore of projects. This includes setting up a National Institute of Pharmaceutical Education and Research in Jhalawar district in two years, upgrade of the Central Institute of Plastic Engineering and Technology in Jaipur, and setting up a plastics park and a medical devices park, a first in the country. Railways minister Suresh Prabhu said they were going to set up 24 modern railway stations in the state.

Tourism was another key sector, which received special attention from the Central government, as well as the summit’s international partners including Singapore, Japan, Italy and Australia. Singapore Home Affairs Minister K Shanmugam said Singapore Airlines has decided to operate a direct flight from Singapore. “The airlines knew that it might not be earning profit in one or two years, but it is a long-term partnership,” he said.

Religare set to exit MF business

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In the midst of foreign entities exiting the Indian mutual fund segment, Invesco, a large global player in asset management, has decided to show a long-term commitment here.

Religare on Wednesday informed the stock exchanges that Invesco Ltd had agreed to raise its stake in Religare Invesco Asset Management Company to 100 per cent, from the existing 49 per cent. It could, say company sources, be a Rs 500-550 crore deal, to be finalised after regulatory clearances.

“Invesco had a call option to increase their stake to 100 per cent by March 2016. Invesco decided to announce it ahead of the deadline, so that the regulatory clearance could be in place (by then),” said a company official.

MANAGING ASSETS
Foreign players exiting MF

  • Goldman Sachs sold to Reliance MF
  • Pinebridge sold to Kotak AMC
  • ING sold to Birla Sunlife MF
  • Morgan Stanley to HDFC MF
  • Daiwa sold to SBI MF
  • Fidelity sold to L&T Finance

Foreign players increasing MF India presence

  • Invesco agrees to increase stake to 100% in Religare Invesco fund house
  • Nippon agreed to increase stake to 49% in Reliance Mutual Fund
  • Schroders acquired 25% stake in Axis Mutual Fund

The reason for the sale by Religare was not disclosed to the stock exchanges. Sources indicated it could be due to the promoters wanting to monetise some assets to meet other financial obligations. Religare’s shares reacted negatively to the announcement, with a fall of nearly two per cent on Thursday morning.

This deal marks the bucking of a trend, with seven foreign entities quitting the fund management space in the past seven years. The latest was the buyout of Goldman Sachs’ Indian asset management business by Reliance MF. Reportedly, Nomura is also planning to end its joint venture with Life Insurance Corporation, in LIC Nomura MF. “We are excited about the long-term prospects of the important Indian market. By taking full ownership of this business, we will further deepen our presence in India and enhance our ability to meet client needs across the globe,” said Andrew Lo, head of Asia-Pacific for Invesco.

Globally, Invesco manages Rs 52.8 lakh crore. Outside of America, it is the largest fund manager in Britain and also has operations in other parts of Europe, Canada and Asia.

Religare Invesco MF managed Rs 21,593 crore of assets as of end-September. Invesco first invested in Religare in 2013 when the assets under management stood at Rs 14,000 crore. The global firm had bought stake from the promoters, Delhi-based brothers Malvinder and Shivinder Singh, for Rs 450 crore.

Invesco says it has decided to continue with the same management team, headed by Saurabh Nanavati as chief executive.

“We will look at introducing more products from Invesco’s global portfolio which will be suitable to the sensibilities of Indian customers,” said another company official.

Source: http://www.business-standard.com/article/markets/religare-set-to-exit-mf-business-115111900827_1.html

India, Japan sign action plan to double investments in 5-years

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The governments of India and Japan signed an agreement on Thursday for doubling of Japanese investment into Indian firms in the next five years, and  boosting two-way trade. The signatories were Commerce and Industry Minister Nirmala Sitharaman and Japan’s minister for economy, trade and industry, Yoichi Miyazawa.

The plan was categorised into five broad areas: development of selected townships in India, promotion of investment and infrastructure development, further development and cooperation in information technology, enhancing cooperation in strategic sectors and Asia-Pacific economic integration.

Signing of the action plan is seen “as a step further in improving the trade relationship between India and Japan as a follow-up of Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s visit to Japan last year,” stated a release quoting Miyazawa.

According to Sitharaman, the agenda was in line with PM’s Make in India plan that will further investments from Japan into the country’s manufacturing sector.

Last year, the Department of Industrial Policy and Promotion under the ministry of commerce and industry had set up a mechanism to fast-track Japanese investments named ‘Japan Plus.’

During Modi’s visit, Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe had set a target of 3.5 trillion yen ($33.5 billion) of public and private investment and financing from Japan including official development assistance to India to be made over five years. There are already 1,209 Japanese firms operating in India out of which 137 have started their operations after October 2013.

Japan is the fourth largest foreign direct investment (FDI) contributor to India, with major interests in pharmaceuticals, automobiles, and services sectors accounting for 7.46 per cent of total FDI equity inflows into India. During April 2000-November 2014, FDI from Japan into India stood at $17.55 billion.

Under the Tokyo Declaration for Japan-India Special Strategic and Global Partnership, Modi and Abe have set a target of doubling Japanese FDI and the number of Japanese firms in India by 2019.

Source: http://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/india-japan-sign-action-plan-to-double-investments-in-5-years-115043000401_1.html